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A Rich Life

The Old Ideas on Saving & Investing Don't Work -- Here's What Does

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Is the Same Song We Sing. Glad You Belong to the Same Choir We Do."





    Carolyn McClanahan, Director of Financial Planning
    for Life Planning Partners, Inc.

  • "Retirees Now Frequently Base Their Retirement Decisions on the Portfolio Success Rates Found in Research Such as the Trinity Study.... This Is Not the Information They Need for Making Their Withdrawal Rate Decisions."




    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "The P/E10 Tool Could Drastically Change
    How the Entire Investment Industry
    Operates and Measures Risk."





    Larry, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "The Your Money or Your Life Book
    for a New Generation."





    Beatrix Fernandex, Book Reviewer
    for Dollar Stretcher Site

  • "A Newer School of Thought Believes That the Safe Withdrawal Rate Depends on How Stocks Are Priced at the Time You Begin Making Withdrawals."





    Scott Burns, Dallas Morning News Finance Columnist

  • "A Fascinating Retirement Calculator."







    Michael Kitces, Maryland Financial Planner

  • "The Evidence is Pretty Incontrovertible. Valuation-Informed Indexing...Is Everywhere Superior to Buy-and-Hold Over Ten-Year Periods."




    Norbert Schenkler,
    Co-Owner of Financial WebRing Forum

  • "Every Detail Shows Rob's Respect
    for His Information and His Reader."






    Audrey Owen, Owner of Writer's Helper Site

  • "You’ve Accomplished Something Radical
    With Your Idea of Passion Saving."





    Mark Michael Lewis,
    Money, Mission & Meaning Talk Show Host

  • "Big Moves Out of Stocks Should Not Be Done at All. But Strategic Asset Allocation Can Be Done At Very Rare Times, Maybe Six Times in an Investor’s Lifetime, Three Times When the Market Is Stupidly High and Three Times When Stupidly Low."



    John Bogle, Founder of Vanguard Funds

  • "Valuation-Informed Investing and Passive Investing
    Share More of a Common Ancestry
    Than It Might Appear at First."





    Jacob Irwin, Owner of Passive Investing Blog Carnival

  • "It Is Great to See a Finance Journalist Who Understands That Valuations Matter. Efficient Market Zealotry Is Rampant in the Journalism Community. I Just Love Your Valuation-Based Return Calculator."




    Rich Toscano, Pacific Capital Associates

  • "There Is Always An Unlimited Supply of Complainers Against Any Good Idea."






    Mr. Money Mustache Blogger

  • "Rob: This Has Been One of the Most Insightful and Helpful Comments I Think Anyone Has Ever Posted. Thank You for This Lesson and for Sharing Your Knowledge on This Subject!"




    My Money Design Blogger

  • "There Is An Extensive Literature About the Predictability of Long-Term Stock Returns. There Is an Extensive Literature About Short-Term Market Timing. My Question Is About Long-Term Market Timing. The Literature Seems Slim."



    Wade Pfau, Retirement Income Professor
    at The American College

  • "Your Ideas Are Sound."







    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "For Years, the Investment Industry Has
    Tried to Scare Clients Into Staying Fully Invested
    in the Stock Market at All Times, No Matter
    How High Stocks Go. It's Hooey.
    They're Leaving Out More Than Half the Story."



    Brett Arends, The Wall Street Journal

  • "There Are Time-Periods Where Stocks Are a Terrible Addition to That Portfolio. Yet Inexplicably, We As Planners STILL tend to Suggest That It Is 'Risky' to Not Own Stocks When in Reality the Only Risk Is to Our Business."




    Michael Kitces, Maryland Financial Planner

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Provides More Wealth for 102 of 110 of the Rolling 30-Year Time-Periods While Buy-and-Hold Did Better in Eight of the Periods."






    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "There Is a Growing Behavioral Economics Movement, But It So Far Has Had Limited Impact. Economists Are Not Fond of the Softness and Imprecision of Psychology. These Notions Are Considered Vaguely Unprofessional and Flaky."



    Robert Shiller, Yale University Economic Professor

  • "I Would Occasionally Get a Response Post
    Saying I Was 'the Best Since Rob Bennett
    Challenged Us to Think.'"




    A Popular Bogleheads Forum Poster Named "Retired at 48" Who Was Banned for Challenging Buy-and-Hold

  • "New Research by Rob Bennett Shows That
    Even a 4% Withdrawal Rate Could Cause Failure
    If You Start Retirement When
    Stock Market Valuations Are High.”




    Bernard Kelly, Consultant

  • "FuhGedDaBouDit!"




    William Bernstein, Author of
    The Four Pillars of Investing
    (When Asked Whether We Can Use the Old School Safe Withdrawal Rate Studies to Plan Our Retirements)

  • "This [The Stock-Return Predictor]
    Is a Very Handy Little Tool."






    Felix Salmon, Market Movers Blog

  • "A Much Simpler Way to Bring
    the Valuation Issue to Focus."
    (Referring to The Stock-Return Predictor)





    Karteek Narayanaswarmy, Blogger

  • "It's Informative, It's Based on Solid Data and It Provides Useful Results." (Referring to The Stock-Return Predictor)






    Political Calculations Blog

  • "Meet Three Couples Who Left the Corporate World to Do the Kinds of Work That Satisfied Them."






    Liz Pulliam Weston, MSN Money Columnist

  • "I Like Rob's Fresh Views and Tips
    on the Subject of Saving Money."






    The Digerati Life Blog

  • "A Very Solid Approach to Investing."







    Michael Harr, Founder of Walden Advisors

  • "Rob Bennett Has Been on a Tear With One Outstanding RobCast After Another."





    John Walter Russell, Owner of
    Early-Retirement-Planning-Insights.com Site

  • "It’s Time for a Different Way to Look at Investing, and Rob Is Onto Something Here."






    Kevin Mercadante, Owner of Out of Your Rut Blog

  • "My Afternoon Train Reading."
    (Referring to Rob's Article titled
    Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never Work)





    Barry Ritholtz, Owner of The Big Picture Blog

  • "What Is It With Guys Named Rob?
    Longtime Index Agitator Rob Arnott Has Now
    Been Joined on These Pages by a
    Vanguard Diehard Agitator Named Rob Bennett."




    Jim Wiandt, IndexUniverse.com Publisher

  • "He Offers a Fresh New Perspective
    that Will Motivate You to Get on Track
    With a Solid Savings Plan."





    Lynn Terry, Click Newz Blog

  • "While Browsing at www.PassionSaving.com the Other Day, I Discovered an Article Featuring Ten Unconventional Money-Saving Tips. Each of These Offers a New Way to See Money."




    J.D. Roth, Owner of Get Rich Slowly Site

  • "Rob Has Ideas About Investing That Many Bloggers Find 'Interesting.' His Posts Are Often Controversial and Always Thought Provoking."





    Miranda Marquit, Planting Money Seeds Blog

  • "Is There a Way to Turn Saving Into Something Fun? If There Was, I Bet a Lot More of Us Would Do a Lot More Saving. I Found a Website Where This Basic Premise Is Explored in Great Depth."




    The Great WeiszGuy Blog

  • "I Have Much More Confidence in My Ability to Understand What Is Happening....I Thank You for Your Public Service, and, In Another Dimension, for the Personal Courage It Took to Make It Happen."




    Elizabeth, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Was Hooked on the Idea of [Passive] Index Indexing, But Something Inside Made Me Wonder "Too Good to Be True?" and "What's the Downside?" I Happened on to Your Site and Valuation-Informed Indexing Seems to Make Sense."



    Coleen, PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Reads Like a Casual Conversation
    with a Likable Guy Who Wants Nothing More
    Than to Help Others Experience the Same Joy
    and Happiness He Has Found."




    Kara, Reader of Rob's Book

  • "Your 'Secrets' Are Exactly Like Magic Tricks: Once Revealed, They Look So Simple, Yet You Need Somebody to Show You How It Works."





    Kramerizio, Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Rob's Da Man! Never in the History of the Diehards Forum Has One Poster, Always Making Civil and Well Thought-Out Posts, Managed to Irritate So Many Without Anyone Being Able to Articulate a Good Reason As to Why."




    Mephistopheles, Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "I’ve Been Surprised at How Controversial This Idea Is, but If Most People Are Buying and Holding, They Are Emotionally Invested in This Strategy."





    Jennifer Barry, Live Richly Blogger

  • "The Findings for [Long-Term] Market Timing Are So Robust That It Hardly Matters How We Do It."






    Wade Pfau, Asociate Professor of Economics

  • "The Elegant Simplicity of His Ideas Throughout Warms the Heart and Startles the Brain."






    Tom Gardner, Co-Founder of the Motley Fool Site

  • "Mr. Bennett Evidences an Unusual Skill....
    You'll Have to Buy a Copy....Extraordinary....
    A Massive Heap of Crap."




    John Greaney,
    Owner of the Retire Early Home Page Site

  • "By Reading All the Information on Your Website I Was Able to Develop a Part of Me I Didn't Know I Would Be Able to Become."





    Javier, PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Innovative Financial Thinking."







    No Limits, Ladies Blog

  • "Knowledgeable."







    Hope to Prosper Blog

  • "Holy Toledo! This Is Great Stuff!"






    Bill Schultheis, Author of
    The New Coffeehouse Portfolio

  • ""He Offers Down-to-Earth But
    Nevertheless Eye-Opening Insights About
    the Why and the How of Early Retirement."





    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Challenges Unfounded Assumptions."







    Bill Sholar, Founder of the Early Retirement Forum

  • "Seminal."






    John Greaney, Owner of Retire Early Home Page Site
    (Pre-May 13, 2002 Version)

  • "It’s Always Good to Read Something New That Challenges Your Way of Thinking."






    Invest It Wisely Blog

  • "Rob, Thanks for All of Your Articulate, Well-Written and Well-Reasoned Commentary."






    Elle, a Poster at the Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "Although Rob and I Don’t See Eye to Eye
    on Every Detail, His Site Is a
    Valuable Resource for Research."





    Ken Faulkenberry, Portfolio Manager

  • "Thanks, Rob. I Love Seeing So Many
    Personal Finance Bloggers Who Offer Such
    High Quality Content on Their Own Sites Come Here
    to Weigh In [on Your Ideas]."




    Married With Debt Blogger

  • "A Ton of Tremendously Useful Content."







    Network Abundance Radio

  • "Your Enthusiasm Is Infectious."







    Ruth, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Woke Up at 4:00 am and Stared at the Wall for 20 Minutes....Thank You for Doing What You Do."






    Tasha, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "It Might Just Give You
    a New Way of Looking at Saving."






    Kevin Surbaugh, Owner of Debt Free 4Ever Blog

  • "'Staying Too Long in a Job Where You Don’t Feel Relevant Takes a Toll,' Said Rob Bennett, Who Worked for Years in a Well-Paying Corporate Communications Job Where He Didn’t Have Enough to Do."




    The New York Times

  • "You Have Started One of the Most Interesting
    and Stimulating Discussions This Board has Seen
    in a Long Time."





    Poster at Motley Fool Site

  • "A Respected Author and Commentator, Mr. Bennett has Dedicated Himself to Educating Average Investors to Avoid the Most Common Errors."





    Liberty Watch Site

  • "I've Gone from Shattered Dreams of Early Retirement to Glimpses of Hope to Reassurance from Quantitative Research."





    Patricia, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Some of the Most Helpful and Insightful Market Discussions on the Web Take Place on These Pages."





    A Poster at the Safe WithDrawal Rate Research Group
    (Founded by Rob)

  • "Rob is the Only Person I Know (If Only via Message Board) Who has Completely Opted Out of Participation in the Stock Bubble. And You Know What? He Has Benefited Immensely from Doing So."




    Poster at Motley Fool

  • "Makes the Subject of Saving Edgy and Fresh."







    Maxine, A Reader of Rob's Book

  • "Rob Bennett, the Author of a Book Called Passion Saving, Thinks the Saving Problem Is Partly One of Packaging. So He Prefers to Couch it in the Language of Freedom."





    The Wall Street Journal

  • "This Tip Comes from Rob Bennett
    of the Finance Site PassionSaving.com."






    Lifehacker.com

  • "I LOVE This Article and
    Am Proud to be Publishing It!"




    Chuck Yanikoski, Executive Director of
    The Association of Integrative Financial
    and Life Planning

  • "Rob Bennett: Some People Disagree With Him, and He Rubs a Lot of People the Wrong Way. But He Has Interesting Ideas About Valuation-Informed Indexing, and He Delves Into a Lot of What Makes a Successful Investing Strategy."



    Miranda Marquit, Planting Money Seeds Blog

  • "Rob….Wow…..Your Response Sent Shivers
    Up the Ol’ Pilgrim Spine."






    Neal Frankie, Owner of the Wealth Pilgrim Blog

  • "I Have Counseled My Clients to Allocate a Percentage to Equities Based Upon Market Valuations....I Feel Like I've Found a Kindred Spirit. Fascinating Web Site."





    Tom Behlmer, Financial Planner

  • “A Simple Age-Based Asset Allocation Formula Is Not Appropriate, and Any Sensible Asset-Allocation Formula Should Combine Both Age/Investment Horizon and Market Valuation Levels.”




    RationalInvestor.biz

  • "Had a Guest Post This Week from Rob Bennett, Where He Discusses the Benefits of Value-Informed Indexing, Which I Find Very Intriguing."





    Sustainable Personal Finance Blog

  • "I Can Appreciate Rob's Comments.... Buy-and-Hold?
    For the Most Part, a Long Obsolete Theory."






    Neal Deutsch, Certified Financial Planner

  • "Utterly Brilliant!"







    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Your Website Is So Enjoyable That It Is Keeping Me From My Research As I Am So Excited That I Have Found Such a Valuable Resource."





    Stuart, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "What We're Talking About Here Really
    ...Is Empowerment."






    Motley Fool Poster

  • "The Return Predictor Is Based upon the Principle that Over the Long Term, Stock Market Prices Will Reflect the Ten-Years Earnings Growth of the Underlying Companies. Prices Return to a Common Growth Pattern."




    Links.com Review of The Stock-Return Predictor

  • "Rob’s Arguments in Favor of Value Investing Actually Make a Lot of Sense In a Way That Should Make Any Rational Buy-and-Holder Uncomfortable."





    Pop Economics Blog

  • "What I Don't Understand Is How Rob Can Correspond in Such a Sweet and Polite Way
    -- Yet He Irritates Me to No End!"





    Financial WebRing Forum Poster

  • "You Go About It in a Manner that is Catastrophically Unproductive by Adding Missionary Zeal that Inflates Your Importance and Demeans Others. The Whole Idea That There is a New School of Safe Withdrawal Rates Reeks of Personal Aggrandizement."



    Scott Burns, Dallas Morning News

  • "Inflammatory."







    Morningstar.com Site Administrator

  • “What Warren Buffett Did Was Essentially Quite Close to What Rob Bennett Has Written. Buffett Has in Fact Been Cleverly Incorporating Long-Term Market Timing Based on Valuation of the Market in His Allocation of Money to Stocks.”



    Investor Notes Blog

  • "This Report Offers A Fresh Perspective That Is Rarely Found In Other Financial Literature."






    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Rob Bennett Says That Market Timing Based on Aggregate P/E Ratios Can Be a Far More Effective Strategy. This Claim Is Consistent With Shiller's Analysis and I Can See How It Might Be So."




    Rajiv Sethi, Economics Professor at Columbia Univeristy

  • "Retiring Early Was A Concept I Did Not Entertain. I Was Going to Retire at 65 After Putting in 40 Years. Now I Am Glad To Say That All That Has Changed."





    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "In a Couple of Days, I Had
    Devoured the Entire Book."






    Reader of Rob's Book

  • "FIRECalc May Not Be the Last Word
    on Safe Withdrawal Rates."






    Jonathan Clements, Wall Street Journal

  • "It Seems to Me That Some on This Board Feel Threatened by the Arrival of Rob and His Ideas. They Feel a Threat to Their Perceived Elite Status."





    Motley Fool Poster

  • "You've Got to Say One Thing for Rob. He Has NEVER Lowered Himself to Ad Hominen Attacks -- Subliminal or Otherwise -- on Any Other Person on This Board. Not Once. Ever. At Least Give Him Credit for That."




    Motley Fool Poster

  • "I Have Never Seen Rob Show Incivility. No Matter What. Truly Amazing. Either He Is Really the Output of an Artificial Intelligence Program, or the Man's on the Way to Becoming a Saint!"




    Early Retirement Forum Poster

  • "You're the Politest Guy on the Internet.
    Such a Soft Touch!"






    Jonathan Lewis

  • "Props for Keeping Your Cool in the Married with Debt Article. Best of Luck Combating Buy-and-Hold."






    Money Mamba Blogger

  • "I Caught Up [at the Financial Bloggers Conference] With a Fairly Controversial Financial Blogger
    Named Rob Bennett, Who Struck Me As the
    Nicest Guy Around. There -- I Said It!"




    Digerati Life Blogger

  • "In Rob Bennett's Case, He Was Banned for No Known Listed Forum Policy. Except His Viewpoint Was Different From Other Bogleheads and [He Was Perceived As] a Threat."




    Investor Junkie Blog

  • "Mr. Bennett, You Are Spot on About Integrating Some Type of Valuation Filter to One's Stock Allocation. Astute Investors Have Incorporated Some Type of 'Valuation Timing' Into Their Investment Decisions Since the Beginning of Time."



    Poster at the Psy Fi Blog

  • "His Insights Into What Is Really Going On In The Stock Market Are Quite Compelling."






    Future Storm Blog

  • "It Was an Epiphany...Valuation-Informed Indexing Beats Buy-and-Hold Over Most Long-Term Holding Periods at Much Lower Volatility."





    Sam, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Am Intrigued By Your Ideas."







    Adam Butler, Portfolio Manager

  • "I Read the Book and I Loved It.
    The Philosophy Resonated with Me.
    I Am a Believer in Your Concept."





    Dr. Peter Weiss, Author of More Health, Less Care

  • "If Your Investment Ideas Can Do for Investing
    What Weston Price’s Ideas Did for Food,
    You’ve Got Our Attention."





    End Times Hoax Blog

  • "I Have Looked at His Website and Reviewed His Research and Find It Both Compelling and Completely Logical and Common-Sense-Based."





    Poster at Free Money Finance Blog

  • "If Investors Paid More Attention to Valuations, We Would Have Fewer Boom-and-Bust Cycles. The Investing Institutions Are Definitely Going to Avoid It Because It Affects Their Income."




    Hope to Prosper Blog

  • "The Calculators on Your Site Are Great Resources. It Amazes Me How So Many People Can Say 'Valuations Matter' Yet, in the Next Breath, They'll Say That We Should Ignore Valuations."




    John Marlowe, Logistics Analyst at Hess Corporation

  • "Must Read As Per My Viewpoint
    For All Value Seekers."






    Ajit Vakil, Value Investing Congress

  • "His Approach Is Both Mathematically Rigorous
    and Easy to Understand."






    Online Investing AI Blog

  • "There Is Nothing More Doubtful of Success Than a New System. The Initiator Has the Enmity of All Who Profit By Preservation of the Old Institution and Merely Lukewarm Defenders in Those Who Gain By the New One."




    Machiavelli

  • "Difficult Subjects Can Be Explained to the Most Slow-Witted Man If He Has Not Formed Any Idea of Them. But the Simplest Thing Cannot Be Made Clear to the Most Intelligent Man If He Believes He Knows Already What Is Laid Before Him."



    Tolstoy

  • "I Am Not Afraid. I Was Born to Do This."







    Joan of Arc

  • "I Certainly Have Seen the Academic Profession Squelching Unfashionable ideas and Have Often Been on the Wrong Side of It. Kuhn Shows How Most Pathbreaking Scientific Ideas Are Rejected at First, Usually for Decades.”




    Carol Osler, Brandeis International Business School

  • "First They Ignore You, Then They Ridicule You, Then They Fight You, Then You Win."






    Ghandi

  • "We Cannot Assume the Existence of Predictability Just Because There Are No Studies That Fully Reject It."






    Valeriy Zakamulin, Economics Professor

  • "I Am Also Extremely Grateful to Rob Bennett for Motivating This Topic and Contributing His Experience and Encouragement."





    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "Rob Bennett Was an Early Pioneer in 3rd Generation Modeling by Advocating (Through Various Online Forums) that Withdrawal Rates Must Be Adjusted for Market Valuations Consistent with Research by Campbell and Shiller."



    Todd Tresidder, Financial Mentor Blog

  • "I Am Fascinated by the Growing Body of Research that Revolves Around the P/E10 Ratio by Robert Shiller, Doug Short, Wade Pfau, Michael Kitces, John Hussman, Crestmont Research, Jim Otar, Mike Philbrick, Adam Butler & Rob Bennett."



    Kay Conheady in Advisor Perspectives

  • "Rob Is an Enigma in the Personal Finance World. He Has Interesting Theories on Investing Based on Market Valuations. But He Weaves a Tale Which Makes the Stories of Alexander Litvinenko & Gareth Williams Seem Tame by Comparison."



    Don't Quit Your Day Job Blog

  • "In Recent Years, the 4 Percent Rule
    Has Been Thrown Into Doubt."






    The Wall Street Journal

  • "A Safe Withdrawal Rate Is Very Dependent
    on the Valuation of the Stockmarket
    at the Retirement Date."





    Economist Magazine

  • "I Have Read Everything I Can About Valuation-Informed Indexing. Buy-and-Hold Is Extremely Problematic. I Respect the Passion, Hard Work and Research That You Have Put Into This Very Important Issue. Your Work Has Huge Value."



    Carl Richards, Owner of Clearwater Asset Management

  • "The World of Personal Finance Blogging Needs More Rob Bennetts. He’s Passionate. He’s Intelligent. He’s Writing Things That Go Against the Grain."





    Financial Uproar Blog

  • "Beyond Awesome."







    Larry, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "The Wealth Management Industry Seems Intent on Containing This Discussion for Fear Clients Might Discover that the Emperor Has No Clothes."





    Adam Butler, Portfolio Manager

  • "Recommended Reading."







