Set forth below are the text of a series of e-mails sent to me on October 15, 2014, by Jackie, owner of the The Debt Myth blog, followed by my responses:
But first you have to get people to actually read those words. Rhetorical question: When the methods you’ve been using for a long time continue not to work, why keep using them? You really have nothing to lose by changing. I think it comes down to “do you want to be right?” or “do you actually want to get your message out and have it read by the people who could benefit from reading it?”
Your point is well taken.
I have NOT been successful at getting the word out.
I’m happy to try another approach.
I am not entirely sure what it would entail.
I am 100 percent happy to agree not to comment on guest blog entries.
I am 100 percent happy not to bring up any of the Goon stuff in guest blog entries, to discuss only the content-based stuff.
Does that do it?
I would also go with shorter posts (say 850 words or less) that are more scannable (see http://www.4syllables.com.au/resources/scannable-tips/ for tips) and a more conversational tone.
Those both make sense.
I am grateful for your help.
No problem, did you look at the Drop Dead Money stuff?
Yes, I looked at it.
The “four seasons” terminology is something that I strongly believe in. There’s a wonderful book called
“Stock Cycles” that uses that terminology. That is one of my favorite investing books of all time.
One point re which I suspect I would disagree with the Drop-Dead Money person is that I believe that it is stock crashes that cause economic recessions rather than the other way around. I have never heard anyone else say that it is stock crashes that cause economic bad times. But I do believe that.
The graphic at the link highlights more up times and down times than I would worry about. I take more of a big-picture approach. In the 140 years of stock market history available to us, there have been four bull/bear cycles. I don’t say that the smaller ups and downs pointed to in that graphic don’t exist, just that it is harder to predict the smaller ones and they don’t do nearly as much damage.
The general concept sounds right. In good times, people get carried away and come to believe that good times will never end. In bad times, people get carried away and come to believe that bad times will never end. The reality is that things cycle from one extreme to the other. The reality is in the middle.
Cool, I might have to check out that book.