I’ve posted Entry #54 to my weekly Beyond Buy-and-Hold column at the Out of Your Rut site. It’s called Your Retirement Plan Is In More Trouble Than You Realize.
Juicy Excerpt: Stocks were so insanely overpriced in the late 1990s that even 12 years of zero returns has not been enough to pull valuations back to where they must go for the stock market to generate good returns on a going forward basis. We are today at the valuation levels that in ordinary circumstances would be causing informed investors to start preparing for a crash.
If you think that the hit you have taken over the past 12 years has been tough to bear, you ain’t seen nothing yet! Stocks don’t become a good investment class again until we see capitulation. You don’t hear people saying good things about Buy-and-Hold when they are preparing to capitulate. There are still lots of Buy-and-Holders around today. We are nowhere close to capitulation yet.