    Jesse's Cafe Americain Blog

  • “All Who Are Still Holding Equities at Present Levels Because Their Financial Adviser Insists that Timing Market Cycles Is Impossible to Do -- Read This!"





    Juggling Dynamite Blog

  • "The Fact that Aggressive and Short-Term Market Timing Was Unproductive Did Not Mean That There Were Never Times When It Would Be Wealth-Maximizing to Get Out of the Market."



    Scott Burris,Director of the Center for
    Health Law, Policy and Practice

  • "The Amount of Return You Can Expect From a Diversified Equity Portfolio Is Inversely Correlated to the Market Valuation at the Start of the Holding Period. It Is One of the Most Robust Statistical Relationships in Modern Finance."




    Todd Tresidder, Financial Mentor Blog

  • "Why Would Your Job Be Jeopardized
    By Such a Sensible Claim?"





    Marcelle Chauvet, Econmics Professor
    at University of California

  • "Received Worrisome E-Mail from Rob Bennett. Warns of Risk with Buy-and-Hold Investing
    -- I Have No Clue."





    Vivek Wadhaw, Business Week Columnist

  • "As Attorney, Tax Expert and Financial Writer Rob Bennett Told Us, the Problem Is That, By the Time Shiller Published His Research, Many Big Names Had Already Endorsed Buy-and-Hold."




    ZeroHedge.com

  • "This Seems to Me to Be a Fundamental Challenge to Some of the Most Basic Tenets of the Boglehead Paradigm."






    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "You Want to be Very, Very Wary of Anything Connected with Rob Bennett, the Most Infamous Troll in the History of Investing Forums on the Internet."





    Alex Fract, Owner of Bogleheads Forum

  • “I’ve Had My Fill of Those Long-Winded Posts that Include Distortions, Unsubstantiated Claims, Misquotes and Comments Taken Out of Context.”




    Mel Lindauer, Co-Author of
    The Bogleheads Guide to Investing

  • "Haven't You Noticed Yet That NO ONE Discusses Your Ideas, NO ONE Mentions Your Name, NO ONE Goes To Your Web Site."





    One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I've Had Similar Experiences. I Know of Two Young Professors Who Wanted to Do Research on Fundamental Index and Reported to Me That Their Colleagues Advised Them That This Line of Research Could Derail Their Career Prospects."



    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "As with Drug Studies Funded by Drug Companies, It Would Be Churlish to Suppose that the Chicago School of Business Was in the Bag. But It Would Also Be Idealistic to Assume That There Was No Funding Bias at All."




    Bogleheads Poster

  • "This Sort of Intimidation Is Not Acceptable. The Cigarette and Pharmaceutical Industries Found Research Supporting Their Products By Funding It. But That Was Big Money Supporting Outcomes, Not Dissuading Others."




    Lyn Graham, 25-Year CPA

  • "Financial Economists Gave Little Warning to the Public About the Fragility of Their Models. There Is No Ethical Code for Professional Economic Scientists. There Should Be One."



    Paper Titled The Financial Crisis and
    the Systemic Failure of Academic Economics

  • "The Situation [Referring to the Intimidation Tactics Used to Silence Academic Researcher Wade Pfau's Reporting of the Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies] Seems Well Below Any Professional and Academic Acceptable Standards."



    Albert Sanchez Graells, Law Lecturer

  • Many Academics Can Become Quite Strident When Their Views Are Challenged. Academia Is Often Subject to Self-Serving Bias That Obliterates Ethical Bounds."





    Ted Sichelman, Law Professor

  • "I Don't Like Too Much the Conspiracy Idea. I Am Not Pressured By Anyone in My Research."






    Roberto Reno, Economics Professor

  • "This Is What Investing Should Be -- Calculated, Deliberate, Confident, Informed and Simple."






    Aaron Friday, Owner of Aaron's Blob Blog

  • "It Is Obvious that Rob, in Attempting to Identify New Safe Withdrawal Rate Strategies...Is Goring Your Ox. If Rob Improves on [the] Safe Withdrawal Rate Methodology, the Implication Is Clear: You Are All, Metaphorically, Out of Business."



    Bogleheads Poster

  • "I Applaud His Effort to Inject Another Piece of Objectivity Into a Very Complex, Highly Subjective Topic -- Making Money in the Market."





    Bogleheads Poster

  • "Naturally, I Am Finding That Valuation-Informed Indexing Can Allow You to Reach a Wealth Target With a Lower Saving Rate and to Use a Higher Withdrawal Rate in Retirement Than You Could With a Fixed Allocation."



    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "A Careful Examination of Past Returns Can Establish Some Probabilities About the Prospective Parameters of Return, Offering Intelligent Investors a Basis for Rational Expectations About Future Returns."




    Jack Bogle, Founder of Vanguard Funds

  • "The Ability to Estimate the Long-Term Future Returns of the Major Asset Classes Is Perhaps the Most Important Investment Skill That An Indivisual Can Possess."




    William Bernstein, Author of The Four Pillars of Investing

  • "The Stock Market Resembles Roulette. In Both Cases, the Accuracy of Sensible Forecasts Rises Over Time."






    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "Returns Are for the Most Part a Matter of Simple Arithmetic...Much of Our Industry Seems Fearful of Basic Arithmetic of This Sort."





    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "How Can It Be That One-Year Returns Are So Apparantly Random and Yet Ten-Year Returns Are Mostly Forecastable? In Looking at One-Year Returns, One Sees a Lot of Noise. But Over Longer Time Intervals the Noise Effectively Averages Out and Is Less Important."




    Yale Economics Professor Robert Shiller

  • "The Notion That Rich Valuations Will Not Be Followed By Sub-Par Long-Term Returns Is a Speculative Idea That Runs Counter to All Historical Evidence. It Is an Iron Law of Finance That Valuations Drive Long-Term Returns."




    John Hussman

  • "It's January and the Temperature Is Below Freezing. If You Asked Me Whether It Will be Warmer or Cooler Next Tuesday, I Would Be Unable to Say. However, If You Asked Me What Temperature to Expect on April 9, I Could Predict "Warmer Than Today" and Almost Surely Be Right."



    Michael Alexanfer, Author of Stock Cycles

  • "If the Response Is "Who Knew?", It Won't Be Much Comfort for Retirees in the Employment Line at Wal-Mart. This is Especially True Since a Rational Understanding of History and the Drivers of Longer-Term Stock Returns Can Help Retirees To Avoid That Surprise."




    Ed Easterling, Author of Unexpected Returns

  • "New of the Demise of the Random Walk Has Only Very Slowly Spread, In Part Because Its Overthrow Came as a Shock. If the Random Walk Hypothesis Were Correct, the Most Likely Return Would Be the Historic Average Return. The Evidence, However, Is Strongly Against This."



    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "I Don't Think We Can Debate the Merits of This Type of Forecasting [Referring to the Numbers Generated by The Stock-Return Predictor] Unless We Believe 'This Time It's Different.'"



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    (Before the Ban on Honest Posting Was Adopted There)

  • "I've Seen Absolutely Nothing From You That I Can Use in a Tangible Fashion to Formulate an Investment Plan. Your Ideas Are So Mushy That It's a Complete Waste of Time to Even Consider Them."




    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "Do You Really Think Your Tool
    [The Stock-Return Predictor]
    Is 'Wiser' Than the Market?
    If It Was That Easy,
    Everybody Would Be Doing It."



    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "The Expected Return of Stocks [As Reported By The Stock-Return Predictor] Needs To Be At Least the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) Rate for Stock Investing To Make Sense."




    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "I Have Used Valuations to Adjust My Asset Allocation For Many Years With Very Favorable Results."





    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "I Don't Care If You Do or Don't Believe That the Market Will Behave Similarly in the Future As It Has in the Past. Either Way, This [The Stock-Return Predictor] Is an Excellent Way to Understand What the Market Has Done In the Past."


    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "My Role Is To Give People Who Don't Like What the Historical Stock-Return Data Says About the Effect of Valuations on Long-Term Returns Somebody To Yell At On Internet Discussion Boards."



    Rob Bennett at Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "It Really Is a Shame and Indefensible That So Many Feel the Need to Jump Into It With No Interest of Posting on the Topic But Just to Disrupt. Are You That Insecure? Some on the Forum Have an Interest in This Topic. If You Don't, Stay Out!"



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "Irrational Behavior Does Follow Patterns. But How Many Experts in Behavioral Finance Believe That Such Knowledge Can Be Used to Predict Markets? Basically, None. Your Model Cannot Attain the Level of Predictive Value You Claim."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "The Safe Withdrawal Rate Studies Are Based on History. This [The Retirement Risk Evaluator] Shows, Based on the Same History, What the Probabilities Are for the Future at Various Starting Points. If the First Has Value, Then Surely This Does Too."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum

  • "There Are Hundreds of People Who Contributed to This. This Calculator [The Stock-Return Predictor] Demonstrates in a Compelling Way the Power of This New Internet Discussion-Board Communications Medium."




    Rob Bennett at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "A P/E10 of'26' Is Bad. Now Look at the 30-Year Return Predicted by the Calculator -- 5.4 Percent Real. That's Not Bad. There Are All Sorts of Strategic Implications That Follow From Understanding That Stocks Provide Different Sorts of Returns Over Different Sorts of Time-Periods."




    Rob Bennett

  • "I Would Never Invest in Anything Without Having Any Idea What the Expected Return Is. For Instance, I Would Not Walk Into a Bank And Say "I'll Take One Certificate of Deposit, Please" WIthout Asking What Rate They Are Offering."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "I've Seen Things Said on Investing Boards That I Have Never Heard Said in Discussions of Any Non-Investing Topic. The Question of Whether Valuations Affect Long-Term Returns Is a Topic That Causes People More Emotional Angst Than Does Abortion or Impeachment Proceedings or the War in Iraq."



    Rob Bennett at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "It's Not Possible For Those Who Have Come to Believe That Stocks Are Always Best to Accept that Valuations Matter. The Two Beliefs Are Mutually Exclusive. If Valuations Matter, There Is Obviously Some Valuation Level At Which Stocks Are Not Best. The Two Paradigms Cannot Be Reconciled."


    Rob Bennett

  • "The Great Safe Withdrawal Rate Is Over. Rob Bennett Has Won.The Technical Evidence Supporting This Assertion Is Rock Solid."




    John Walter Russell,
    Owner of the Early Retirement Planning Insights Site
    [This Statement Was Put Forward on August 3, 2003.]

  • "I Am Afraid that the Emperor SWR [for "Safe Withdrawal Rate"] Has No Clothes."





    A Poster at the Early Retirement Forum
    [This Statement Was Put Forward on October 8, 2003.]

  • "I Cite You and John Walter Russell in My Paper as the Earliest and Strongest Advocates of This Approach [New School Safe Withdrawal Rate Research]."




    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "Dear Rob -- I Just Became Aware of Your Past Research in September. Since Then, I've Read Archives From Many Discussion Boards and Websites, and I Always Find Your Writing to Be Very Interesting and Intriguing."



    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "I Think Rob Bennett Did Provide An Important Contribution in Terms of Describing a Way for P/E10 to Guide Asset Allocation for Long-Term Conservative Investors. I Also Think He Was Right on the Issue of Safe Withdrawal Rates."


    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "What Studies Show This [That Long-Term Timing Doesn't Work]? In Particular, Are There Some Academic Studies That I Haven't Found Yet? That's All I Want to Know."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum After His Own Search of the Literature Turned Up Not a Single Such Study

  • "Because the Precise Timing of This Mean Reversion Is Not Known in Advance, Expecting the Result to Happen in the Short-Term Will Not Be Possible. But Long-Term Investors Who Can Be Patient Can Wait for This Mean Reversion and Will Eventually Come Out Ahead."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Your Work Is at Odds with the Ethos of the Board -- Here the Theme is John Bogle's Philosophy, Which Eschews Market Timing. This Board Came Into Existence to ESCAPE One Individual, the Very Individual With Whom You Have Openly Aligned Yourself."




    A Lindaurhead (to Researcher Wade Pfau)

  • "The Problem With Long-Term Market Timing Is That It Takes Too Long to Find Out If You Are Right or Wrong."






    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "Why Is It Such an Odious Violation of the Tenets of Bogleheadism to Explore Whether Someone Who Has Enough Patience Might Be Able to Benefit from the Transitory Nature of Speculative Returns (the Idea That the P/E Ratio Eventually Ends Up Where It Started)?"




    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "Let Me Explain Why I Posted About This Here. Valuation-Informed Indexing Has Had Critics for Years. But Until Norbert Did It In 2008, Nobody Seemed to Have Provided a Serious Investigation of It. I Couldn't Understand Why. That Bothered Me."



    Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "If You Really Don't Like Market Timing in Any and All Forms, You May Not See Any Point in an Empirical Investigation. You View Me as One of a Long Line of Hucksters Trying to Sell You Some Snake Oil. I Don't Want to Be Such a Person."



    Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "Having a Completely Ineleastic Demand for Equities Is a Bit Bonkers. No One Acts That Way with Life's Other Important Commodities. Campbell Advocates a Linear Valuations-Based Strategy so That You Wouldn't Be Making Big Changes. This Would Be Like Rebalancing But More Flexible."



    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "The Whole Idea of Valuation-Informed Indexing Belongs to You. Do You Mind if I call the Paper 'Valuation-Informed Indexing'? I Would Give You Credit. I Have Been Toying With the Idea of Sending the Paper to the Journal of Finance, Which Is the Most Prestigious Journal in Academic Finance."


    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau, in an E-Mail to Rob

  • "I Definitely Need to Cite You as the Founder of Valuation-Informed Indexing, As I Have Not Found Anyone Else Who Can Lay Claim to That. Shiller Pointed Out the Predictive Power of P/E10 But Never Discussed How to Incorporate It Into Asset Allocation, As Far As I Know."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "I Tested a Wide Variety of Assumptions About Asset Allocation, Valuation-Based Decision Rules, Whether the Period Is 10, 20, 30 or 40 Years, and Lump-Sum vs. Dollar-Cost Averaging To Show That the Results Are Quite Robust to Changes In Any of These Assumptions."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Yes, Virginia, Valuation-Informed Indexing Works!"




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau
    (Wade Holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton.)
    (The Buy-and-Hold Mafia Threatened to Get Wade Fired From His Job When He Reported His Findings.)

  • "I Wrote Up the Programs to Test Your Valuation-Informed Indexing Strategies Against Buy-and-Hold and I Am Quite Excited. You Say in the RobCast That VII Should Beat Buy-and-Hold About 90 Percent of the Time. I Am Getting Results That Support This."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Never Underestimate the Power of a Dominant Academic Idea to Choke Off Competing Ideas, and Never Underestimate the Unwillingness of Academics to Change Their Views in the Face of Evidence. They Have Decades of Their Research and Academic Standing to Defend."




    Jeremy Grantham

  • "There's So Much That's False and Nutty
    in Modern Investing Practice."






    Warren Buffett

  • "Following Conventional Wisdom Has Led a Generation of Investors Down the Road to Ruin."






    Steve Hanke

  • "It Is Sad That the Idea That Price Doesn't Matter...Should Ever Have Been Seriously Considered".






    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "The Conventional Wisdom of Modern Investing Is Largely Myth and Urban Legend."





    Rob Arnott, Former Editor of
    Fianncial Analysts Journal

  • "Economics Is a Dog's Breakfast of Theoretical Ideas and Alleged Causal Relationships That Are At All Times Unproven and In Dispute."





    Terence Corcoran, Editor of National Post

  • "Since They Did Not Diagnose the Disease, There Is Little Popular Confidence That They Know the Cure. What If Economics Is, Actually, At the Same Level as Medicine Was When Doctors Still Believed in the Application of Leeches?"




    Gideon Rachman, Financial Times

  • "One of the Most Remarkable Errors
    in the History of Economics."



    Yale Economics Professor Robert Shiller
    (Referring to the Logical Leap from the Finding That Short-Term Price Changes Are Unpredictable to the Conclusion That the Market Sets Prices Properly)

  • "Everything Has Fallen Apart."






    Peter Bernstein, Author of Against the Gods
    (Referring to Old Views About How Markets Work)

  • "We Wonder Why Funds and Banks, Full of the Best and Brightest, Have Made Such a Mess of Things. Part of the Reason Is That We Have Taught Economic Nonsense to Two Generations of Students."




    John Mauldin, Thoughts From the Frontline

  • "Perhaps Most Scandalously, the Theory [Behind Buy-and-Hold] Remained Received Wisdom Long After Empirical and Theoretical Arguments Had Demolished It Within the Academic Community."




    John Authers, Financial Times

  • "I Love the Humans Dearly (the Title of the Book I Am Writing Is Investing for Humans: How to Get What Works on Paper to Work in Real Life) But They Can Be a Trial at Times. Hey! Helping the Humans Learn What It Takes to Invest Effectively Is Not All That Different From Being Married!



    Rob Bennett

  • "We Are Going to See Hearts Melt Following the Next Crash. I Will Be Working Side-By-Side With All of My Many Buy-and-Hold Friends to Rebuild Our Broken Economy."





    Rob Bennett

  • "Wow, I Did Not Realize You Had Achieved This Much Success and Had Many Devoted Believers/Followers. That’s Great, Then Ignore the Opposition. It Is Great to Have Opposition: That Means You Are Doing Something Right."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I Do NOT Believe I Know It All. I Believe That Shiller Discovered Something Very Important and It Appalls Me That More People Are Not Exploring the Implications of His Findings. My Aim Is To Launch a National Debate."




    Rob Bennett

  • "I Can See How Many Readers Would Be Put Off by the Somewhat Sensational/Scandalist Tone and Would Not Persevere to Read, Thinking You Are Losing Your Mind."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I LOVE Everything About Buy-and-Hold Other Than the Failure to Encourage Investors to Take Price Into Consideration When Setting Their Stock Allocations. That's a Mistake That Was Made Because Shiller’s Research Was Not Available at the Time The Strategy Was Being Developed."



    Rob Bennett

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Sounds Like a Real Thing. If It Is and I Can Thoroughly Understand It, Then It Will End Up In My Classrooms and in My Students' Minds (Of Course, With References to You and Wade)."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I Can Confirm Wade Pfau's Experience. Whenever I Send My Papers to the Financial Analysts Journal or Similar Traditional Journals, I Get Rejected."





    Joachim Klement, CIO at Wellershoff & Partners

  • "As a Fan of Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, I Know That Progress Can Be Frustratingly Slow and What Is Typically Needed Is Either a Crisis or the Ascent of a New Generation of Scientists Who Did Not Build Their Careers on the Old Models and Theories."




    Joachim Klement, CIO at Wellershoff & Partners

  • "We Trace the Deeper Roots [of the Financial Crisis] to the Economics' Profession's Insistence on Constructing Models That, By Design, Disregard the Key Elements Driving Outcomes in Real World Markets."




    Knowledge@Wharton

  • "Rob Gets Himself So Worked Up Over What Someone Else Is Doing With Their Own Money and Not Bothering Rob in the Least. As Long As They Aren't Knocking on Your Basement Door, What Do You Care? They Are Happy and Content. Leave Well Enough Alone and Focus on Your Own Account."


    Dab, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I've Been on Forum Since the BBS Days and I Think Rob is Special. He Could Be an Internet Meme If He Put Some Effort Into It. Someday, He Will Realize That the Only Thing He's Good At Is Being an Epic Loser. He Just Needs to Embrace That Idea and Run With It. Watch Out, LOLCats, Here Comes Pathetic Guy!"


    Wabmaster, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "Your Lies Are Not Even in the Realm of the Possible, Much Less Actually Credible, Much Less Actually True."






    Drip Guy, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I'm Your Friend. I Am Not a Boil on Your Ass."






    Rob Bennett, In a Response Comment
    to One of the Greaney Goons

  • "You Guys [the Greaney Goons] Are the Same Jokers Who Have Done This Before, Sparring with Rob Over Nonsensical Issues On This Site and Others, Leveling Personal Attacks, and You Don't Even Use Real Names! Rob Is Entitled to His Opinion, But the Fact That You Challenge Every Jot and Tittle of What He Says Makes It Clear You Have An Unholy Agenda. Please Take It Elsehwere."

    Kevin Mercadante,
    Owner of the Out of Your Rut Site

  • "Rob, Take This As Friendly Advice. You're a Smart and Articulate Guy and You Could Be Making Valuable Contributions to This Discussion. I've Dealt with the Mentally Ill Before and I've Found That They Sometimes Can Be Reasonable If Gently Redirected."



    Goon Poster

  • "Always Remember Others May Hate You, But Those Who Hate You Don't Win Unless You Hate Them, and Then You Destroy Yourself."





    Richard Nixon

  • "I’m a Numbers Guy. And I Believe I Understand Rob’s Thesis, that Future Returns, Over the Next Decade, Have a Tight Inverse Correlation to the PE10 for the Starting Point. Remember, Correlation Doesn’t Need to be 100%, Only That There’s a Bell Curve of Potential Outcomes that Shift Meaningfully Based on the Input."


    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "What a Difference a Threat to Get the Father of Two Small Children Fired From His Job Has on an Investing Discussion, Eh? Long Live Buy-and-Hold! It’s Science! With a Marketing Twist!"




    Rob, Referring to the Wade Pfau Matter

  • "I Respect Rob and His Analysis. He's Bright, Energetic and Passionate. [The Goon Stuff] Is Really Nonsense. I Enjoy a Thought-Provoking Conversation With People I Respect."





    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "The Fact that Shiller is a Proponent of the Approach Takes it from a Fringe View to Mainstream, in my Opinion."






    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "I Have had Academic Researchers Tell Me That They Dream of the Day When They Will be Able to do Honest Research Once Again. I Have had Investment Advisors Tell me That They Dream of the Day When They Will be Able to Give Honest Investing Advice Again."



    Rob Bennett

  • "Let’s Call a Spade a Spade, Shall We? Wade Pfau Stole Your Research and Put His Name on it, Throwing You Just a Tiny Crumb of Acknowledgement to Ward Off a Lawsuit. He’s Profiting Handsomely By His Theft, Leading a Charmed Life, Widely Published, Widely Respected. While Rob Bennett Continues to Toil in Total Obscurity. It’s So Incredibly Unfair, I Think If It Happened to Me, It Could Actually Drive Me Insane."

