Yesterday’s blog entry reported on an e-mail that I sent to academic researcher Wade Pfau on January 17, 2011. Wade responded on January 20, 2011.
He described a thread that he started at the Bogleheads Forum:
He said that it was not his intent to start a debate on the merits of Valuation-Informed Indexing since he hadn’t yet finished his research paper. However, he wanted to know if anyone was aware of studies concluding that Valuation-Informed Indexing does not work. He explained that: “Once I finish my study, I would like to refer to the concept as Valuation-Informed Indexing, but I called it long-term market timing in this post since I really was trying to avoid controversy and just uncover more background reading materials.” He reported that: “Two papers by Fisher and Statman are still all I can find that provide evidence against long-term market timing.”