I’ve posted my 13th entry in my series of articles on Valuation-Informed Indexing for the Financial Highway site. It’s called How Our Ideas on Investing Got on the Wrong Track.
Juicy Excerpt: The full reality is that our understanding of all areas of life endeavor is achieved in building-block style. We learned a great deal when the Buy-and-Holders showed us that short-term timing doesn’t work. Shiller would probably never have achieved his advances had the Buy-and-Holders not laid the foundation for them with their own breakthroughs.
The Buy-and-Holders think that acknowledging their mistake will cause them to lose “credit” for explaining how stock investing works. I don’t think that’s right. I think that that acknowledgement of the mistake will permit us to take the genuine insights of the Buy-and-Holders to places we have never been able to take them before. I believe that we will someday look back at the day when the Buy-and-Holders acknowledge their error as one of the most important and exciting days in the history of the core Buy-and-Hold project — to learn the truth about how stock investing works.