    One of the Greaney Goons

Navigation Menu 
  • About Us
    • Rob’s Bio
    • Rob’s Bio
    • Contact Rob
    • Rob’s Book
    • Don’t Sue Me!
  • Blog
  • Passion Saving
    • 20 Dangerous Money Myths — They Think We’re Stupid!
    • 10 Unconventional Money Saving Tips
    • Why Your Money or Your Life Rocked the World
    • This Book Saves Marriages — The Complete Tightwad Gazette
    • How to Start Saving Money
  • Valuation-Informed Indexing
    • Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never WorkThe Buy-and-Holders are not evil people. They are smart and good people. They made a mistake. They were so excited about their early findings that they experienced cognitive dissonance when the mistake was revealed. They painted themselves into a corner and now don’t know how to get out. This article explains how the mistake was made and how we came to find ourselves in the trap we are in today.
    • About Valuation-Informed IndexingBackground, Basics and Links to Materials Giving More In-Depth Information
    • The Stock-Return PredictorStocks are NOT always worth buying. That’s a Wall Street lie! This calculator performs a regression analysis on the 140 years of historical stock-return data to reveal the most likely annualized 10-year return for stocks starting from any valuation level. It essentially tells you the price tag for stocks so that you can know whether they are worth buying or not.
    • The Retirement Risk EvaluatorRob pointed out the errors in the Old School safe withdrawal rate studies in May 2002. That post kicked off the biggest controversy in the history of the internet. Today, The Wall Street Journal, Smart Money and The Economist all acknowledge that Rob had it right all along. But they still don’t provide calculators that give the right numbers! The safe withdrawal rate is not a constant number but VARIES with changes in the valuation level that applies on the day the retirement begins. This calculator provides all the details you need for effective planning.
    • The Investor’s Scenario SurferI have run this calculator hundreds of time. it is in my assessment the most powerful tool for learning how stock investing works available today. You have the option of choosing a new stock allocation in each year of a realistic 30-year sequence of returns. You can compare your results with what you would have achieved with a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You will find that Valuation-Informed Indexing strategies yield larger portfolios in 90 percent of your tests of the concept. What matters is what happens in the long term! This tool tells you what strategies give the best results in the long term.
    • The Investment Strategy TesterIf you are worried about losses you have suffered in recent years, you can use this tool to learn what you need to do to get back on the track to early financial freedom. The Strategy Tester lets you design a strategy you want to check out. Then it runs the hundreds of Scenario Surfer tests to see how the strategy compares with other possibilities you identify. The color-coded graphic gives you a good idea of what the odds are of good and bad outcomes for up to four investing strategies at a time.
    • The Returns Sequence Reality CheckerWe all root for price gains in the stock market. Should we? This calculator says “no!” Today’s price increase lowers tomorrow’s price increase. This has been so for the entire history of the market. So the question is whether you should want to pay more for stocks now or later. You are far better off paying more later because that means you get to acquire more gain-producing goodness earlier in life and thus you will enjoy more compounding return magic. This one will blow your mind. It’s a very simple concept but a highly counter-intutive one and one that will someday soon change how we all think about stock investing.
    • Nine Valuation-Informed-Indexing Portfolio Allocation StrategiesThis is the most popular of the 200 hour-long RobCasts that I provide at the site. It explores the nuts-and-bolts aspects of Valuation-Informed Indexing — How often do you change your allocation and by how much?
  • The Buy-and-Hold Crisis
    • Academic Researcher Silenced by Threats to Get Him Fired From His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing StrategiesMy aim is to get this story reported on the front page of the New York Times. On the day that happens, all the nastiness will stop. We will all be working together to bring the economic crisis to an end and to enter the greatest period of economic growth in our history.
    • Academic Researcher Silenced By Threats to Get Him Fired From His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies — Teaser VersionThis is a briefer version of the same article, the article that I believe is the most important one that I have written in my 30-year journalism career. I believe that the story told at this web site is the most important economic and political story of any of our lifetimes and this article sums up the key points in one little package of dynamite. If Buy-and-Hold were a legitimate strategy, every Buy-and-Holder would be ashamed to learn that even one academic researcher was threatened. We cannot move forward so long as the intimidation tactics of the Buy-and-Holders dominate all discussions of what works in stock investing. I use this short version of the article in my e-mail campaigns aimed at getting researcher and stock advisors and bloggers and journalists and policymakers involved in our effort to open the internet up to honest posting on ALL investing topics. Please help get others involved if you can. We are all in this together!
    • Corruption in the Investing Advice Field — The Wade Pfau StoryThis article provides links to all of my reports on my 16 months of correspondence with Academic Researcher Wade Pfau, the collaboration that produced the research we co-authored that shows millions of middle-class investors how to reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent (Ssshh! The Wall Street Con Men don’t want this one getting out!) If you retain doubts re whether Valuation-Informed Indexing is a real thing, looking over the materials available at this page and then reading a few of the reports that strike you as particularly important will dispel them. I believe that Wade will someday win a Nobel prize for the work he did here. The reports show his own skepticism and his transformed into excited BELIEVER in the Valuation-Informed Indexing concept.
    • The Bennett/Pfau Research Showing Middle-Class Investors How to Reduce the Risk of Stock Investing by 70 PercentYou do not have to take on a large amount of risk to obtain good returns. Why should you? When you buy an index fund, you are buying a tin share in the productivity of the U.S. economy. The U.S. economy has been sufficiently productive to support an average annual stock return of 6.5 percent real for 140 years now. So that’s what you can expect if you invest in a sensible way. But you are not being sensible if you follow a Buy-and-Hold strategy. You MUST consider price when buying stocks just as much as you must consider price when buying anything else. This is the most important investing research published in 30 years. It frees all of us from dependence on Wall Street “experts.”
    • Buy-and-Hold Caused the Economic CrisisThe first step to curing an illness is coming up with a correct diagnosis. What we have been hearing thus far about what caused the economic crisis is Democrats yelling at Republicans and Republicans yelling at Democrats. This political attack-game gibberish will not cut it. We borrowed huge amounts of money from our future selves to finance the insane bull of the late 1990s. Now we are our future selves! Now we are paying the price! It hurts to know we caused this. Buy you know what? We never have to suffer through something like this again once we acknowledge the realities.
    • The True Cause of the Current Financial Crisis — Questions and AnswersYale Economics Professor Robert Shiller predicted the economic crisis in his book “Irrational Exuberance,” published in March 2000. How did he know? Shiller knows how stock investing works. He knows that the Pretend Money created during times of overvaluation ALWAYS disappears over the course of 10 years or so. When that money disappears from our portfolios, we cannot afford to spend as much. So tens of thousands of businesses fail and millions lose their jobs. We avoid economic crises by avoiding out-of-control bull markets. We avoid out-of-control bull markets by letting investors know the truth — When stocks are selling at insanely inflated prices, they offer a very poor long-term value proposition. The lies that Wall Street tells about stocks are destroying out free-market economic system.
    • Investing Discussion Boards Ban Honest Posting on ValuationsLots of people hate me. There was a time when I was receiving fresh death threats in my e-mail inbox on an almost daily basis. But lots of people love me too. Thousands of my fellow community members have told me that I am the first person who ever described how stock investing works in a way that truly hangs together. This article offers 101 comments of my fellow community members asking the Buy-and-Holders to knock off the funny business and permit civil and reasoned discussion of the last 30 years of peer-reviewed academic research. This article reveals the emotionalism of the Buy-and-Holders and it is the fact that Buy-and-Hold causes such emotionalism that tells me that it can never work in the long run.
    • Wall Street Journal Calls Buy-and-Hold a “Myth,” Endorses Valuation-Informed IndexingLot of smart people know that Buy-and-Hold is a big pile of smelly garbage. They are afraid to speak out today because they know what will happen to them if they do. But they try to position themselves for the post-next-crash period, when “Buy-and-Hold” will be an obscene phrase. Bret Arends tells us that the Wall Street Con Men “are leaving out half the story.” Precisely so. The purpose of this web site is to let you in on the half of the story that the Wall Street Con Men have been keeping from you for 32 years now.

“I Like Rob’s Fresh Views and Tips on the Subject of Saving”

June 30, 2009 By Rob

The Digerati Life blog recently ran a blog entry examining the unconventional money saving tips explored in my recent interview with ABC News Now. It’s called Money Saving Advice from an Expert Money Saver.

Juicy Excerpt: I like Rob’s fresh views and tips on the subject of saving money…. The “magic” here is that by using this rule, you’ll figure out what it takes to fund something for life. Once you’ve saved up for something in this manner, it can be quite liberating to realize that you’ll never have to worry about affording that particular budget (spending) category ever again.

Lots of good comments.

Juicy Excerpt: Maybe I’m still too young to be able to budget the cost of each thing for my entire life:) – it’s simpler to work towards one little savings goal at a time.

Related Posts

  • My Interview with ABC News re “Ten Unconventional Money Saving Tips”My Interview with ABC News re “Ten Unconventional Money Saving Tips”
  • “<i>Passion Saving</i> Seems to Advise<br> That You Can Never Have Enough”“Passion Saving Seems to Advise
    That You Can Never Have Enough”
  • A Five-Part Series on <i>Passion Saving</i>:<br> “It Is a Great Book”A Five-Part Series on Passion Saving:
    “It Is a Great Book”
  • Thinking Like an EmployeeThinking Like an Employee
  • “If You Can Change Your Mindset<br> to See Saving as Buying You a Little Bit of Freedom…”“If You Can Change Your Mindset
    to See Saving as Buying You a Little Bit of Freedom…”
  • Greaney on <i>Passion Saving</i>:<br>“You’ll Have to Buy a Copy…Extraordinary!”Greaney on Passion Saving:
    “You’ll Have to Buy a Copy…Extraordinary!”

Filed Under: Rob Bennett Tagged With: Passion Saving, unconventional money saving tips

Comments

  1. John Walter Russell says

    June 30, 2009 at 11:13 am

    Rob,

    This is very good news. Keep up the good work.

    Have fun.

    John Walter Russell

  2. Rob says

    June 30, 2009 at 11:29 am

    The Digerati Life is a high quality blog. I’ve been checking in on it for a long time. I was of course thrilled when she elected to write up my interview and the ten tips. That came as a total happy surprise.

    Rob

  3. John Walter Russell says

    June 30, 2009 at 12:08 pm

    Rob,

    As a side comment related to Today’s Passion: notice the new definition of risk.

    You always have to be careful when talking about probability and statistics.

    I prefer a definition which specifies a dollar amount at a specific year, not an annualized percentage increase over an indefinite time frame.

    If you look at the likelihood of reaching $1.0 million starting from some specified amount (or using dollar cost averaging), good things eventually do happen.

    If you demand an 8% or 9% annualized return, you can continue to have difficulties.

    Have fun.

    John Walter Russell

Browse Rob Bennett

  • "If You Took a Poll of the American People and Described the Situation and Asked 'Has Rob Bennett Worked This Hard Enough?' I Am 100 Percent Confident That 90 Percent of the Population Would Say That I Have Worked It Too Hard and Too Long, Not Too Light and for Not a Long Enough Time. I Know That Because of What Friends and Family Members Tell Me. People Think That I Have Traveled Too Far From the Herd. That’s Virtually a Universal Opinion." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ It’s definitely my job. It’s definitely your job too, Anonymous. And it’s definitely everyone else’s job.” No, it is only your job as we choose our jobs.  You chose your pathway, now it is your job to set people straight. My conscience is clear, Anonymous. I feel that I have done my part and then some more on top of that and then some more on top…

  • "My Biggest Obstacle BY FAR Is the Emotional Angst That I Feel As a Result of the Divorce and the Board Bannings and the Death Threats and the Extortion and All the Rest. Intellectual Work Has Been 20 Percent of This Project. Overcoming the Emotional Angst That Follows From Telling People Research-Based Truths About Stock Investing That Some Very, Very Much Do Not Want to Hear Has Been 80 Percent of the 'Work.' " 30 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Since your divorce have you had more or less time to work on the book? The number of hours that I can devote to the project has not changed. But the emotional angst caused by the divorce has showed me down in a huge way. My biggest obstacle BY FAR is the emotional angst that I feel as a result of the divorce and the board bannings and the death threats and the…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Only a Complete Troll Sits Around Trying to Point Out Other People's Mistakes All Day." 10 Comments

    Set forth below are the texts of several comments that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Only a complete troll sits around trying to point out other people’s mistakes all day. We couldn’t possibly disagree more, Anonymous. Getting the mistakes of the Buy-and-Holders fixed is huge. There’s a lot of good stuff in the Buy-and-Hold Model. When we get the mistakes fixed, it works in the real world. I love working to get those mistakes fixed. I only wish we could…

  • "I AM Intense. There Is No Question But That That Is a Reality. I Am Friendly and Polite and Warm. But I Am Intense and Determined. And There Is No Question Whatsoever But That That Turns a Good Number of People Off in My Discussions With Them. My Challenge Is to Retain the Good that Comes from Caring Deeply without Scaring People or Turning Them Off." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail from Jackie (owner of the The Debt Stuff blog) to me dated October 14, 2014, followed by my response: Some of my (unasked for) thoughts: - I think you could really benefit from an editor to make sure you aren't focusing on the past but instead are getting your actual message across - I think a simpler tone (like what I posted from your emails vs. the tone of what you originally sent me) is more readable - Shorter paragraphs are more scanable. -…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Everyone Else Is Lying and Only You Are Telling the Truth?" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Everyone else is lying and only you are telling the truth? I am the only one telling the truth re the financial fraud aspect of this, Anonymous. You yourself have acknowledged this on many occasions. Fama had good faith when he published his wonderful research in 1965. Fama didn’t distinguish between short-term timing and long-term timing because long-term timing was at the time not…

  • "It's About 500 Times Better Than Betraying My Friends and Then Not Knowing How I Am Going to Be Able to Sleep at Night. I Had Posted With a Good Number of People at the Motley Fool Board for Three Years and Had Gotten to Know Them and to Care About What Happened to Them." 10 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I’ll do what I can to get along.” Not really a plan when you are in your 60’s. It’s now to late to say you will wait to see how it will all turn out. We see how it played out. It failed. It's about 500 times better than betraying my friends and then not knowing how I am going to be able to sleep at night, Anonymous. I had posted with a good number of…

  • "My Hope Is That I Will Be the Catalyst for Setting Off the National Debate that We Need to Have re These Matters. If I Pull That Off, People Will Not Just Benefit from Things I Say but from Things that Thousands of Others (on Both the Buy-and-Hold and Valuation-Informed Indexing Sides of the Table) Say Once They Feel Free to Express Their Sincere Views Openly and Clearly and Frankly. The Leverage Here Is Just Off the Charts." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Evidence just blew up the Rob-logic in one simple post. Based on your responses, you know it too, Rob Okay, Anonymous. The way that I would say it is that Shiller blew up the Bogle logic in one simple book and in one simple piece of peer-reviewed research and in one simple Nobel prize. I have the greatest possible respect for Bogle and for Fama and for all…

  • "I Will Acknowledge That These Views Are Extreme If You Go By the Continuum of Viewpoints Held Today. But It Is Not Right for Me Not to Express My Sincere Views. If Everyone Who Holds This View Says to Himself 'I'll Keep It Zipped Until Lots of Others Are Saying This.' The View Will Never Be Publicly Expressed. Someone Has to Be the First to Say These Things." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted at another blog entry at this site: From today’s post by you on this exact topic, which you agree can’t be proven one way or the other: I am telling you what I believe, Anonymous. I stand by those words. If I said anything different, I would be telling you a lie. I am not able to imagine any circumstance in which the promotion of Buy-and-Hold strategies would not cause an economic crisis. Once you tell people that…

  • "I Only Have Two Choices. I Can Participate in the Cover-Up Myself. Or I Can Tell. I Am Telling." 10 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, grand conspiracy theories are an indicator of mental illness, nothing more. I pointed out the errors in the Old School SWR studies in a post dated May 13, 2002, Anonymous. Today’s date is April 21, 2014. Not one of the studies has yet been corrected. That tells the tale. I don’t call it a “grand conspiracy.” I think it would be reasonable to call it a “conspiracy…

  • Rob Bennett on the Valuation-Informed Indexing Strategy That He Developed and That He Has Promoted on the Internet for 14 Years at Great Cost to His Reputation and His Popularity and His Bank Account: "It Could Be That I Am Lying to Myself Because I Have So Great an Emotional Investment in This Strategy." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: What you need to think about is that 10 years ago you probably said ‘I will give this up if in 10 years it looks like I am wrong’. And you probably believed yourself then. Yet here you are. It reminds me of listening to a compulsive gambler tell me something to the effect of ‘I did what I had to do’. When I asked ‘Why exactly did you have to do it?’, he…

  • "A Lot of People Want to Be Spoon-Fed. I See This All the Time. So I See the Benefit of a Product That Involves Spoon-Feeding. My Personal Belief, Though, Is That There Is Also a Need for Reinforcement of the Ideas Being Followed to Keep People on Track Long Enough for These Ideas to Pay Off." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to Ken Evoy, owner of the SiteSell.com web hosting company, on April 16, 2014: Ken: Thanks for your response. I certainly am interested. I will continue to follow the threads at the forum. As details become more clear, please just let me know if you have an interest in me being involved. If you have questions re what I am good at and re the amount of time that I can devote to this or anything else along those lines, I am of…

  • A Five-Part Series on Passion Saving:
    "It Is a Great Book"
    0 Comments

    The author of the No Limits Ladies blog recently ran a five-part series on my book Passion Saving: The Path to Plentiful Free Time and Soul-Satisfying Work. She says: "Unfortunately, most people will not pick up this book based on the title alone. The S word no one likes. The people who truly value the innovative financial thinking it holds will walk on by. It is a shame because it is a great book, a great return on the cover price." She's probably already married or else would object to the…

  • "The Crime Is Ongoing. Greaney’s Study Has Not Been Corrected to This Day. The Bans Remain in Place. The Abusive Posting Continues. Wade Pfau Remains Afraid to Work with Me to Promote Our Research Because of the Threats You Made." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: "The entire purpose of my plan was to shift to a form of work that I would find more fulfilling and that would in the long run produce more income than the corporate employment that I left behind.” No, your historical posts show you had only counted on a small amount of side income. You never had a substantial business income. To win anything, you would need to…

  • "My Own Wife Faults Me for Using the Term “Goons.” I Dedicated My Life to This Woman and She Has Dedicated Her Life to Me. But Every Now and Again She Feels the Need to Get in a Little Dig at Me for My Use of the Word “Goons” in My Writings. I Stand Pretty Much Alone in My View That the Goon Issue Is of Supreme Importance, That It Is Perhaps the Most Important Public Policy Issue of Our Day." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: “I would be if it were not for you Goons” Your answer to so many questions. It’s not just you Goons who don’t like me using the word “Goons” or talking about the Goon phenomenon. John Walter Russell spent eight years of his life researching my ideas. He was the biggest supporter that I ever had. But there were several occasions when he chastised me for talking about…

  • "I Am the Most Knowledgeable Person Today on the Subject of How Average Middle-Class People Should Invest in Stocks Not Because I Spent 20 Years in School or Possess a Genius Level I.Q. It Is Because I am Honest. That Gives Me a Huge Edge in a Field that Is 100 Percent Corrupt." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the blog at this site: I think millions would disagree with your level of knowledge versus those you have listed. Millions would disagree with what I say about my level of knowledge TODAY, Pink. We agree re that one. How about tomorrow? What happens tomorrow matters. Bogle does not believe that he can respond effectively to my questions about Buy-and-Hold, Pink. We know that beyond any reasonable doubt. I announced…

  • "There are Five Factors That Explain Why I Am Perceived Differently: (1) I Focus on the Findings of Peer-Reviewed Research Rather Than Express a Personal Opinion; (2) I Attack Buy-and-Hold As Well As Advocate Valuation-Informed Indexing; (3) I Make Expansive Claims That Strike Most People As Grandiose; (4) I Do Not Possess the Credentials That Would Make People Respect the Claims; and (5) I Seem to Be Questioning the Personal Integrity of People With Stellar Reputations." 9 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: There IS no such such Ban, as you well know. The only applicable ban is the one regarding a single mentally ill persistent troll, for his rotten BEHAVIOR, not for his bizarre beliefs. Shiller can post, Easterling can post, etc. Any of a host of perma-bears, timers, wave-speculators, kooks, cranks, swindlers, and nuts can post on pretty much any board out there. In fact, right up until his…

  • "Would I Not Be an Awful Person If I Believed These Things and Just Kept Them to Myself? I Would Be Letting You Ruin Yourself and Not Even Trying to Warn You Beforehand. Wouldn't That Be Pretty Darn Low Behavior? I Care." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to another blog entry at this site: That sounds reasonable. Did the same person also write: Yes, the same person wrote both things. I have spent a lot of time thinking about these things and I have strongly held views. But I am a flawed human. I get things wrong from time to time. There are millions of good and smart people who do not agree with me. Everyone who hears my words needs to know that. I DO believe what I say. I AM…

  • "I Write a Weekly Column on Valuation-Informed Indexing at the Value Walk Site. In 10 Years, That's Over 500 Columns. I Have Learned at Lot Over the Past 10 Years." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ Your retirement is not “fully funded” if more than half of the money in your account consists of irrational exuberance, Anonymous,” That’s what you said 10 years ago and look at how that worked out for you. Meanwhile, you are banking on a windfall with odds that are worse than playing the lottery. I say the same thing today that I said 10 years ago,…

  • "The Old School Safe-Withdrawal-Rate Studies Did Not Contain Valuation Adjustments. Lots of People Either Did Notice It or Could Have Noticed It Had They Been Paying Attention. But I Am the One Who Noticed It and Went Public With What I Noticed and Then Didn’t Back Down. That's How Great Discoveries Are Made." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Do you think you should be awarded a Nobel prize? Should you be Time Magazines man of the year? Should you be on the front page of The New York Times? I think the work that I have done over the past 13 years is of huge importance, Anonymous. The work that I have done is built on the work of many others. As I have noted many times, there would be no Valuation-Informed Indexing today had…

  • "But I Am More Inclined to Playing UP the Attacks Than to Playing Them Down. I Titled My Ignite Presentation 'How to Become the Most Hated Blogger on the Internet.' I Could See Doing More of That Sort of Thing, Letting People Know Right Up Front That They Get Honesty From Me and That I Have Paid a Price for That Honesty and That They Can Take It or Leave It (Those Who Take It Will of Course Be Good Customers). I Think This Is a Winning Message, So I Don't Want to Water it Down." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to Jaime Tardy, owner of the EventualMillionaire.com site, on November 4, 2013: Jaime: The same Goons are still doing the same things. I don't go to other sites as often as I once did because I have seen the same dynamic play out so many times. But, when I do, they do all the same things and generally obtain the same results. Part of what you are saying makes sense to me and part does not. I agree 100 percent that people listen…

  • "I Am Not the One Who Is Alone. If I Were Alone, I Would Pose No Threat to You Goons. It Is Precisely Because There Are So Many Millions Seeking to Understand for the First Time How Stock Investing Really Works That You Hate Me With Such a Burning and All-Consuming Hate." 21 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, you seem to be alone in this VII crusade. Haven’t you ever considered that you might be wrong about this?I have considered whether I might be wrong and looked for evidence to support that view every day of the past 12 years of my life, Sensible.I am not alone. My work is rooted in the research of Yale Economics Professor Robert Shiller. Shiller was awarded the Nobel prize in…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "No One Has to Do a Thing to Please You. We Can't Help It If You Are Too Stupid to Understand Things." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted at another blog entry at this site: No one has to do a thing to please you. We can’t help it if you are too stupid to understand things. We have significant data and facts supporting a buy, hold and rebalance strategy and don’t need some market timing scheme. We are big boys and girls and can make our own judgements and have plenty of information to make up our own minds. You need to take responsibility for ourself and…

  • "My Mother Grew Up in the Great Depression, Brought on By an Earlier Try at Seeing Whether Doing the Opposite of What the Peer-Reviewed Research (Which Wasn't Available at the Time) Teaches Us We Should Do. She Had to Leave School When She Was in Eighth Grade So That She Could Work in a Factory to Put Food on the Family Table. My Mother Loved School. That Hurt Her a Great Deal. She Talked About That Pain Until the Day She Died. Does That Matter?" 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Clearly your responsibility to the world (as you see it) is equal or higher priority than your family responsibility. This is a point of view that we ordinary family guys just cannot grasp. If people in Syria are suffering, that’s a shame. But I can’t help them and it doesn’t directly affect me. If my wife is suffering (for an hour, let alone 15 years) that is…

  • "I Look at the Same 14 Years of Abuse and Observe That That Abuse Is What Has Kept Lots of Other Smart and Good People From Walking the Path That I Have Walked and Thereby Has Left a Mountain of High-Dollar Opportunities Open to Me" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You don't like anything that doesn't fit with your fantasy. When you go 14 years without making a dime and the people get fed up enough that they have to ban you from almost every board, you would think that reality would step in. It seems you have gone to extreme lengths to avoid having to back to work, instead of spending your day playing out a fantasy on your…

  • Financial Odyssey Blog Posts "Interview with Rob Bennett" 0 Comments

    The Financial Odyssey blog has posted its Interview with Rob Bennett, from A Rich Life. Juicy Excerpt #1: You need to become friends with the big bloggers. Then they promote you and that’s how you move up. I feel great respect and affection for most of the big money bloggers. But I am not able to endorse Buy-and-Hold! I bill myself as the world’s leading critic of this investing strategy. That has unfortunately caused strained relations between me and a number of the big bloggers in this…

  • "Let’s Say That the Next 20 Years Are the Same As the Past 20 Years in That No One Believes Your Story, No Crash Happens, You Are Still Broke, Etc. Will You Then Admit You Wasted All Your Time?" 36 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Let’s say that the next 20 years are the same as the past 20 years in that no one believes your story, no crash happens, you are still broke, etc.  Will you then admit you wasted all your time? That alone would not do it. It would cause me to experience doubts. I would explore those doubts and see what people I respected were saying about the matter. If there…

  • "I Expect to Be One of the Richest People in the United States When This Is Over. I Also Expect to Be One of the Most Applauded. I Have Taken Buy-and-Hold and Corrected the One Big Mistake In It To Make It A Workable Strategy in the Real World. That Changes History." 30 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Admit it, this all about you seeking some sort of glory and acclaim and not at all about errors in withdrawal rate studies or investing strategies. I expect to be one of the richest people in the United States when this is over, Trebor. I also expect to be one of the most applauded. I have taken Buy-and-Hold and corrected the one big mistake in it to make it a workable strategy in the real…

  • "Some People Try to Retire Early to Escape Work. I Wanted to Retire Early to Do More Meaningful Work. That Is What Motivated All of My Saving Efforts." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: So instead of an easy job that pays money, you took a hard job that pays nothing. For 15 years and counting. That sounds, now what’s the word? Dumb. Most people would call it dumb. I think it would be fair to say that that’s why you don’t see anybody else doing it. I do love my country, Anonymous. Some would call that dumb too. But I do love my country.…

  • "Your Loyalty Should Be to Your Readers, Not to People Who Have the Power to Advance Your Career" 0 Comments

    Here's a link to an interesting thread at the FinCon Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/groups/362252247186456/permalink/367187723359575/ Michael Germanovsky asked: "Is it okay for a finance blogger that caught a news reporter on a wrong factual statement to call out the mistake?" He noted that one reported warned him of a risk of being blacklisted for doing such a thing. Here's my comment: I think it is fine to try to correct the error in private, so long as that gets the error…

  • "Rob Is a Fantastic Buy-and-Hold Investor. He Has Kept His 0% Stock Allocation Consistent Since the Mid-90s, Never Adjusting It, No Matter What the Stock Market Does." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Rob is a fantastic buy and hold investor. He has kept his 0% stock allocation consistent since the mid 90s, never adjusting it, no matter what the stock market…

  • Goon Poster at Value Walk Site: "All One Needs to Do Is Read Your Posts and See That the Vast Majority of Your Posts Include Complaints About What You Think of Shiller, Bogle, Pfau and Others. You Want to Talk About Taking People Down, Down, Down. Just Read Your Own Posts." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I posted in the discussion thread for a recent entry at my weekly column at the Value Walk site: Rob, My comments are based on the truth and supported by facts. All one needs to do is read your posts and see that the vast majority of your posts include complaints about what you think Shiller, Bogle, Pfau and others. You want to talk about taking people Down, Down, Down? Just read your own posts. Tell us again about people going to prison, or…

  • "When I Was a Boy and My Parents Brought Me to Church, I Was Required to Genuflect Before I Got Into the Pew. I Did It But My Heart Was Not Really in It. When I Visited a Library and Was Surrounded by All Those Books Asking All Those Questions and Providing All That learning, That Was When I Felt an Internal Impulse to Genuflect. The Library Was My Church." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ Say that there is a 1 in 100 chance that I was right in what I said in my famous post from the morning of May 13, 2002 — that the retirement study posted at John Greaney’s web site lacks an adjustment for the valuation level that applies on the day the retirement begins. Personally, I believe that the odds are more like 99.9999 percent. But let’s say for…

  • "I Was Not Banned At Just One or Two Places. I Was Banned At Lots of Places." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: All the people that are on the sites that you are banned on have all seen your opinions on Greaney.  If you regain access and post the same things they have already seen, they won’t change their mind.  I think you know this as well and that is why you gave up posting anywhere else on the internet, such as Reddit. That's not too far off the mark. I was not…

  • "Showing That Stock Prices Are Set By Emotion Rather Than By Reason Is a Breathtaking Change (an Advance If This Is the Reality). It Changes Absolutely Everything. Shiller’s Research Is Like a Hurricane (a Benevolent One, To Be Sure) Passing Through Our Country. Everyone But Me (Including Shiller!) Has Had the Sense to Run to Get Out of the Way of It Rather Than to Run Towards It and Ultimately Into It."" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Since Shiller did not respond, he clearly did not see any value in what you had to say. I certainly do not agree. All of my work follows from Shiller’s research findings. For Shiller not to find value in my work is for Shiller not to find value in his own work. And, if Shiller stopped finding value in his own work, he would stop doing it. So I feel certain…

  • "It's a Painful Experience to Tell the Truth About Stock Investing. That's Why So Few Do It." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You said you were unable to finish your book and get a job due to emotions.  I guess that means you don’t like what the research really says. What has affected me is the feeling of being an outcast. It's a very painful thing. What Shiller showed is just common sense. OF COURSE valuations affect long-term returns! How else could it be. But Shiller merited…

  • "My Profession Is One in Which You Are Taught to Expose Cover-Ups. So I React Very Differently to Death Threats and Threats of Career Destruction Than Either Bogle or Shiller Do. They Worry That It Would Not Be “Professional” to Point Out That Financial Fraud is a Crime. I Put My Readers First. I Tell the Story." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “He is also a great man, one who has done more to advance our understanding of how stock investing works than any other human alive on the planet today. ” You mean he has done more than you???? Are you sure??? I’ve also done something of huge importance, Anonymous. It drives you out of your mind to contemplate that reality. But it is a reality all the…

  • "When It Gets Into the Thousands, It Is Beyond Irritating. It Means People Have Seen It and Answered It So Many Times." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ The number is in the tens of thousands.” Thanks for finally admitting that your message is out there. Not only that, any normal person would tell you that have a couple hundred times, it has gotten excessive. When it gets into the thousands, it is beyond irritating. It means people have seen it and answered it so many times, they are sick of it. Further, if…

  • We Were Web 2.0 Before Web 2.0 Was Cool 0 Comments

    Reading a book is a learning experience. Sitting around shooting the breeze is not. True? Not true. Often we read books not to learn but to comfort ourselves that things we already believe are in fact so. In those cases, we read books not for the insights they offer, but for the emotional support they offer. In those cases, we are getting from books what we tend to think we get from talking things over with friends. It works the other way around too. Sometimes talking things over…

  • Jaime Tardy to Rob: "I Think There Is a Disconnect Between Your Site and YOU. You are Very Friendly and Approachable and Almost Unbiased (Even Though You May Have a Bent of Course!) But I Don't Get That From the Site. I've Seen Haters But Not This Much As You Say." 14 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail sent to me by Jaime Tardy, owner of the EventualMillionaire.com site, on October 29, 2013: So on what grounds can the haters sue a site for publishing a post of yours? Also why the aim on women? Just curious since it's a very data driven point that you are trying to make and many women aren't driven by data (I am, but most are not!) I think there is a disconnect (as I think you know!) between your site, and YOU. You are very friendly and…

  • Google Knol #3 -- Rob Bennett 1 Comment

    I've posted my third Google Knol. This one is entitled Rob Bennett. Juicy Excerpt: Rob Bennett graduated from Temple University, in Philadelphia. He majored in Political Science. He holds a law degree from the Columbus School of Law at Catholic University of America, and a Masters in the Law of Taxation from George Washington University School of Law.  Rob covered the IRS and Capitol Hill beats for The Daily Tax Report, a newsletter published by The Bureau of National Affairs, Inc.,…

  • "One Time I Asked If I Could Stay at His =House for a Few Days and His Response Was That He Would Impose Only One Condition, That I Promise Not to Talk About Stock Investing." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You made some money from a report on soapbox.com about 25 years ago You made a few posts on Motley Fool that got 100+ likes You self published a book a short time later which does not seem to have sold well You have spent about the last 20 years trying to write your second book and seem no closer to finishing it now than you were when you started You let…

  • "I Have Paid a Financial Price for My Honesty. But Now I Feel Good About Myself As a Person. And I Believe That I Will See Big Financial Rewards Too Down the Road a Piece." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I would hate to not have much left of a nest egg, versus having a large nest egg that might have to weather a short term loss. Speaking just of the nest egg, I would agree with you. The issue here has been whether I am willing to tell my friends things about stock investing that I do not believe in order to appease you Goons or whether I am willing to pay the…

  • "But the Goons Couldn't Have Gotten Away With It Without the Complacency of a Lot of the Normals! There Was No Way That Any Reasonable Person Could Have Known in Advance That the Site Administrator of the Motley Fool Site Would Have Permitted Greaney to Continue to Post There After He Had Advanced Death Threats. That Is Just Too Crazy. And of Course We Have Seen Hundreds of Cases of Behavior Like That." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Do you attribute your failed retirement to a "get rich quick" attitude? I believe you were counting on writing income that never came, correct? No. The attitude that I directed to putting together my early retirement plan was the farthest thing from a Get Rich Quick attitude than one could possibly get. It was a belt-and-suspenders plan. I wanted to be sure that it…

  • "I Am Just Waiting for the First Person to Come Up to Me and Exclaim “You Are So Lucky to Have Been the Person to Discover This!” I Am Going to Punch That Person in the Nose, You Know?" 16 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: If what you are doing is not working, perhaps you should try a different path. I am not capable of posting dishonestly re the numbers that my friends are using to plan their retirements, Anonymous. It’s just not in me. For good or for ill, I think it would be fair to say that I am stuck for life on the path that I walked onto on the morning of May 13,…

  • "I Knew That Greaney's Study Got the Numbers Wrong. And Yet I Encouraged My Friends to Use This Dangerous Study to Plan Their Retirements. I Was a Liar. I Wanted to Be Popular." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Or to put it another way, all those experts are lying and only Rob Bennett is truthful, or it is just the opposite. Have you ever heard the term "cognitive dissoance," Sammy? It's a real thing. It would be helpful if you would use the term "cognitive dissonance" rather than the word "lying." It would greatly facilitate progress in these discussions if you…

  • "I Became Radicalized By Seeing How Hateful & Frightened Buy-and-Hold Can Make a Person" 0 Comments

    Friday's blog entry set forth the text of an e-mail that I received from Edwin at the Finantage blog. Set forth below is the text of my reply e-mail. Edwin: Thanks for your note. Reading it cheered my morning! I am excited to hear about your plans. I think you are handling this in a positive and constructive and life-affirming way. I would like to post the words of your e-mail at my blog. I like to expose my readers to the words of smart and good people who offer a different take…

  • "It's Different for Me Because I Have Seen the Entire Story Up Close and Personal for 21 Years Running Now. I Can Tell the Story Better Than Anyone Else. And It Is Very Important to Everyone Who Lives in the United States That This Story Be Told Clearly and Completely and Fairly." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: The fact that you allege there is an error and nobody else agrees has nothing to do with getting a job.  Normal and responsible American’s get a job and provide for themselves and family members so that they are not a burden.  This is even more critical when the overall topic is providing for a successful retirement as well.  Why should it be different for…

  • "The Research That I Did With Wade Pfau Shows Millions How to Retire Five to Ten Years Sooner Than Is Possible With Buy-and-Hold Strategies. If Each of 100 Million People Has Been Willing to Spend Just $1 for Each Year of Financial Freedom Provided to Them By That Research, That Would Have Been $500 Million in My Pocket." 19 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to a blog entry at this site: You haven’t suffered $500 million worth of damages. I’ve suffered far more than $500 million in losses as a result of the Campaign of Terror, Evidence. The research that I did with Wade is Nobel Prize-level work. It shows millions of middle-class investors how to reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent and how to retire five to ten years sooner than they ever imagined possible…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "Valuation-Informed Indexing Failed. You Have Been Wrong. You Just Can't Bring Yourself to Ever Admit It Because Then You Would Have to Admit That the Last Two Decades of Your Life Have Been Wasted." 0 Comments

    Set forth below are the texts of two comments that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: VII failed. YOU have been wrong. You just can’t bring yourself to ever admit it because then you would have to admit that the last two decades of your life have been wasted. There is no way to put a positive spin on it. Okay, Anonymous. I do wish you all good things, in any event. Rob It’s probably a good idea for me to note that the fact that I…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "This Absurd Claim (That Lots of People Agree That the 15-Year Cover-Up of the Errors in the Buy-and-Hold Retirement Studies Is the Biggest Case of Financial Fraud in U.S. History But Are Afraid to Say So Publicly) Lets You Say Any Crazy Old Thing You Want, on Any Topic, With No Evidence At All." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Lots of people agree and are afraid to say so publicly” An earlier comment mentioned bottom lines. This is your bottom line. This absurd claim lets you say any crazy old thing you want, on any topic, with no evidence at all. And keep saying it forever. It’s how you justify 15 years of sitting on your butt, instead of working. There really are people who…

  • I Gave Investing Advice When
    I Didn't Know What I Was Talking About
    8 Comments

    I take dips into the Post Archives of The Great Safe Withdrawal Rate Debate from time to time, just to see. It can be a weird experience. I’ve learned a lot during the past six years. Going through the archives often puts me face to face with an earlier version of me. Sometimes I am impressed. Sometimes not so much. One time I came across a thread in which people were hitting me with a stick, demanding that I tell them what stock allocation I recommended given that I didn’t think that…

  • "I Have Had Several College Professors Include Links to Material Posted at My Web Site as Part of the Required Reading for Their Courses Because They Felt That the Material Was So Important and Could Not Be Found Elsewhere. That Tells Me Something." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I earned the $500 million, Anonymous.” Who says you earned this? I think I have earned $2 Billion for my work. Does that mean I will see it? I have the laws of the United States on my side. That tells me something. I have seen thousands of my fellow community members say that the debate that I launched was the most important debate that we ever saw on…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "The Market Has Concluded That You Are Irrelevant." Rob's Response: "You Nailed It." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: The folks who set prices have massive amounts of information including Shillers work. They can also read or have their computers ingest your awful website. The market concludes you are irrelevant. The market has concluded that I am irrelevant. As of today, it would be fair to say that the market has indeed concluded that. All that you have to do to understand…

  • We Need a Tim Russert in InvestoWorld 1 Comment

    When Tim Russert died recently, lots of people came forward to tell us what made him so special. He asked tough questions in a polite way. That's pretty much it. But that's a lot. When someone asks tough questions in a polite way, we learn stuff. That makes us a better people. Tim Russert made us a better people. You cannot ask much more of a guy than that, can you? We need a Tim Russert in Investoworld. We need that really, really, really, really badly. My background is in…

  • "One of the Most Ridiculous Is That Buy-and-Hold Led to the Depression and to the Current Crisis" 5 Comments

    Edwin Ivanauskas, owner of the Finantage blog, wrote me an e-mail on May 11 detailing his plans for writing a series of articles re my criticisms of the Buy-and-Hold investing strategy and his reactions (both positive and negative) to those criticisms. Set forth below are his words. I will post the text of my response in Monday's blog. Last week we had a brief back and forth on your guest post at popeconomics.com.  I promised to write a lengthy response in my own site.   I wanted to…

  • "Most People Who Agree With Shiller Hold Back From Exploring All the Implications of His Ideas Publicly. That's Why Valuation-Informed Indexing Has Only Won Over 20 Percent of the Population in 34 Years. I Want It to Win Over 100 Percent of the Population. So I Say Things in the Way in Which They Must Be Said for Us to Get to 100 Percent." 7 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: "Except that it's not one single person." There is only one person (you) that is saying that all these experts are wrong and that you are right. There is one else that is saying there have been death threats (other than the threat you made). There is no one else saying that the people you call goons (as well as a number of financial experts and other board…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "I Think Your Ex-Wife and Priest Would Disagree With That Statement." 16 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ I always want to remain open to hearing thoughts coming from people on the other side of the table, Anonymous.” I think your ex-wife and priest would disagree with that statement. There's some truth in that comment but it does not express the complete truth. I once asked my priest whether he felt that I had committed a sin in making the choices that I…

  • "You Are Broke. You Are Divorced. You Got Everything Wrong. Take Responsibility and Stop Blaming Everyone Else." 18 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You are broke.  You are divorced.  You got everything wrong.  Take responsibility and stop blaming everyone else. And I was right about the Greaney retirement study lacking a valuation…

  • "I Developed the Ideas Tested in the Study That I Co-Authored with Wade Pfau. Wade Did Great Work Testing Them and Proving Their Legitimacy. He Never Tried to Hog Full Credit for the Study. He Said Many Times That He Considered Me the Lead Person Behind the Development of the Valuation-Informed Indexing Concept and That He Believed That the Shift from Buy-and-Hold to Valuation-Informed Indexing Is the Biggest Advance That We Have Seen in the Investing Field in Many, Many Years." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted in the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Tempted to lie???? You lie constantly. Look at your latest post. You repeat the lie that you authored a study with Wade Pfau. That is a lie. You are merely mentioned in the credits along with other people and you are not listed as an author. Your retirement plan was a well documented failure. You now try to cover that up by blaming other people and also…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "I Am Guessing Your Own Wife Agrees More With Me Versus You." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I am guessing your own wife agrees more with me versus you. I don't agree with that. She hates the Goon stuff. She has total contempt for it. The sense in which she agrees with you is that she believes that a husband and father needs to be bringing in money, that there's just no getting around that core reality. She doesn't understand the investing stuff well…

  • "When Millions of People See 50 Percent of Their Retirement Savings Disappear Into Thin Air for No Good Reason, I Have a Funny Feeling That They Are Going to Know That SOMEONE Is Lying About How This Stock Investing Stuff Works. I Have a Further Funny Feeling That They Are Going To Be Able To Figure Out That It Isn’t Me." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “If I post a link to Shiller’s book, will that one count? ” Just like your website, it doesn’t provide a direct link to any death threats or job threats. It’s not hard, Rob. If the threats exist, then you just provide the links. When you don’t, people know you are lying. When millions of people see 50 percent of their retirement savings disappear…

  • Question Asked at the Quora Forum: "Why Is Rob Bennett Opposed to the Buy-and-Hold Strategy for Investing in Equities?" 11 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of the response that I offered at the Quora forum to the question "Why Is Rob Bennett Opposed to the Buy-and-Hold Strategy for Investing in Equities?": Finally a question re which I can feel confident that I possess the expertise needed to rise to the task of venturing forward with a response! The backstory here is that I was a Buy-and-Holder myself until the evening of August 27, 2002. The Buy-and-Holders did something very important that had never been done…

  • "It’s the Most Important Discovery in the History of Personal Finance." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I DID something of great importance on the morning of May 13, 2002, when I pointed out the error in the retirement study posted at John Greany’s site.” While I, and others, don’t think you did anything important on that day and also think you are the one in error, let’s set that aside for the moment. THAT WAS 18 YEARS AGO. Get the point? What have you…

  • "My Aim Is to Set Up a New Version of Every Investing Discussion Board and Blog on the Internet. A New, HONEST Version, One That Permits Discussion of the Last 39 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Why don’t you start up your own version of the Bogleheads forum for your own followers instead of expecting other people to change for you? My aim is to set up a new version of every investing discussion board and blog on the internet, Anonymous. A new, HONEST version, one that permits discussion of the last 39 years of peer-reviewed research in this field. Why…

  • "Yes, I Have Some Concerns About My Failure to Provide Financially for My Family for Many Years. I Do Not Say That That's Not a Concern. I Have Spoken to More Than One Priest re That Matter. I Have Had Long, Searching Conversations/Confessions With Them About it. I Have Had Two Who Felt That I Have Behaved in a Way That Is More Wrong Than Right and I Have Had Two Who Have Felt That I Have Behaved in a Way That Was More Right Than Wrong." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that was recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: So your fine with being disobedient to God’s word. I believe that, when I die and have to stand before God, I will be held to account for my behavior her on Planet Earth. Yes, I have some concerns about my failure to provide financially for my family for many years. I do not say that that's not a concern. I have spoken to more than one priest re that matter. I…

  • "We Are the First Generation of Investors Who Has Available to Them the Research Needed to Turn Stock Investing Into a High-Return, Virtually Risk-Free Endeavor" 5 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I put to the blog in response to a comment by one of the Greaney Goons that "there is no 'we," just 'you.'" Everyone in this field faces an important question today, Trebor. We are the first generation of investors who had available to them the research needed to turn stock investing into a high-return, virtually risk-free endeavor. No group of investors who came before us was so blessed. We can all live far richer lives than we ever dreamed…

  • BlogAds Ad#1 -- Most Hated Blogger! 3 Comments

    I've put up my first BlogAds ad at the Cassy Fiano blog. It's entitled Most Hated Blogger!. Juicy Excerpt: Banned at Motley Fool! Banned at Morningstar! Banned at Bogleheads! Boy, that guy is banned at lots of places. I wonder why. The ad will only appear for a short time at Cassy's  site. But I expect to run it at other places in coming days. Speak out against the Ban on Honest Posting on Safe Withdrawal Rates and Other Critically Important Investment-Related…

  • "I Think I Should be Paid Millions for Being a Professional Actor. Unfortunately, No One Wants to Pay Me for Being an Actor. As Such, I Found Work That I Could Do That People Said They Would Be Willing to Pay Me for Doing. You Need to Do the Same." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I think I should be paid millions for being a professional actor.  Unfortunately, no one wants to pay me for being an actor.  As such, I found work that I could do that people said they would be willing to pay me for doing.  You need to do the same. The amount of interest that I have seen in Valuation-Informed Indexing during the first 23 years of discussion…

  • "I Don’t Think That I Suffer From a Delusion. I Think That I Suffer From Holding a Minority View on an Issue That Is a Highly Sensitive One for the People Holding the Other Point of View." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “So you say, Anonymous. But I am not convinced.” That’s the issue. Other people have to see value in what you say or do. Otherwise, it is a waste of time. You don’t have that support, but delusionally think you do. I don’t think that I suffer from a delusion. I think that I suffer from holding a minority view on an issue that is a highly sensitive…

  • Pop Economics Pulls Back Promised Guest Blog on Big Fail of Buy-and-Hold (But Please Note Correction!) 2 Comments

    [Introductory Note: I was wrong! After I posted this blog entry, I sent an e-mail with a link to it to Pop. He wrote back saying that "I was just lazy and taking forever to 'popize' your image." Pop intends to get the Guest Blog Entry posted at his site within the next day or two. I look forward to seeing it there and getting a chance to talk over the points made in it with interested parties. I gave a quick thought to deleting this blog entry but decided that it may be useful in letting people…

  • "If You Asked My Father Whether Buy-and-Hold Worked for Him, He Would Answer "Yes!" I See That As a Misperception on His Part." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: It worked for me. It worked for my father, who has since passed on. If I am correct in what I have read from you (and I literally BEG you to correct me if I am in error) it worked for YOUR father, too Rob! So that’s three independent proofs that your nutty claim is wrong, from right off the top of my head, and of course I only needed one to do the job, anyway. End of argument. If you…

  • "I Have a Chapter in My Book Called 'My Mother Speaks From the Grave Against Buy-and-Hold.' My Mother Was Born in 1917. So She Was 12 Years Old When the Crash of 1929 Hit. She Had to Leave School in Eighth Grade to Work in a Factory to Put Food on the Table for Her Family. My Mother Loved School and Was Denied an Education Because of the Buy-and-Hold 'Idea' of Not Practicing Price Discipline When Buying Stocks. So This Is Personal for Me." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You already said you depleted your assets. Why would you even wait to get even near that point. Why are you selling out your family? My family has to live in this country, Anonymous. I obviously want to take care of my family. But part of taking care of my family is taking care of my country. I need to do both. I cannot throw either one overboard and still live…

  • Financial Samurai "Can't Understand the Rift" Behind Lindauer/Greaney Smear Campaign 6 Comments

    The Lindauer/Greaney Goons took their Smear Campaign to a thread put up last week at the Financial Samurai blog entitled "The Dark Side of Early Retirement." I objected with these words (Post #47): "Of course I have never spammed your site or any other site one time in my entire life, Sam. "My “reputation” is the result of the fact that I am the person who discovered the analytical errors in the Old School safe withdrawal rate studies back in May 2002. The former owner of the Early…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Are We to Believe That Each and Every One of These Well-Respected People Are Lying and That Only Rob Bennett Is Telling the Truth?" 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: That is a flat out lie, Rob. It is funny you mention Wade Pfau. He is the person that said you have caused him more harm than those you refer to as goons. In fact, he told you to stop talking about him. He also pointed out how you are wrong on the SWR issue. He is the actual author of the paper that you claim to be an author. When you have been confronted…

  • "Didn't Jesus Say That a Man Must Lose His Life in Order to Gain It? Maybe I Took That One a Little Too Literally." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Sadly,you have lost everything and learned nothing. Good one, Anonymous. Didn't Jesus say that a man must lose his life in order to gain it? Maybe I took that one a little too…

  • Fear Strikes Out 0 Comments

    I once was afraid that I was losing my hair. I once was afraid that I would not be able to find another job that I liked as much as the one that I lost in the recession of the early 1990s. I once was afraid that my grades wouldn't be good enough to get me into law school. I once was afraid to call up a girl and ask for a date. I once was afraid to hand in my resignation from a high-paying job to become a freelance writer. I once was afraid that disco was never going to fade in…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "Your Assumption Is That, If You Could Post Whatever You Wanted at Any Board, the Stock Market Would Behave Much Differently." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “Your abusive and even criminal posting behavior has blocked access to the information that those of us who want to buy stocks to support our old-age retirements need to perform the job that we need to perform for the market to do its job of setting prices properly. ” You are referring to your banning at the various financial boards, correct? Therefore, your…

  • "There Were Numerous References in the Movie to How He Was an Idiot Who Was Going to Lose His Job. It Was an Important Theme. The Guys Who Believed in the Pre-Research Stuff Hated Him as Much as You Goons Hate Me. Research Was as Much of a Threat to Them as It is to You." 10 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: The Brad Pitt character had a job.  Even he lost his job, he would then go get another job.  His character was successful, you are not.  You are nothing like his character.  You don’t have one single thing in common with that character. There were numerous references in the movie to how he was an idiot who was going to lose his job. It was an important theme.…

  • Ken Evoy, Owner of SiteSell Web Hosting Company, to Rob: "I Think You'd Be Perfect for This! You E-Mailed 30,000 People at SSRN?! Individually? Wow!" 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail sent to me by Ken Evoy, owner of the SiteSell web hosting company, on April 16, 2014: Hi Rob, I think you'd be perfect for this! How much time could you spend on it? If this happens, we can talk more about it at the time. You emailed 30,000 people on SSRN?! Individually? Wow! Re the academic, Wade sounds like he'd fill the bill. It's Momentum-based, pushed in interesting directions. If he's interested in getting involved, please let me know.…

  • "I Am Informal But I Am Hard-Working. I See Myself As an Advocate of the Average Middle-Class Person. My Writing Certainly Conveys Idealism. I Very Much Want to Convey Friendliness, Which Is Naturally a Part of My Persona. I Worry That the Conflict That Surrounds Discussions of Valuation-Informed Indexing Subtracts From the Feeling of Friendliness. But I See Myself As a Friendly REPORTER and I Feel That Reporters Cannot Be ONLY Friendly -- They Must Also Be Fighters and Have the Courage to Stand Up to Power." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of an e-mail that I sent to Jaime Tardy, owner of the EventualMillionaire.com site, on October 25, 2013: Jaime: It's nice to hear from you. Yes, that makes sense. The average person believes that valuations matter. Almost everyone agrees with me on the principle. But the average person does not think it is even remotely possible that valuations matter as much as I say they do. My belief is that the reason why is that they have never run the numbers. I…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "I Don’t Think You Have Ever 'Conformed' to Anything. If You Did, You Would Not Be Broadly Banned From the Investment Community, Nor Would You Be Broke or Divorced." 30 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ I felt intense social prssure to conform” I don’t think you have ever “conformed” to anything. If you did, you would not be broadly banned from the investment community, nor would you be broke or divorced. I've conformed to U.S. law, Anonymous. I've conformed to what the last 41 years of peer-reviewed research teaches us all about how stock investing…

  • "On the Content Side, I Have Achieved a Level of Success 500 Times Greater Than the Highest Level That I Ever Thought That I Could Achieve If Everything in My Life Worked Out in the Best Way Possible. On the Process Side, It Has Been the Biggest and Most Catastrophic Failure That I Have Ever Encountered or Even Imagined." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “To continue my efforts to open every discussion board and blog on the internet to honest posting re safe withdrawal rates and scores of other critically important investment-related topics.” And how is that working out for you? Time for plan C? On the content side, I have achieved a level of success 500 times greater than the highest level that I ever…

  • "Do You Think It Would Have Been Better If I Had Just Kept It Zipped re the Error in the Study?" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You have no businesses making the comma you do when you lack any education in this area and have a failed retirement. Do you think it would have been better if I had just kept it zipped re the error in the…

  • "Shiller's Book Was a Best-Seller. There Have to Be Hundreds of Thousands of People Who Have Read It and Find Value in It. So at the Starting Point There Is Zero Problem Getting People Interested in or Convinced of the Merit of the Ideas. The Problem Comes With Developing the Ideas. My Project Is to DEVELOP Shiller's Revolutionary Insight That Valuations Affect Long-Term Returns. The Buy-and-Holders Want to Continue the Cover-Up. I Want to Expose It." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I am not sure why you need all these other people to lead with ‘your’ ideas. Can’t you figure out how to drive support yourself? Not phantom ‘thousands’ of make believe people. Real, actual, people. Shiller’s book was a best-seller. I don’t know how many copies it sold. But it is carried in just about every library of consequence in the nation. So…

  • "I Open the Book By Talking About the Divorce. The Price That People Pay for Telling the Truth About Stock Investing Is a Big Part of the Story." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Here is a title for your new book: “How to lose your money, wife and house by pushing timing schemes”. That's not the title that I am going to use, Anonymous. But I do open the book by talking about the divorce. The price that people pay for telling the truth about stock investing is a big part of the story. If we were all thinking clearly, we would all…

  • Greaney Goon to Rob: "Your Communication Is Often Abrasive and Your Behavior Is Horrible. You Make Outrageous Claims As to What You Have Accomplished Despite Contrary Evidence and Then Compare Yourself to Well-Known Historical Figures." 11 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that one of the Greaney Goons put to another blog entry at this site: Rob, Here are just a few reason why your website is not successful: You can’t back up your statements with facts (linking to your own comments are not facts) When faced with facts that are documented by others that you do not agree with, you ignore them or delete the posts. Your communication is often abrasive and your behavior is horrible. You make silly unfounded…

  • "Anyone Who Has Any Doubts As to Whether I Would Have Earned Far In Excess of $500 Million from the Valuation-Informed Indexing Concept Needs Only to Look to the Reactions That Wade Pfau Had When He Learned for the First Time How Stock Investing Really Works. Wade Holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton. He Was AMAZED at What He Learned." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to another blog entry at this site: Having a great idea does not mean money just shows up on your doorstep. You have offered nothing that anyone is willing to pay any money for. The way that it works is that a determination is made as to how much money I would have made from the idea had it not been for the death threats and the board bannings and the tens of thousands of acts of defamation and the threats to get academic…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "Respectful Behavior Is What Is Required, Rob." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Respectful behavior is what is required, Rob. I have the greatest respect possible for the PEOPLE who advocate Buy-and-Hold, Sammy. I sing their praises all the time. Every Buy-and-Holder whom I have ever met is smart and it appears to me that just about all of them are top-notch people in a more general sense too. The Buy-and-Holders have made huge…

  • "It Was My Love for My Fellow Community Members That Drove Me to It." 26 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Stop evading the question, Rob.  What made you go off the deep end? It was my love for my fellow community members that drove me to it. The humans will do it to you every…

  • "Everything That Has Happened to Me Over the Past 17 Years Is Powerful Evidence That Shiller Is Right re His “Revolutionary” (His Word) Ideas About How Stock Investing Works. Shiller Presented the Theory But Held Back From Discussing the How-To Implications of the Theory. I Explored the How-To Implications of the Theory. Good for Me, You Know? The Theory Doesn’t Help Anyone Until People Come to Understand the How-To Implications." 24 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I will be joking around with Robert Shiller in those days. I will say “Robert, you were kind of a liar re that safe withdrawal rate question for all those years, were you not, my good friend?” And he will say in return “Touche’, Rob, but no more so than you were from May 1999 through May 2002, right?” And I will laugh and we will embrace and we will both…

  • Wade Pfau: "If You Read Rob Bennett’s Stuff Carefully, I Think He Did Provide an Important Contribution in Terms of Describing a Way for PE10 to Guide Asset Allocation for Long-Term Conservative Investors. I Also Think He Was Right on the Issue of Safe Withdrawal Rates." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I have made an amazing contribution to the field, there’s no question about that.“ Wrong. There not a single person alive that has said those words, other than you. Spare us the B.S. about how you think people have given you praise. A) Academic Researcher Wade Pfau’s Statements Showing Interest In and Confidence in Rob Bennett’s Work 1) “I do…

  • "The Primary Purpose of the Column Was the Learning Experience It Provided. I Wrote Over 700 Columns and Each Time I Wrote One I Learned Some Tiny Thing About the Subject." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I don't understand your aversion to publishing your writing here. With the demise of your Value Walk column, which was your last remaining column elsewhere (you used to have others), your blog will now just consist of links to other posts (which were links to previous posts) starting with "Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the…

  • Poster at Sub-Reddit on Financial Independence: "Let's Bring Hocus Here for an 'Ask Me Anything'" 6 Comments

    A community member named "Curious Carl" put up a comment here on September 3, 2017, saying: "Your name was brought up over on a reddit board for FIRE-minded folks and it ignited quite the firestorm! Some people were wondering if you’d be willing to go over there for an AMA (Ask Me Anything). Are you familiar with that format? The board is located here: https://www.reddit.com/r/financialindependence/ I responded that I would be thrilled to participate in an "Ask Me Anything" session at…

  • "My Father Loved His Country. He Knew That Those Who Resort to Those Sorts of Tactics Thereby Tear the Social Fabric of His Country Apart. He Understood That Those Sorts of Tactics Are Not Within the Scope of the Tactics by Which Disputes Are Resolved When His Country Is Working in Tune With Its Foundational Beliefs." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, you have only to look at your father and to me for two immediate counterexamples that totally disprove your claim. My father experienced the Great Depression (caused by a widespread belief in the core Buy-and-Hold “idea” that consideration of price is not necessary when buying stocks that developed during the 1920) not as an investor but as a child. It left a mark. He…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "You Believe That You Personally Have It Within Your Power to Affect Whether Or Not We Experience the Biggest Social Catastrophe in U.S. History. Which Makes You a Nut." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Uh huh. None of those names you just dropped will correspond with you. Not a one. Some of them used to. But not anymore. Why do you think that is? Before your knee jerk reaction (Goon intimidation) I’ll tell you the real reason: “we are going to experience the biggest social catastrophe in U.S. history.” You believe you personally have it within your power…

  • "I Think That I Have Accomplished More Good for the World in the Past 17 Years Than I Could Have Reasonably Expected to Have Accomplished in 50 Full Lifetimes. If Big Mistakes Are Made in Retirement Studies That Are Not Corrected for a Significant Length of Time, That Causes Not Only Economic Problems But Also Political Problems — People Lose Confidence in the Political System Under Which They Live When That System Cannot Find Some Means to Provide Access to Honest and Accurate Retirement Planning Numbers." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Wasted 17 years of your life is the correct assessment. Okay, Yip. I don’t think so. I think that I have accomplished more good for the world in the past 17 years than I could have reasonably expected to have accomplished in 50 full lifetimes. Getting the numbers right in retirement studies is a very, very, very big deal. And if big mistakes are made in…

  • "Michael Kitces and I Are Friends. You Are Right, Though, That He Keeps His Distance From Me. I Am 'Controversial.' I Shouldn't Be. Everything That I Say Just Follows Naturally From Shiller's 1981 Finding That Valuations Affect Long-Term Returns. If Shiller Is Right, 90 Percent of the Investing Advice That People Have Heard in Recent Years Is Wrong." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I put to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: I am sure you will write more articles from this in which you explain how this expert, like all other experts are wrong and how you are right. It goes along with how you say Michael, like the other experts, "pull their punches" as you have this unique ability to read their minds. Just to note, it is interest how Michael, like many other experts, no longer speak with…

  • "There’s Nothing Worse Than Someone Who Tells the Truth About Stock Investing at a Time When Prices Are Insanely Inflated." 11 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I am sure your ex-wife would agree with your last statement. There’s nothing worse than someone who tells the truth about stock investing at a time when prices are insanely inflated. I mean, come…

  • "We Are Seeing Jack Bogle's Dream Come True Before Our Eyes....I Certainly Don't Regret One Second of the Past 13 Years. This Is the Thing That I Will Point to When Trying to Explain to My Boys What It Means to Be a Man, to Live a Good Life That You Can Look Back at With Pride and Satisfaction." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: I guess the difference is that most people 1) actually try to adapt and change their approach I.e. Learn from failure and 2) define parameters and limits on the extent of their efforts I.e. Limit their exposure and depth of commitment. In the absence of these things you are likely to fail indefinitely with no recourse and look like a loon while persisting. I don’t see any failure here,…

  • "I Wrote Draft Seven, Which Is Largely Organized But Still Somewhat Scattered Thoughts Placed in Chapters (the Chapter Titles Are a Lock at This Point — Just Making Final Decisions on Chapter Titles Is a Big Organizational Advance) but Without Good Enough Narrative Flow, Earlier This Year. I Am Now Working on Draft Eight, Which Will Have the Proper Narrative Flow. I Am Getting Through Roughly a Chapter per Week." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Have you started your job search? I have not. I am working on what I consider the eighth draft of the book. I count the collection of the material that I put in the 30 binders that used to be in my basement as Draft One. I count the exploration of the ideas on internet discussion boards that I participated in after I put forward my famous post of May 13, 2002,…

  • "The Valuation-Informed Indexers Have Been Placed in a Ghetto. It's a Ghetto in Which They Do Not Possess the Same Rights as the Buy-and-Holders. It's a Ghetto in Which They Keep Their Most Powerful Insights to Themselves. It's a Ghetto in Which They Do Not Say "Buy-and-Hold Is Dangerous" or "That Claim Is Wrong" or "Bogle Is Contradicting Himself." It Is a Gheto in Which They Watch Their Step and Are Careful Not to Offend Their Betters. Not This Boy." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Let’s play Jeopardy. Answer: the peer-reviewed research of the past 33 years needs to be discussed in every THREAD in which Buy-and-Hold “ideas” are advanced. Question: Why has Rob Bennett been banned from every major finance board? That's a super comment, X. You cut through a lot of b.s. and got straight to the heart of things with that comment. Good for you. I understand…

  • "I Never Experienced a Moment's Doubt re the General Ending Point After I Saw the Russell Sensitivity Analysis Way Back in May 2002. I Believe in Research. I Believe in Numbers. I Believe in Objective Truth. I Believe in Science." 12 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: I’ve known that I was holding a winning hand going back to Day Six, the day that John Walter Russell posted his sensitivity analysis of the Greaney retirement study. I never thought it would take this long. You guys got me re that one. You got me one-hundred times over re that one. But I knew how it would end going back to the first week of our discussions. I never experienced a…

  • "The Book Is Not an Intellectually Difficult Project. It Is an EXTREMELY Difficult Emotional Project. That's Why No One Else Has Written This Book in the 41 Years Since Shiller Published His Amazing, Revolutionary, Nobel-Prize-Winning Research Findings. It Is an Emotionally Harrowing Experience to Tell Millions of People Something That They Very, Very, Very Much Do Not Want to Hear, That Their Stock Portfolio Is Not Worth Anything Close to What They Have Been led to believe It Is Worth." 25 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ I’ve answered your question.” No you haven’t. You haven’t said why you can’t do both at the same time when there are plenty of hours in the day. You seem to have time to post here, on ValueWalk, Twitter, etc. you seem to have time for watching movies, baseball, etc. Yet you have chosen to put your wife and her concerns last when there is plenty of…

  • "I Had Posted With a Good Number of People at the Motley Fool Board for Three Years and Had Gotten to Know Them and to Care About What Happened to Them." 20 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I’ll do what I can to get along.” Not really a plan when you are in your 60’s. It’s now to late to say you will wait to see how it will all turn out. We see how it played out. It failed. It's about 500 times better than betraying my friends and then not knowing how I am going to be able to sleep at night, Anonymous. I had posted with a good number of…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Even If You Did Not Violate Specific Rules of These Boards, You Made Them So Absolutely Unbearable That the Moderators Had to Ban You or Else Everyone Else Would Simply Stop Coming to the Board." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Even if you did not violate specific rules of these boards you made them so absolutely unbearable the mods had to ban you or else everyone else would simply stop coming to the board. You just respond to other peoples question by rambling off topic about what YOU want to talk about. I would love to be a fly on a way and see you interact in real life with someone. I would be curious to see if…

  • "Maybe I Am Wasting My Time and Maybe I Am Leading the People of the United States to the Biggest Advance in Our Understanding of How Stock Investing Works Ever Achieved in Our History." 16 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: There are no goons. Just people that don’t agree with you. If and when there is a drop in the market, it will not be blamed on buy and hold. Every day, there are predictions of drops that are tied to some particular reason. Here is another…

  • "I Didn't Know About the Cover-Up of the Error in the Buy-and-Hold Strategy That Shiller Revealed in His Research from 1981 (the Error Is the Idea that Long-Term Timing [Price Discipline] Is Not Required). The Cover-Up Had Already Been Going On for 22 Years at that Time. I Didn't Know, Just As Most People Today Don't Know. I Had No Idea What I Was Getting Into. I Was Just Trying to Help Out My Board Community. Then the Roof Fell In on Me." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: In reading your own words, you have stated that you have banked your future on getting a settlement statement. Do you need to be reminded again of your own words? You have stated that you do not have a back up plan and you do not have enough money to fund your remaining years in retirement. As to the thousands of people you speak of, they are all part of…

  • "I Have Come to Believe That God Put Me on Earth to Do This Work" 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the response that I wrote to a question put to me at my Beyond Buy-and-Hold column by Kathryn C at the Kathryn's Conversations blog: Rob, do you mean “middle class” or just the average investor? I think you mean the average investor, not middle class. (we’re talking about how sophisticated an investor is here right, not if they are middle or upper class?) Thanks much for stopping by, Kathyrn. I understand your question. I use that “middle-class” phrase all…

  • "As the Rewards Grow Greater and Greater, My Ability to Be Honest Grows Stronger and Stronger. I Don’t Even Think About It Much Today, I Just Do It. My Decision to Write Honestly About the Last 35 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field Has Shocked a Lot of People But It Has Also Led Me to Some Amazing Places." 10 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: With all these people lying, are you the only honest person left? We have had thousands of people express a desire that honest posting be permitted at every investing discussion board and blog on the internet, Anonymous. I am confident that, following the next price crash, the thousands will become millions. Then we are off to the races. We all have a potential…

  • "Have You Ever Had an Academic Researcher Who Was So Impressed By Your Stuff That He Elected to Devote 16 Months of His Life to Researching It in Depth and Then Concluded That It All Checked Out? On the Morning of May 13, 2002, I Would Have Told You That Such a Thing Was Impossible. But Here We Are." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ 10 percent of the American public loves my stuff. I have had more effusive praise directed at me over the past 22 years than any other poster in any of our communities that I can think of.” None of that is real. You live in an imaginary world. Yeah, yeah. Have you ever had an academic researcher who was so impressed by your stuff that he elected to…

  • "I Have Done a Lot to Make Sure That I Am Not Being Influenced By Delusions. I Write This Column, for One Thing. If I Get Something Wrong Here, Some Smart Buy-and-Holder Is Going to See It and Let Me Know. I Wrote to 30,000 Academic Researchers to Elicit Their Feedback. Nearly All of Those Who Responded Had Only Positive Things to Say. My Work Has Been Endorsed by Some of the Biggest Names in the Field, People Like Rob Arnott and Wade Pfau." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Delusions don't pay the bills. You might want to start that job search earlier, rather than later. I believe that the transition from Buy-and-Hold to Valuation-Informed Indexing will prove to be the biggest advance in the history of personal finance, Sammy. And I believe that those who put their necks on the line and serve as the pioneers will be compensated…

  • "The Dollar Bills You Dangle in Front of Me to Entice Me to Join the Get Rich Quick Gravy Train Smell Bad. I Cannot Take That Smell, Man, You Know?" 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the Goon Central board: for a smart guy, you sure are poor. Money isn't my god, Dab.I like money. I have hopes of making many millions of dollars as we transition from Buy-and-Hold to Valuation-Informed Indexing. Full truth be told, I have hopes of making hundreds of millions. That's serious money for a boy who got his start at old St. Timothy's in Northeast, Philadelphia.But money has never been the driver for me. If…

  • "I Am Indeed Slow to Act. Some Interpret That As a Lack of Courage. My Take Is That It Is Better Understood As a Situational Kind of Courage. I Need to Be Very Sure Before I Become Unbending." 17 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the Goon Central board: He's all talk and no action.   He never does anything. I am slow to act, GW. For good or for ill. If I were asked to give one word to describe my personality, it would be "methodical." I like to be sure. That's why I was the first one to go public about the errors in the studies. I had noticed them years before. My guess is that lots of other people noticed them. I didn't shoot my mouth off.…

  • Where I'm Weak, Where I'm Strong 4 Comments

    Please don’t come to this site looking for advice on sophisticated investing transactions. I’ve got my hands full changing how the world thinks about the basics! In all seriousness, I do not study the sophisticated stuff. If there were more hours in the day, I would have a go at it. The basics matter to more people and I happened to discover that there are serious weaknesses in the basic investing advice being offered by most of the “experts” in this field. So that’s where I direct…

  • "I Have Attended Numerous Financial Blogger Conferences and At Each One That I Have Attended I Have Spoken to Financially Successful Bloggers Who Have Told Me That They Regretted the Abusiveness That Has Held Me Back and That They Hoped That Things Would Soon Change." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: My plan has been a huge success, presuming that Shiller's Nobel-prize-winning research is legitimate research, Sammy. I definitely have spent down my nest egg. That part of your comment is accurate. But that of course has nothing to do with the merit of the Valuation-Informed Indexing strategy. Had it not been for your abusiveness and the abusiveness of…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "So An Old, Fat, White Male With an Inheritance Is Claiming Persecution" 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: So an old fat white male with an inheritance is claiming persecution. I am claiming that I have the right to post honestly re SWRs and scores of other critically important investment-related topics at any discussion board or blog on the internet at which I desire to do so. And that my good friend Jack Bogle possesses that same right. And my good friend Bill Bernstein too. And my…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "You Have Your Agenda and Want To Spread It On Every Thread, Even When It Is Not the Subject Being Discussed. You Think That Your Points Are More Important Than What Anyone Else Has to Say, Yet Give No Consideration to the Opinion of Others. If It Doesn't Mesh With Your Line of Thinking, You Say That People Are Lying or Afraid and That Is Just a Bunch of Bull." 21 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: A contributing factor of you getting kicked off all those sites is the factbthat also don’t listen. You have your agenda and want to spread it on every thread, even when it is not the subject being discussed. You think that your points are more important than what anyone else has to say, yet give no consideration to the opinion of others. If it doesn’t mesh with your line of thinking, you…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "What Circumstance Would Finally Lead You to Conclude That You in Fact Are Wrong?" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Then under what circumstance would finally lead you to conclude that you, in fact, are wrong? If (as I suspect) you can't answer that, then saying "it's possible that I am wrong" is nothing but false humility. I would need to see peer-reviewed research supporting the idea that there is no need for investors to practice price discipline when buying stocks.…

  • "Buy-and-Hold Is Not Just a Bad Investing Strategy. It Is a Threat to the Survival of Our Free-Market Economic System. I Love My Country. I Want My Two Boys to Be Able to Grow Up in the Same Sort of Country That I Grew Up In." 12 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, serious question here: do you think you’re obsessing about this topic? I agree with the idea that you believe in: buy and hold isn’t the best way to invest. Seriously, though, you must’ve thought to yourself, at least a few times…..that “perhaps I could broaden the range of topics beyond the one idea I talk about daily….that buy and hold is not the best way to…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "We Don’t Need to Seek Revenge and Call People Names Like You Do. We Decided Long Ago to Keep Working and Saving So That We Don’t Have to Struggle in Retirement. I Can’t Imagine Having to Go Back to Work at Your Age After Being Out of the Market for So Long." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I am still going to be doing the honest-posting thing. So how are you Goons better off?” We are already just fine. We post honestly instead of trying to convince people about being perceived as honest (when you are not). We don’t need to seek revenge and call people names like you do. We decided long ago to keep working and saving so that we don’t have to…

  • "For So Long As I Believe Those Two Things, I Would Be Committing a Felony (Financial Fraud) By Leading People to Believe That It Is My View That They Don’t Matter." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: How long should we wait for things to play out? You can wait as long as you please, Anonymous. Or you can not wait at all if that’s your preference. You decide for you. No? I am going to wait for so long as I believe that the Greaney retirement study (and other Buy-and-Hold retirement studies) lacks an adjustment for the valuation level that applies on the day…

  • "It Could Be That God Feels That the World Needs the Drama of This Story to be Witnessed by People for Them to Finally Give Up Their Belief in Buy-and-Hold. It Could Be That God Wants Me to Get That $500 Million Payment and He Understood That There Was No Other Way to Get That Sum in My Pocket Without Having This Massive Cover-Up Play Out Before Us All. It Could Be That He Wants the Internet Discussion Board to Achieve Its Potential as the Communications Medium of the Future and That He Feels That Getting This Story Out Before People Will Lead to the Adoption of Legislation That Will Make That Happen." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: So you believe that you have never made a mistake. And you also believe you are sane? Here is something to think about. If you have never made a mistake why are you in the situation you are in? Blame everyone else, you aren’t responsible because you are perfect? Still think that sounds sane? The words you write here make it sound like I am in some sort of bad situation. Huh? I am…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "Are You the Only One Posting Honestly?" 5 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Are you the only one posting honestly? I’m certainly not the only one who includes ANY honesty in his posts. But I think it would be fair to say that I have shown more of an unwillingness to post DIShonestly than anyone else working in this field. Take Bill Bernstein. He said back in May of 2002 that you need to subtract two points from the safe withdrawal…

  • "The Comedian Is the Person Who Questions Whether Saving Millions of People from Suffering Failed Retirements Has Earned Compensation of a Very Big Multiple of $500 Million. If It Were Only One Million Retirements Saved, That Would Be $500 per Saved Retirement. There’s Not One Person on the Planet Who Wouldn’t Be Willing to Pay Far in Excess of $500 to Avoid Suffering a Failed Retirement." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You missed your calling as a stand up comedian. Getting the numbers wrong in a retirement study is a pretty darn big deal, Anonymous. It’s not just that Greaney destroyed the lives of thousands of people at the Motley Fool board who believed that his study was legitimate. Wade Pfau and I intended to get our research featured on the front page of the New York…

  • "The Thing That I Loved About Buy-and-Hold In the Days When I Carried Around a Membership Card in My Wallet Was That Buy-and-Hold Was the Only Strategy Rooted in the Scientific Method and the Scientific Method Is All About Skepticism and About Rooting One's Beliefs in Evidence Rather Than Just Going By What Feels Right or What Sounds Plausible. The Buy-and-Holders Lost Me When They Became Too Dogmatic Even to Consider the Possibility That They Might Have Somewhere Along the Line Made a Mistake. Valuation-Informed Indexing Is What Buy-and-Hold Used to Be, What Buy-and-Hold Was Meant to Be, What Buy-and-Hold Should Be." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Does the 15 yr old realize how strange you are yet? Timothy is 16. Robert is 13. I was expressing skepticism about something at lunch the other day (it might have been a claim that someone made on an Amazon review about the battery life for a laptop computer) and Robert said: “Dad, you have trust issues.” That made me laugh. That has relevance to our…

  • "Others Saw the Campaign of Terror and Ran in Fear Because of the Money and Power Possessed by the Wall Street Con Men. I Saw Opportunity." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: And, how’s that workin’ out for ya so far, slick? LOL It’s working out pretty darn well, since you asked. I don’t have a penny in my hands today. But look at what I do have — the most valuable web site on the internet. There are going to be millions of people looking for someone to sue to recover their retirement money following the next price crash. I have 13 years of Post…

  • "I Didn't Know That Anything Was Going On On the Morning of May 13, 2002. So Everything Written in the Book will Be Things That I LEARNED By Having the Courage to Say What I Believe and Then Watch the Reactions." 12 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ And where would today’s CAPE value be? Probably precisely where it is.” Which means you wasted your time. What was that phrase that President Carter had when the helicopters went down in the desert? It's been "an incomplete success." One person can only do so much, Anonymous. A year from now, I will have a printed book in my hands with my name on it…

  • "I Don't Have the Same Level of Fight in Me That I Had in Me 14 Years Ago. I Have Taken a Huge Emotional Hit. In Other Circumstances, I Would Be Ashamed. In These Circumstances, I Am Going to Give Myself a Break." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I have several e-mails in my box this morning from people who came in through that link… I am going to write Barry and ask whether I can have any sort of ongoing relationship with the site. ” So how did that all work out for you? I don’t have an ongoing relationship with Barry today. But I believe that I will in days to come. So I would say that it…

  • "To Say That I Am an Expert Is to Say That the Peer-Reviewed Research Is an Expert." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: The primary mission of this website is to convince everyone that Rob Bennett is one of the leading experts on investing, regardless of results.  As part of this mission, everyone must keep it zipped unless they agree with Rob Bennett. All that I have argued for 23 years is that we should permit discussion of the peer-reviewed research at every site. So to say that…

  • "You Are Correct to Note That It Is a Personality Trait of Mine to Stick to a Routine. I Am a Cautious Person by Nature. I Think That Is One of the Reasons Why I Spent so Much Time Investigating the Safe Withdrawal Rate Concept During the Years When I Was Putting Together My Retire Early Plan. I Was Not Willing to Go by What Other People Said. When Some Aspect or Another of the Story Did Not Seem to Add Up, I Dug Deeper Until I Was Able to Make Better Sense of the Matter." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Oops. I don’t think you meant to post this today. You never do two posts in one day, let alone one of them to a ValueWalk that you just posted. One thing we can always count on you for is sticking to the routine. Unless you’re having a crisis/meltdown. Care to share? I intended to have that post appear on March 15 and I failed to change the month in which it…

  • "When Two Sides in a Dispute Are Both 100 Percent Inflexible re the Key Point of Contention, the Only Thing to Do Is to Take a Step Back and See If Time Causes Circumstances to Change in Some Way. I Wish You All the Best That This Life Has to Offer a Person. I Believe That We Will Be Working Together Following the Crash." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: If you are waiting for a 65% crash, followed by your $500 million windfall and goons going to prison, then you will probably need to come visit me at the local cemetery as I will be long gone by that time. I am not planning on passing away anytime soon, but old age will eventually catch up to me in another 50 years or so. Fair enough? I guess. I don’t like this way of playing…

  • "The Delay Is Because of the Social Isolation. It Is an Extremely Painful Experience. No One Else Has Written This Book. Why Do You Think That Is? Shiller's Nobel Prize-Winning Research Has Been Publicly Available for 41 Years and No One (Including Shiller Himself) Has Written a Full Exploration of the Far-Reaching Implications of His Nobel-Prize-Winning Work." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Since you ignored the question, obviously your book is nowhere near completion, and you will miss yet another self-imposed deadline. That book would be done by now if you had put in just five minutes of serious work every day. Clearly any amount of serious work on anything is too much to expect from you. I'll probably miss the June 30 self-imposed deadline. But…

  • "I Believe That I Learn Some Little Thing Every Day About a Very Important Subject. I Wouldn't Have Been Able to Write the Book That I Am Writing Today in April 2002." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You are not helping anyone, let alone your claim about helping millions.  You have been wasting your time with the same repetitive posts that are worthless. I don't agree, Anonymous. I believe that I learn some little thing every day about a very important subject. I wouldn't have been able to write the book that I am writing today in April 2002. Working up the…

  • "My Primary Project Today Is Writing the Book 'Investing for Humans: How to Get What Works on Paper to Work in Real Life.' I Expect to Finish That By the End of the Year. At That Time, My Intent Is to Seek Employment in the Corporate World. I Will Continue to Write My Weekly Column and to Respond to Blog Comments and to Contact Other Sites at Nights and on Weekends. I Can Continue Doing That Indefinitely Even If There Is Not Money Coming in From the Investing Work." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of several comments that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: If another 20 years passes and you don’t get your story in The New York Times and you don’t see a dime of the $500 million payout, will you come to the conclusion that you wasted your time? I think that another 20 years would just about do it, Anonymous. I am a stubborn cuss. But a person struggling to make his way through this mixed-up world of ours has…

  • Realty Mogul Site Interviews Rob Bennett 4 Comments

    The Realty Mogul site recently interviewed me re Valuation-Informed Indexing and how it applies to real estate investing. The article is here. Juicy Excerpt: “Going along with conventional advice, I believe people should only invest in things they understand well. Real estate can be very appealing, but I recommend people chose the asset class they are going to focus on and study that to death as opposed to spreading yourself out thin and having a little bit of everything. I have not…

  • "I Am Not Ashamed of My Behavior From May 13, 2002, Forward. I Am Proud of It. It Would Be Fair to Say That I Am Somewhat Ashamed of My Behavior Prior to May 13, 2002." 16 Comments

    Set forth below is a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Unbelievable. This is it? You have been lying about death threats all this time. You should be ashamed of your behavior. I am not ashamed of my behavior from May 13, 2002, forward, Anonymous. I am proud of it. It would be fair to say that I am somewhat ashamed of my behavior prior to May 13, 2002. Not entirely so. Given what we have seen from May 13, 2002, forward, most…

  • Ken Evoy, Owner of SiteSell, Inc.: "Rob, Awesome Post. I Suggest All Read It, Some Sharp, Creative Thinking. Trying to "Be There" Before the Gold Rush to a New Niche Is an Interesting Bet! You'll Be THE Name If It Happens. Heck, You Might Even Help MAKE It Happen!" 4 Comments

    ISet forth below is the text of a post that I put to the SiteSell (a web hosting company) forum, followed by the response of SiteSell Owner Ken Evoy: I believe that the path forward is to move away from the idea that there is one right way to build a successful site and to position SBI as a company that helps one-person shops build successful sites in a variety of ways.My site never fit the SBI model. I write about personal finance. That's a huge topic with a huge amount of competition,…

  • "What You Want Is for All the Sites in the World To Be Open To Your Posts So That You Can Increase Your Popularity. Your Ambition Is To Be One of the Leading, If Not the Top, Investment Experts in the World. With This Fame, You Thought You Would Become Rich By Becoming a Sought After Speaker and Perhaps Selling Books and Other Materials." 12 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Just tell people what you really want. What you want is for all the sites in the world to be open to your posts so that you can increase your popularity. Your ambition is to be one of the leading, if not the top, investment experts in the world. With this fame, you thought you would become rich by becoming a sought after speaker and perhaps selling books and other…

  • Jackie, Owner of the The Debt Myth Blog, to Rob: "When the Methods You've Been Using for a Long Time Continue Not to Work, Why Keep Using Them? I Think It Comes Down to 'Do You Want to Be Right?' or "Do You Actually Want to Get Your Message Out and Have It Read By the People Who Could Benefit From Reading It?" 4 Comments

    Set forth below are the text of a series of e-mails sent to me on October 15, 2014, by Jackie, owner of the The Debt Myth blog, followed by my responses: But first you have to get people to actually read those words. Rhetorical question: When the methods you've been using for a long time continue not to work, why keep using them? You really have nothing to lose by changing. I think it comes down to "do you want to be right?" or "do you actually want to get your message out and have it read…

  • "Ten Years of Trying to Pull Me Down Have Perhaps Not Worked Out Precisely As Expected" 0 Comments

    Here's the text of a comment that I put to the Goon Central board the other day: I'll offer a more serious response to the narcissism charge.Every advance is made by one of the humans. I am one of the humans. I happened to be the one primarily responsible for this particular advance.There are thousands of advances that become possible with the shift from Buy-and-Hold to Valuation-Informed Indexing. All the people who are today engaging in behavior that will down the road cause them…

  • "I Think It Would Be Fair To Say That I Am the World’s Foremost Authority on Two Subjects: (1) The Valuation-Informed Indexing Strategy, Which I Have Been Developing Full-Time for Over 18 Years Now; and (2) The Efforts By Buy-and-Holders To Block Millions of Middle-Class Investors Who Very Much Want To and Need To Hear About These Ideas From Learning About Them." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: If Shiller told you that you should not use CAPE to time the market, would you finally admit that you are wrong about Shiller’s work? Do you think you know more about investing than Shiller? That’s a super question. If Shiller said that, I would tell everyone that he said it. Shiller played such a key role in the development of the Valuation-Informed…

  • "I Think It Would Be Fair to Say That God or the Universe or Evolution or the Fates Understood That Someone Needed to Do This Extremely Important Work Before the Next Buy-and-Hold Crisis Hit and That I Was the One Elected to Do It. So I Am Not Happy With the Stuff That Caused Anguish but I Accept It as My Fate to Have That Awful Stuff Directed At Me as Part of a Bigger Story in Which Our Nation Achieves a Huge Economic Advance." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: "A failed retirement is a serious life setback." "Yes, it is very, very, very painful that I am broke and divorced." Would you consider your current situation a failed retirement? No. My Retire Early plan worked like a dream. The plan is described in my book "Passion Saving; The Path to Plentiful Free Time and Soul-Satisfying Work." The idea was to save…

  • "I Will Be Spending the Remaining Years of My Life Teaching Valuation-Informed Indexing to Millions of Investors. This Site Is the Launching Pad." 2 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to another blog entry at this site: Why would anyone pay for the idea when all the information is available for free from your website? There are thousands of web sites that promote Buy-and-Hold that make plenty of money, Evidence. Buy-and-Hold is not a new idea. It continues to make money because people want to see the idea explored from lots of different angles. We are now in the process of moving from Buy-and-Hold to…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "I Get That Your One Uncompromising Principle in Life Is 'He Who Defines the Question Wins the Argument.'" 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Sigh. Obviously my point was that you were given the explanation. Not that you agreed with it. I get that your one uncompromising principle in life is "he who defines the question wins the argument." You barrage people with this nonsense until they ban you or just give up the hopeless attempt to reason with you. To you, this is victory. So good for you,…

  • "I Am Not an Investing Expert. I Am a Journalist. A Journalist Who Discovered a Huge Story, the Story of How the Investment Advice Field Has Become 100 Percent Corrupt Over the Past 39 Years." 14 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: So all these people, such as Wade and Bill Bernstein are lying…..according to Rob Bennett, top investing expert. I am not an investing expert. I am a journalist. A journalist who discovered a huge story, the story of how the investment advice field has become 100 percent corrupt over the past 39 years. Everyone in this field lies. Some not by commission but…

  • Tron to Rob: "You Have an Impressive Ability to Write Volumes of Repetitive Nothingness. Your Entire Site Feels as Though I Am Reading the Text Version of an Informercial to the Point I Am Astounded That There Doesn't Seem to Be Anything for Sale Here. Any Truly Worthwhile Content You Have Is Completely Drowned Out by Ridiculous Hyperbole." 52 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that a community member named "Tron" recently put to another blog entry at this site: Well based on your response I can’t quite tell if you are being serious or doing a Colbert type act. In any event I’ll bite. Here are a few observations and questions I have. You have an impressive ability to write volumes of repetitive nothingness. Your entire site feels as though I am reading the text version of an infomercial to the point I am astounded…

  • "Working Through the Abusive Stuff Is the Price That Anyone Who Cares About Getting Stock Investing Right Has to Pay in the Year 2023 to Get to the Learning Stuff." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You said the same thing 5 years ago and 10 years ago and 15 years ago and 20 years ago. Look at how all that worked out for you. Your interpretation of Shiller’s work led to an “amazing” broke retirement and an “amazing” divorce. I think it worked out extremely well, Anonymous. I of course hate all the abusive stuff. I've said that thousands and…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "I Don't See Anything in Shiller's Book That Says He Could Help Save Us From an Economic Collapse." Rob's Response: "You Can Count on Seeing Those Words in My Book." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I don’t see anything in Shiller's book that says that he could help save us from an economic collapse. You can count on seeing those words in my book, Anonymous. My best and warmest wishes to you. Plain-Speaking…

  • "Human Beings Are Social Animals. We Want To Be Liked. It Hurts To Be Rejected By Others. And Shiller’s Message Is a Message that Most People Very Much Want to Reject. I Am Telling People Who Have a $100,000 Stock Portfolio That They Really Have $50,000 of Lasting Value. How Do You Think That Makes Them Feel? And How Do You Think It Makes Me Feel When They Reject Me Out of Fear That What I Am Saying Might Really Be So?" 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “That’s my sincere take re these terribly important matters” You’re not sincere, and these matters are not important. If “opening every board and blog to honest posting” is so goll-durn important, why aren’t you doing anything about it? You haven’t even tried to post anywhere else in years. You’re still talking about 1999 as if it’s a current…

  • "Clinton Is Smart and Experienced and Hard-Working But I Think It Would Be Fair to Say That She Has Never in Her Life Crossed a Big-Money Donor and the Big-Money Donors Have Zero Interest in Permitting Middle-Class People to Learn the Realities of Stock Investing at This Point in the Proceedings. So I Have Decided for Trump." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Who you voting for Rob? Who is the best candidate to address Buy and Hold, the greatest threat to America? I’m voting for Trump. There are many things about him as a person that I cannot stand. He is actually quite Goonish in his interactions with other human beings. The other side of the story is that he is the only figure on the scene who has had the…

  • "I Couldn't Be Happier. I Am Humbled to Have Played an Important Role in the Process by Which We All Are Discovering How Stock Investing Works in the Real World." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Almost any investing strategy has given better results than what you have had, Rob. To use your words, has it been a "purely rational experience" to stop woking a job at the age of 43 and then to put all of your financial hopes on some fantasy that you will get an imaginary $500 million windfall. Yes, it has been a 100 percent rational experience and a 100…

  • "While I Have a Good Bit of Confidence That Most of What I Have Put Forward Has Great Value, I Would Obviously Feel Even More Confident in That Assessment If Every Site Had Been Open to Honest Posting for the Entire 17 Years and If We Had Had People Like Shiller and Bogle Commenting on My Work All Along and Pointing Out Any Weaknesses in My Work Product." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ I rank him as the most important investing analyst of all time. So he obviously has done a huge amount of good, for which we all should be grateful. But he certainly has not done all the good that he could do“ Since you have put all the pieces together, unlike anyone else, wouldn’t you be the most important investing analyst of all time ? It would be…

  • "I Live in a Nation of People. Many of Those People Have Helped Me Live a Better Life. Doctors. Scientists. Teachers. Policemen. On and On and On and On. I Would Not Be Able to Sleep at Night If I Sold Those People Out." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Do you regret it enough to say that you made the wrong decision? No. I live in a nation of people. Many of those people have helped me live a better life. Doctors. Scientists. Teachers. Policemen. On and on and on and on. I would not be able to sleep at night if I sold those people out. I sincerely believe that the Greaney retirement study lacks an adjustment…

  • "We Need Affirmation From Other Humans That We Are Good People Doing Useful Work. But the Amount of Affirmation That I Get From Other Humans Comes Perilously Close to Zero." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Rob, Do you have a group of people around you that give you constant feedback and wise council or do you just wing it? That’s a good question. I do not have a group of people around me that give me constant feedback and wise counsel. I wish I did. I need that. We all need affirmation from others to maintain the strength required to fight life’s battles. I…

  • "Was I a Liar From May 1999 Through May 2002, When I Was Aware That Greaney’s Retirement Study Lacked a Valuations Adjustment and Yet Failed to Speak Up About It? I Sure Felt Like a Liar. I Was Ashamed of Myself for My Cowardice." 10 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: So Shiller and Pfau are lying every day to investors? They’re certainly not telling the full truth. Was I a liar from May 1999 through May 2002 when I was aware that Greaney’s retirement study lacked a valuations adjustment and yet failed to speak up about it? I sure felt like a liar. I was ashamed of myself for my cowardice. We humans are liars,…

  • "I Have Caused My Wife Pain. I Have Caused My Boys Pain. I Hate the Idea. I Hate It, Hate It, Hate It. Just As Much As Abraham Hated Driving a Stake Through His Boy’s Heart. But Abraham Did What He Felt He Was Required To Do and I Am in the Process of Doing What I Believe That I Am Required To Do and That’s That. Right or Wrong (One Never Knows for Absolute Certain), I Am Just Going to Have to Watch the Thing Play Out to the End. I Do Not Have It in Me to Play it Any Other Way." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: “If you don’t get the $500 million, what will your family do to get by?” Live in a tiny house and forego vacations and the other stuff normal kids get. “You’re on your own for college son, but Dad’s got big dreams for the future! BIG DREAMS!” I wouldn’t include the sarcastic tone if I were the one saying it, Anonymous. But the THRUST of what you are communicating here…

  • "The Proper Way to Describe Me Would Be to Say That I Am Non-Stubborn in General But Very Stubborn When Conditions Apply That Make the Issue at Hand Appear in My Mind to Be One of Great Consequence. I Have Reasons Why I Feel a Need to Stand Firm re the Investing Matter. My Experience Is That Matters of This Nature Are Sometimes Resolved as the Result of Unexpected Developments. The Buy-and-Holders Made a Mistake in Taking Such a Hard Line and Regret That Mistake Today. I Believe That Someday There Will Be Circumstances That Will Cause Them to Ease Up Just a Notch." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: "But she doesn’t agree with my strategy for dealing with the problem." Your wife is a wise woman. I just hope she doesn’t expect you to change. I half agree with what you are saying here and I half do not, Evidence. I am not generally a non-yielding person AT ALL. When it comes to things like what movie to go see or what restaurant to eat at, I ALWAYS am the one who defers to the…

  • "It Is BECAUSE We Are on the Verge of the Greatest Advance in the History of Personal Finance That the Buy-and-Holders Are So Insanely Defensive. If the Peer-Reviewed Research That I Co-Authored With Wade Pfau Showed Us All How to Reduce the Risk of Stock Investing by 5 Percent, I Would Be the Toast of the Town. But I Committed the Terrible Crime of Showing How to Reduce Risk By 70 Percent. That Makes the Buy-and-Holders Look Bad." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: You are wrong. They are both data driven fields. If investment advice is 100 corrupt, than you must distrust all advice, including your own comments. Show me one instance in the medical field in which someone of Bogle’s stature permitted his name to be used on a discussion board at which the sorts of individuals who have posted in “defense” of Mel Linduaer or John Greaney are…

  • "My Wife Is 100 Percent Confident That I Have Achieved Huge Advances in This Field. She Needs to Tell Herself That I Had Something to Do With the Bad Stuff or She Would Lose Her Faith in Humanity. I Think That She Is Pretty Darn Representative of How Other People Think About These Matters. We Have Never Seen This Level of Corruption in Any Field of Human Endeavor in the United States." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: To you this is an open-and-shut case. To everyone else, it’s madness. Yes, literally everyone else, including Mrs. Bennett. Does it ever occur to you that you might (gasp!) be wrong? In the early days, I thought it was possible that I was wrong. On the morning of May 13, 2002, my confidence level was 90 percent. That’s a high confidence level. But it…

  • "No One Enjoys Suffering. But Say That You Were a Soldier and You Were Sent on a Mission That Put Your Life at Risk. Would You Say "I Won't Go Because It Will Hurt My Family If I Get Killed?" Sometimes There Are Bigger Things at Stake Than One's Own Family." 38 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Do you think your wife and kids enjoyed suffering because of you? My ex certainly did not. That one is easy. My older boy told me that he never wished that he had a different dad. He was not even a tiny bit happy about the divorce. But he believes that I am right about stock investing and he admires me for having stood up for what is right. He just would like to…

  • "The Fact That I Am a Journalist Rather Than an Investing Expert Explains Why I Couldn't Be Corrupted. Those Who Devoted Their Lives to Building Careers in the Investing Advice Field Have Families to Feed Whose Lives Depend on Their Remaining on Good Terms With the Wall Street Con Men. The Job of a Journalist Is to EXPOSE Con Men." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Given that journalism is your work and you lack any investment training or background and that you also admit you are not a numbers guy, it explains why you have not had any success, lack credibility and are also wrong on the issues given your lack of understanding. Actually, it explains why I couldn’t be corrupted. Those who devoted their lives to building…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "When You Are Commonly Banned on the Boards, It Should Be a Wake-Up Call That You Are Doing Something Wrong." 5 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: When you are commonly banned on the boards, it should be a wake up call that you are doing something wrong. Well, I've been banned at many places, Sammy. That one is beyond dispute. And this reality signifies something. We are in complete agreement re that one too. We differ on what it means. You say that it signifies that I am doing something…

  • "Let’s Say That Shiller Changes His Mind and Tells People That We Should Time the Market with CAPE and Then He Gets Rich from People Buying His Books With This New Message………..but Then You Are Still Ignored and You Don’t Earn a Single Dime From All This. Are You Okay With That Outcome?" 30 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Let’s say that Shiller changes his mind and tells people that we should time the market with CAPE and then he gets rich from people buying his books with this new message………..but then you are still ignored and you don’t earn a single dime from all this.  Are you okay with that outcome? I wouldn't be happy about it. But I could live with it. I see it as a…

  • "I Only Post About One Subject. But It Is a Very Important Subject and There Are Hundreds of Angles To It. So Posting About That One Subject Keeps Me Busy. The One Subject Is Long-Term Market Timing." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: How about posting something of value. You have repeated this same stuff over and over again. Try posting something new. While you are at it, why don’t you explain to readers as to why you won’t provide and proof (links) to your claims of job threats and death threats. I only post about one subject. But it is a very important subject and there are…

  • Rob on Day Four of The Great Debate: "I Finally, Finally Get It. I Am Deeply Sorry for Falsely Criticizing the Study and for Wasting So Much of the Board's Time. Understanding for the First Time That There Really Is a Known Safe Withdrawal Rate That Applies in All Circumstances Makes Me Feel a Little More Comfortable With the Idea of Investing in Stocks at Today's Prices." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Here is your parting post on that old thread. Remember this? "John I finally finally get it. I am deeply sorry for falsely criticizing the study and for wasting so much of the board's time on this issue. The only possible saving grace here is that perhaps my public display of deep ignorance will cause a few others to realize that they do not…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "You Are a Quintessential Don Quixote." Rob's Response: "This Nation Is a Don Quixote Nation. People Tell Us Good Things That We Are Trying to Do Are Impossible and we Go Ahead and Do Them Anyway." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You are a quintessential Don Quixote. This nation is a Don Quixote nation, Laugh. People tell us that good things that we are trying to do are impossible and we go ahead and do them anyway. Call us all…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Rob, When Do You Think Is the Last Time That a Non-Goon Read Anything You Wrote?" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, when do you think the last time a non-goon read anything you wrote? I don’t know the answer, Anonymous. I occasionally have people who sign up as subscribers to the site. They must read some of the stuff and like it. There aren’t a lot of them. But they exist. So the number is greater than zero. Sam Parler is an old friend (he was co-developer of one of the calculators). He…

  • "I Reported on the Errors in the Buy-and-Hold Retirement Studies on the Morning of May 13, 2002. Neither Shiller Nor Bogle Has Reported on the Errors in Those Studies TO THIS DAY. So There Obviously Are Some Things That I Am Seeing That Those Two (and Lots and Lots of Other Good and Smart People) Are Not Yet Seeing." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Are you saying: A) You know more than Shiller B) Shiller is just wrong in his analysis C) Shiller is purposely giving the wrong answer to appease the goons D) All of the above I’m saying that I know more than Shiller re some aspects of the question. Shiller also knows more than me re some aspects of the question. Bogle knows more than me re some aspects of…

  • Rob on the Hot Seat 0 Comments

    I mentioned on a thread at the Early Retirement Extreme forum that J.D. Roth at the Get Rich Quickly blog once sent an e-mail to all readers of his forum asking that they not respond to my posts. A community member named "Alex" said: "Rob -- I have to ask...What do you say that's so controversial?" Good question! The response that I provided over there is set forth below: You're going to be sorry you asked, Alex! I want to answer your question. But I don't want to hijack the thread. If…

  • "I Am Like That Fellow in the Movie 'Yesterday' Who Was the Only One on the Planet Who Remembered All the Beatles Songs. For 18 Years I Have Been Able to Write About Hundreds of Different Aspects of the Stock Investing Project From an Entirely Fresh Perspective and From One That Is Rooted in Peer-Reviewed Research That Won the Fellow Who Did It a Nobel Prize. That's a Pretty Darn Amazing Opportunity That I Had Fall Into My Lap." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: The primary cause of the crash? Really? You continue to take your old tired themes and then spin it with the topic of the day. You never cease to amaze me as to how delusional you really are. I would think by now you would have learned your lesson. Back in 2002, you laid out for all to see a retirement/financial plan based on your VII strategy based on your…

  • Goon Poster to Rob: "Why Do You Continue to Do What You Do? Clearly You Are Not Making Any Money." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: Rob, Why do you continue to do what you do? Clearly, you are not making any money running this board and it doesn’t seem to have resulting in a consulting business or other kind of revenue generating endeavor. You also don’t seem to have a following. So after spending all these years going down the same path, the question remains why you keep doing what you are doing? I’m not…

  • "There Are No Other Learning and Teaching Opportunities with 1/500th of the Potential of This One Available Today in This World." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Other than a few critics, everyone avoids and / or ignores you, yet you don’t want to accept the realities of why this is the case. Instead, you try and cope with a fake story line. I don’t want to be ignored and I don’t want any of the others (about 10 percent of the population) who believe that the last 38 years of peer-reviewed research in the investment…

  • "I've Done Amazing Work. I Have Been Told So By Many Big-Name Experts and Also By Many Ordinary Investors. I'll Get Compensated for It Down the Road. People Earn Big Incomes When They Add Significant Value With Their Work. I Have Done That. So I Will Wait for the Compensation." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Funny how you avoid talking about your failed retirement plan. Like always, you change the topic by repeating previous lies, that have all been addressed before. Maybe you should spend your time on your job search. I've done amazing work, Sammy. I have been told so by many big-name experts and also by many ordinary investors. I'll get compensated for it…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "My Posts Have Always Been Based on Truth. You Have Made Many False and Hurtful Allegations Against Very Good People. You Have Given Out Harmful Financial Advice, Despite Having No Training/Education in the Field. Most Importantly, You Have Failed to Adequately Provide for Your Family." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: It was wrong of me to make posts that appeared to make fun of you. With that said, my posts have always been based on truth. You have made many false and hurtful allegations against very good people. You have given out harmful financial advice, despite having no training/education in the field. Most importantly, you have failed to adequately provide for your…

  • "If I Were Willing to Sell Out My Friends in the Way That I Would Need to be Willing to Sell Out My Friends to Do What You Suggest I Do, I Wouldn’t Have the Power to Produce the Kind of Work I Need to Produce to Get Featured in the New Yorker in the First Place. You Are Asking Me to Destroy What’s Good About Me to Get the Good in Me Widely Recognized. No. If I Destroy It, it Doesn’t Merit Recognition." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Don’t know if you saw this profile of Mr Money Moustache in The New Yorker, Rob. As I read it I couldn’t help thinking about your own near-two-decade pilgrimage. “Of all sad words of tongue and pen the saddest are these, it might have been.” When you hit rock bottom, quit…

  • "My Parents Gave Me My Inheritance With Certain Unspoken Expectations. They Had Values They Instilled In Me As a Boy That They Hoped I Would Follow As An Adult: Honesty, Caring About Others, and Doing Solid Work. If I Were to Post Dishonesty on Safe Withdrawal Rates, I Would Be Dishonoring My Parents." 6 Comments

    Set forth below are the texts of three comments that I recently posted to the Goon Central board: Not true, since most of what you have you inherited. > My father and mother worked very hard for a long number of years for the money I inherited from them, GW. My mother had to leave school after eighth grade to work in a factory so that her family had enough to eat in the Depression. They lived in the row-house they bought (mostly with checks he sent back to her while he was in…

  • "If Bogle Could Get Market Timing Wrong, As I Believe Is the Case, Then Surely Rob Bennett Could Get Marker Timing Wrong. " 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You are just like that Kim Blandino guy on YouTube.  You are so sure you are right, but only making a fool of yourself. I believe that I am right on the substantive issues. There's the 40 years of peer-reviewed research. There's Shiller's Nobel prize. There are the thousands of our fellow community members who have expressed a desire that honest posting be…

  • "I Can Bring in a Higher Income (By a Factor of 500 or More) By Doing the Work That I Am Doing Today. I Have Spent Decades Developing the Abilities That I Employ to Do This Work. I Want to Put My Talents to Their Highest and Best Use. People Generate Wealth by Adding Value. Opening the Internet to Honest Posting on the Last 36 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field is the Biggest Value-Add That I Have Ever Come Across in My Lifetime." 16 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Please help us understand why you wouldn’t do everything in your power to relieve the stress on your wife by getting a job. Because I think that I can bring in a higher income (by a factor of 500 or more) by doing the work that I am doing today. I have spent decades developing the abilities that I employ to do this work. I want to put my talents to their highest…

  • "It's the Cover-Up That Is Outrageous, Not My Reporting On It. The Only Way to Bring the Cover-Up to an End Is for People to Report on It. It Is Because Too Many Have Been Afraid to Report on It For So Long That We Are All In the Fix We Are in Today. I View My Reporting On the Cover-Up As a Beautiful and Brave Thing, Journalism At Its Best. I Am Honored and Humbled To Do This Important and Very Difficult Work and Very Proud of the Efforts That I Have Directed to Bringing This Cover-Up To an End." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Actually, you only give one side of your deluded story in Valuewalk, yet make those outrageous statents on your own website on an almost daily basis. By the way, Jack is NOT your good friend. It is just another spin you give to your stories. When you were asked about this a look time ago, you stated you became his friend by reading his books. The "honest"…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "You Constantly Present Yourself As the One Wise, Rational, Sensible Person in a World Where All the Rest of Us Are Frightened Little Rabbits." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “We want to get along with others. We want to have friends. We want to be popular. We want to see people praising us and linking to us.” Among the vast number of things that aren’t helping your cause, your smug, condescending attitude ranks right up there. You constantly present yourself as the one wise, rational, sensible person in a world where all the rest…

  • "If I Had Showed Investors How to Reduce Investing Risk by 10 Percent, I Would Be on the Cover of Time Magazine. The Problem With Showing Them How to Reduce Risk by 70 Percent Is That It Makes the Buy-and-Holders Look Bad. That's the Only "Problem" With What I Have Done, I showed the Way to Too Big an Advance in Our Understanding of the Realities. What a Bad, Bad Boy, You Know?" 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Seriously, Rob. It is like saying you look forward to joining Lebron James in winning an NBA championship. Your life is just an internet fantasy. You're entitled to your opinion, Sammy. But I would by lying to you if I told you that I share it. I have had many big names tell me how important my work has been to them. Wade told me that he learned many…

  • "I Know More About What Works in Stock Investing Than Most Experts in This Field Because I Abandoned Buy-and-Hold in August 2002, When Greaney Advanced His First Death Threat and Hundreds of Buy-and-Holders Cheered Him On." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to a discussion thread at this blog: Did you come across as the expert you purported to be? I’ll answer this one separately. I don’t think that there can be such a thing as an investment “expert” today, Banned. We only started doing academic research on investing questions in a systematic way in the 1960s. So we are talking about a field with a history of about 50 years. We are still in the Pioneer days, when we are…

  • " I Take Bogle’s Ideas and Update Them to Reflect Shiller’s Research. And I Take Shiller’s Theory and Give It Practical Significance By Addressing All the How-To Aspects of the Question That Shiller Ignores." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “But why do you put so much focus on where I rank? ” There are so many out there with opinions. Shouldn’t we give more credence to those that are more expert than others? Absolutely. This is why I became a Buy-and-Holder. When I was putting together my binders to plan my early retirement, I became exasperated that there seemed be as many opinions about…

  • "What Matters to Me Is the Journalism Question -- Permitting People to Have the Discussions They Want to Have -- and the Human Psychology Question -- the Incredible Ability We Humans Possess to Engage in Self-Deception, Even When It Does Us Great Financial Harm." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “ The reaction we have seen from people who have been exposed to my thinking says a lot.” Yep. It is dead silence. No one is interested. Even your ex-wife didn’t agree with your thinking. That is why she is your ex. If the reaction had been dead silence, you Goons would never have advanced a single abusive post. It was the strong positive reaction to…

  • "I Certainly Possess a Bias. I Hope That It Does Not Influence My Thinking re These Matters to Any Great Degree. But, If It Did, There’s a Good Chance That I Would Not Be Aware of That. This Is One of Those Darn Paradoxes of Human Existence." 6 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I don’t deny my bias.” Yes, you do. No, I don’t. I think that I am right. If I didn’t think that I was right, I would not say what I say. But of course the funny thing about bias is that it is often the case that a person is not aware of his own bias and the effect that it has on his thinking. A bias can blind a person. And that blindness can…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "You Must Deal With the Consequences, Just Like Anyone Else That Does Not Behave in a Proper Way." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I offer zero apologies for my behavior, Anonymous. ” Then you must deal with the consequences, just like anyone else that does not behave in a proper way. If someone has a drinking problem or a drug problem, but won’t seek treatment, we don’t just give them a pass. Neither should you get a pass. We all have crosses that we have to carry in this…

  • "I Greatly Enjoyed the Time That I Spent at the Bogleheads Forum and Learned a Lot From the Experience and Made Lots of Good Friends. But I Was Not Willing to Say Either That the Buy-and-Hold Retirement Studies Contain Valuation Adjustments or That Such Adjustments Are Not Needed to Get the Numbers Right. So I Am No Longer Permitted to Post There....We All Learn More When We Permit Our Beliefs to be Challenged in Civil and Reasoned Discussions." 4 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a conversation that recently took place at the FinCon Community on Facebook: Miranda Marquit: Also, I'm looking for a legit Boglehead. Any of you been (or still are) a Boglehead? Would like to know what it's like to be on the "inside" as well as if there are some issues with being too fervent about it. Doug Nordman: I've been a member of the Bogleheads forum since 2007, if that helps. I was also at the Vanguard Diehards forum with Morningstar when the…

  • "I Certainly Am Not Going to Demand Prison Sentences If Most Others Do Not See a Need for Them." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: The person named Laugh is correct. I half agree with both you and with Laugh, Reality. I posted Laugh’s comment as a blog entry because I think he is making an important point. Shiller’s book was a best-seller. It is available in most public libraries. He was awarded a Nobel prize for his “revolutionary” (his word) research. Shiller’s findings have been covered-up in an…

  • "I Don't Seek to Take Over Any Discussions. It Just Happens. The Reason Why It Happens Is That the Things I Say Make So Much Sense to Most People and Most People Have Never Before Heard Anyone Say These Things. So They Naturally Are Interested and Want to Learn More. So They Naturally Ask Lots of Questions. And the Next Thing You Know One of the Buy-and-Holders Feels Bad That I Have Yet Again 'Taken Over' a Discussion." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to another blog entry at this site: What they take issue with is the way you seek to take over every discussion and make it about yourself and your views. I don’t seek to take over any discussions, Sensible. It just happens. The reason why it happens is that the things I say make so much sense to most people and most people have never before heard anybody say these things. So they naturally are interested and want to…

  • "How Long Have You Been Seeing a Therapist? Has it Been Helping?" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: How long have you been seeing a therapist?  Has it been helping? It's been a bit less than two years. I've been seeing the current person (who I like a lot) since October 2023. I was seeing someone else for about three months before that. The pace of progress on the book has picked up a small bit over the past three months. But I am nowhere close to finishing…

  • "There’s an Emotional Toll That Has to Be Paid for Telling People What the Last 36 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research Tells Us About How Stock Investing Works in the Real World. Do You See Anybody Else Doing It? Can You Point to Anyone Else Who Has Done As Much Of It As I Did in Earlier Years? There’s a Reason Why No One Else Goes There. It’s Hard Work. Taking Constant Emotional Hits Is the Hardest Kind of Work There Is." 30 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Yes, you’re great at imagining. Not so great at actually doing. When is the last time you posted at any other blog? I don’t recall. It’s been a long time. But I certainly expect to be doing so in future days. After the next crash, I am certain that I will be posting at lots of places. It will be a lot easier then. Emotions will have turned. I will not…

  • "If I Succeed in Opening Every Discussion Board and Blog on the Internet to Honest Posting re the Last 40 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field, I Will Have Accomplished 50 Times What I Thought As a a Young Man Was the Most that I Could Accomplish in a Single Lifetime." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “hundreds of thousands of businesses will go under. Millions of people will lose their jobs. Millions of retiremens will fail. Political frictions will worsen. ” We have already seen this with Covid. People that lack emergency savings will want to know how the government will bail them out (like they are doing right now) and those with resources will be picking…

  • "My Agenda Is To Open Every Investing Site on the Internet to Honest Posting re the Last 36 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field." 8 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for one of my columns at the Value Walk site: Rob, Here is the difference between you and everyone else. The investment community reads the words Shiller says and believe that those are his opinions. You read what he says and then interpret it to fit your agenda. My agenda is to open every investing site on the internet to honest posting re the last 36 years of peer-reviewed research in this field,…

  • Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: "Here You Are, Over the Age of 60, Living in the Land of Make Believe With the Silly Stories on Death Threat, etc. Meanwhile, You Are Run Through Savings and Have Destroyed Your Social Security Benefits By Avoiding Work. You Have No Relevant Work Experience As You Haven't Had a Job in About 2 Decades, So Any Job Your Could Possibly Land Would Pay a Very Minimum Income. To Provide for Retirement, Your Plan Revolves Around Some Fantasy of a $500 Million Windfall. Yet Here You Are Preaching to Everyone About Investing for Retirement. Really????" 26 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Here you are, over the age of 60, living in the land of make believe with the silly stories on death threat, etc. Meanwhile, you are run through savings and have destroyed your social security benefits by avoiding work. You have no relevant work experience as you haven't had a job in about 2 decades, so any job your could possibly land would pay a very minimum income.…

  • "A Little Over a Year Ago I Began Attending Meetings of the Al Anon 12-Step Program. You May Recall That I Used to Have a Section of the Site Called “Stock Drunk.” Get Rich Quick Investing Is an Addiction. The Real Problem That We Are Facing Is That Millions of Middle-Class Americans Are Today Addicted to Buy-and-Hold." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Rob, can you give us a sense of how many hours per week you work on investing matters? Any new books in the works? I’ve talked about the book before. I have a draft of a book about investing (“Investing for Humans: How to Get What Works on Paper to Work in Real Life”) completed. I will finish the book when the story it tells is complete. That is when the Ban…

  • "I Have Attended Two Years of the Financial Bloggers Conference, Letting All My Fellow Bloggers Know How Important It Is That We All Work to Bring the Campaign of Terror to a Full and Complete Stop. I Have a Funny Feeling That I Am Covered re This One." 9 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to a discussion thread at this blog: Rob, Take a look at this: http://www.wisegeek.com/what-are-internet-harassment-laws.htm It looks like this describes what you are doing. Here’s an article where I report on the Campaign of Terror of which Wade and I and many other good people have been victims: http://www.passionsaving.com/internet-harassment.html I have contacted my congressman, Sparky. I have contacted…

  • "When I Am Told By a Doctor That My Time Is Close to Being Up, I Want the Feeling That Comes From Knowing That I Was on the Right Side re This Matter and Not on the Wrong Side. That’s a Form of Payment in My Eyes. A Very, Very, Very Big Form of Payment." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: “I guess I will just have to struggle on somehow now that the one in a million shot has come through for me. How has this come through for you? I missed any posts that indicated that you were paid. Instead, I have only seen your recent updates indicating that you have to return back to work. These two updates seem to be in conflict. It depends on how one…

  • "The Moment in Which I Pushed the “Send” Button on That Famous Post of the Morning of May 13, 2002, Was My Finest Moment in the 62 Years in Which I Have Been Walking Planet Earth. All of the Learning Experiences That We Have Enjoyed Together Over the Past 17 Years Had Their Origins in That Single Moment of Personal Courage and Honesty and Good Will Toward My Fellow Community Members." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted in response to another blog entry at this site: I guess Shiller is going to prison as well, right? We will decide as a society who goes to prison and who does not. I doubt very much that Shiller will be in the group that will be going to prison. But I am highly confident that Shiller will be expressing regret that he did not speak up re lots of critically important investment-related topics in a clear and firm and simple…

  • "Everyone Alive Will Offer Better Investment Advice Once We Have Opened Every Discussion Board and Blog to Honest Posting re the Last 41 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in This Field. My Contribution Is to Get Every Site Opened to Honest Posting. Then All of the Others Will Be Able to Do Much. Much Better Work." 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Do you feel that you can offer the same or superior investing advice versus  people like Wade Pfau, Michael Kitces and/ or Bill Bernstein? I think that everyone alive will offer better investment advice once we have opened every discussion board and blog to honest posting re the last 41 years of peer-reviewed research in this field. My contribution is to get every…

  • "People Have Been Dropping Veiled Hints for 30 Years and There Are Still People Pushing Buy-and-Hold Today...We Need to Do the Wild Thing!" 0 Comments

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the Goon Central board: it's just that not enough folks have yet been introduced to your insanity profound insights in order to create a tipping point which will make the Hocomania Wave unstoppable!   Yes, it's a Tipping Point thing. EVERYONE (including you, Yip!) knows that GRQ is garbage. That's close to universal. Virtually no one knew that Buy-and-Hold was GRQ garbage in 1974, when A Random Walk Down Wall…

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  • “If the CEO of a Cookie-Manufacturing Company Told You That the Fact That You Have Been Eating Three Boxes of Cookies Every Night for 30 Years and You’re Not Dead Yet Proves That Eating Three Boxes of Cookies Every Night Is “100 Percent Safe,” Would You Believe Him?”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You made the same comments 5 years ago and were wrong.  You made the same comments and were wrong.  You made the same comments 20 years ago and were wrong.  Meanwhile, you think it is reasonable to expect a $500 million windfall for nothing. I was never wrong. I said that Shiller’s Nobel-prize winning research shows that valuations affect long-term returns. I still say that. If the ceo of a cookie-manufacturing company told you that the fact that you have been eating three boxes of cookies every night for 30 years and you’re not dead yet proves that eating three boxes of cookies every night is “100 percent safe,” would you believe him? Rob Related Posts“The Bennett/Pfau Research Shows That Market Timing Is 70 Percent of What It Takes to Achieve Long-Term Stock Investing Success. So 70 Percent of What We Hear From Investment Experts Should Be Telling Us Ways to Avoid Getting Sucked in By the Get Rich Quick/Buy-and-Hold Garbage.”“This Is a Field Where People Don’t Admit Their Mistakes. The ‘Experts’ in This Field Feel That They Need to Persuade Their Clients That They Are Super-Human and Thus Incapable of Making Mistakes. It’s Not So. And We Are All Suffering in Serious Ways As a Result.”” Wade Pfau Was Afraid to Post at the Bogleheads Forum Because of the Abusiveness He Saw From You Goons Whenever I or Someone Else Discussed Shiller’s Research and the Many Important Implications That Follow From It. Wade Is in Very Good Company re His Fearfulness. Once We Send a Clear Message That It Is Safe for Everyone Working in This Field to Express His or Her Sincere Views, No One Will Be Holding Back.”“There’s No Such Thing as an Expertise That Remains Forever. It Was One Thing to Believe in Buy-and-Hold in 1980. It’s Something Very Different to Believe in it 44 Years After Shiller Published His Nobel-Prize-Winning Research. What Kind of Expert Can Someone Be Who Is 44 Years Behind in His Reading of the Peer-Reviewed Research? ““Say That There Were Only 100 Million Investors in the World. That Would be $5 from Each of Them. I Think it Would be Fair to Say that There Won’t be One Investor in the World Not Getting a Whole Lot […]

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  • “You Don’t Think Your Problem Has Anything To Do With the Fact That You Have Been Unemployed for 25 Years?”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You don’t think your problem has anything to do with the fact that you have been unemployed for 25 years?  Your website indicates that you made the decision to quit your job and you have also posted that you don’t want to get a job since you are still working on the same book for over a decade.  How is this anyone else’s fault but your own? I do not. I haven’t been unemployed for a single day. I work as a self-employed journalist working to get every site on the internet opened to honest posting re the last 44 years of peer-reviewed research in this field. It’s the most important journalism project of my lifetime and, once I have achieved the goal, it will put me at the top of my field and i will have zero financial problems. Rob Related Posts“Most People Who Agree With Shiller Hold Back From Exploring All the Implications of His Ideas Publicly. That’s Why Valuation-Informed Indexing Has Only Won Over 20 Percent of the Population in 34 Years. I Want It to Win Over 100 Percent of the Population. So I Say Things in the Way in Which They Must Be Said for Us to Get to 100 Percent.”“I Certainly Am Not Going to Demand Prison Sentences If Most Others Do Not See a Need for Them.”Goon Poster to Rob: “Any Wife Would Be Saddened by a Husband Who Is Capable of Working But Hasn’t ‘Made a Dime in 13 Years.’ Since You Acknowledge That Fact, To What Extent (If Any) Does It Bother You?”“As Of Today, I Honestly Do Not Feel That I Have Ever Been Unfairly Harsh in My Dealings With You Goons. But I Also Think That It Is Possible That There Are Things That I Just Cannot See Because of My Human Limitations. I May Look Through Some Earlier Discussions and See If I Can Identify Places Where I Have Been Unfair or Unkind. If I Can, I Hope That I Will Have the Courage to Own Up to Them Publicly.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “Valuation-Informed Indexing Failed. You Have Been Wrong. You Just Can’t Bring Yourself to Ever Admit It Because Then You Would Have to Admit That the Last Two Decades of Your Life […]

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  • “You Wouldn’t Expect Everyone to Make the Switch to the Superior Strategy in 24 Hours. People Need to Have Discussions and Ask Questions Before They Feel Comfortable Making the Change.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Funny how all the people you talk about are all financially successful, yet you are the only one broke.  Yet some you think people should take your advice. Any financial issues I have experienced are because of abusive posting on the part of Buy-and-Holders. Buy-and-Holders obviously don’t have to deal with that problem. Buy-and-Hold was developed in the 1960s. Shiller’s Nobel-price-winning research showing that valuations affect long-term returns hadn’t yet been published. You wouldn’t expect everyone to make the switch to the superior strategy in 24 hours. People need to have discussions and ask questions before they feel comfortable making the change. Because of the abusiveness of the Buy-and-Holders, that has never happened. We are stuck where we were prior to the publication of Shiller’s amazing research. To move forward (which benefits everyone!), we need to open every site to honest posting re the peer-reviewed research. I think we will make it in time. I believe that we are a fundamentally good people. We have seen that even many Buy-and-Holders (people like Bernstein and Bogle before he died) see the merit of permitting honest posting. Rob Related Posts“Shiller Showed Us That It Is Primarily INVESTOR EMOTION That Determines Stock Prices, Not Economic Developments. So We All Need to Make a Switch to Talking Primarily About Investor Emotion. We Should Be Looking for Signs of Emotion and Then Trying to Explain Them.”“Even I Am Suffering from Cognitive Dissonance to Some Degree. I See Lots of Stuff That Most Others Do Not See Today. But I Do Not See It All. That Will Come Only When Lots of Other See More Than They See Today. We All Learn From Each Other.”“The Losses That We Need to Cover as a Result of the Continued Promotion of Buy-and-Hold ‘Strategies’ are $24 Trillion, $6 Trillion More Than the Entire Federal Debt of $18 Trillion, Constituting All the Annual Budget Deficits Going Back to the Days of George Washington Added Together. Buy-and-Hold Is Truly Bad Stuff.”Valuation-Informed Indexing #262: The Unpredictability of Short-Term Return Sequences Masks the Predictability of Long-Term Returns “We Will All Be in a Better Place When I Can Go to Any Discussion Board or Blog on the Internet and Post With 100 Percent Honesty and Not Have Any Concern […]

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  • “30 Years to Build a Multi-Million Portfolio Is Not Get Rich Quick.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: 30 years to build a multimillion portfolio is not get rich quick.  Meanwhile. Going broke and staying unemployed for 2 decades is insanity. It is Get Rich Quick if you are counting amounts that are due to irrational exuberance as if they are real. Today stocks are priced at two times their real value. So those counting irrational exuberance as real are pretending that their accumulated wealth is two times what it really is. Is that not a Get Rich Quick approach? Someone with $500,000 of wealth tells himself that he has $1,000,000 and makes financial plans as if that were the case? Huh? Someone who has been building his portfolio for 30 years has experienced a great deal of real economic gains over the years. None of that is the product of Get Rich Quick thinking. But if he doesn’t make an adjustment for irrational exuberance at a time when valuations are insanely high, that’s extremely dangerous. It’s high-emotion behavior. Someone who hands in a resignation to a high-paying corporate job because he believes that irrational exuberance gains are real is hurting himself in a very serious way. I believe that we should permit honest posting re the last 44 years of peer-reviewed research at every site. I am not able to imagine any possible downside. Rob Related PostsBuy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “Taking 30 Years to Build Up $6.3 Million Is a Get Rich Quick Scheme? Really?”Goon Poster to Rob: “Are You Suggesting that the Wall Street Institutions That Set Stock Prices Don’t Have Access to the Same Information as You?”“People Who Achieve Wealth by Treating Irrational Exuberance as Real are Highly Vulnerable. All that it Takes is Honest and Open Discussion of the Last 39 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research in this Field for Their Wealth to Disappear. Shiller’s Amazing Research Has So Far Only Convinced 10 Percent of the Population because 90 Percent of the Population Views that Research as a Threat to Their Financial Well-Being.”“While the Intellectual Support for Buy-and-Hold/Get Rich Quick Is Precisely Zero, the Institutional Support for It Is Huge. For the Buy-and-Holders to Come Clean, They Not Only Have to Acknowledge Their Initial Mistake, Which Is No Big Deal, but Also the 42-Year Cover-Up of the Mistake, Which Makes Them […]

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  • “The Greaney Retirement Study Hasn’t Been Corrected in 23 Years. There’s No Way That That Could Happen Without a Lot of Funny Business Going Down.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: You have made the allegations of criminal acts, yet you won’t show links to those criminal acts and you won’t file chart. What are you hiding? All that you have to do is to look at the Greaney retirement study and see if you can find a valuation adjustment in it. There isn’t one. I pointed that out in a post that I put to the Motley Fool board on May 13, 2002. It hasn’t been corrected in 23 years. There’s no way that that could happen without a lot of funny business going down. That’s the story. We can all live better lives from this point forward by opening every site to honest posting re the last 44 years of peer-reviewed research. Or we can continue to pretend that there’s no need to practice valuation-based market timing when prices begin to get out of hand. I vote for permitting honest posting. Rob Related Posts“The Reason Why This Situation Has Gotten So Out of Control Is Because We All Like the Pretend Money That Results From Letting Stock Prices Get Insanely High. It’s Never Going to Change For So Long As We Focus Solely on Being Popular and Not At All on Being Honest.”“The Easiest Way to Find Out If There Has Been Some Funny Business Going On Is To Check How Long It Took Greaney To Correct the Error in His Retirement Study After It Was Pointed Out To Him.”“I Pointed Out the Error in the Greaney Retirement Study on the Morning of May 13, 2002 (It Lacks a Valuation Adjustment). It Hasn’t Been Corrected to This Day, Please Explain.”“If It Weren’t for the 42-Year Cover-Up, the Buy-and-Holders Would Be United in Insisting that Greaney Correct the Study Immediately. But That Would Expose the Entire Cover-Up, in Which Everyone Who Works in This Field Is Involved to at Least a Small Degree (Everyone Who Works in the Field Has a Responsbility to Stay Up to Date With the Peer-Reviewed Research).”“I Believe in Occam’s Razor Too. When You Point Out an Error in a Study That Thousands of People Have Used to Plan Their Retirements and It Remains Uncorrected for Over 17 Years, There Is Some Sort of Funny Business Going On.”“Everyone Who Was Aware of […]

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  • “The Get Rich Quick Psychology That Causes People to Believe That Their Stock Portfolio Is Worth More Than What the Peer-Reviewed Research Says It Is Worth Also Affects Their Views on Legal Actions.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: If you think laws have been broken, then file charges.  Otherwise, we know those are just more made up things. The Get Rich Quick psychology that causes people to believe that their stock portfolio is worth more than what the peer-reviewed research says it is worth also affects their views on legal actions. When we solve one of these problems, we will have solved all of them. As of today, all that we have is the peer-reviewed research we need to understand what is going on. The next step is to give ourselves permission to discuss it at every internet site. Then we will be on our way to lots of wonderful advances. Rob Related Posts“The Statute of Limitations Doesn’t Begin Running Until Every Site Has Been Opened to Honest Posting re the Peer-Reviewed Research Because the Fraud Remains an Ongoing Matter Until That Happens.”“The Fact That Wade Pfau Won’t Speak to Me Today Definitely Tells a Tale That Needs to Be Widely Told.”Valuation-Informed Indexing #265: P/E10 Permits Us to Quantify Investor Emotion“After the 2008 Crisis Got Me Thinking That There Has to Be a Better Way to Invest, I Started Doing a Lot of Financial Research. The Thing That Disturbed Me the Most Is That Most of Them Were Saying the Same Thing. People Work So Very Hard for Their Money, Usually for 40/50 Year and Usually at Jobs They Don’t Particularly Enjoy. They Need to Have the Respect of the Financial Industry to Be Given, At the Very Least, Access to All Information As It Pertains to Investing.”“There Is No Intellectual Controversy Here. All of the Evidence Is On One Side and There Is Zero Evidence on the Other. What We Have Is a Power Imbalance. The Wall Street Con Men Have More Power and Money and Connections Than the Rest of Us and They Have Demonstrated a Ruthless Willingness to Destroy Anyone Who Exposes Their Con. This Is About Power, Not Research.”Goon Poster to Rob: “Are You Suggesting that the Wall Street Institutions That Set Stock Prices Don’t Have Access to the Same Information as You?”

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  • “It Is Just Too Weird to Have One Set of Laws That Applies to Everything Outside of the Investment Advice Field and an Entirely Different Set of Laws that Applies in the Investment Advice Field.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: ……………you do know that this is what the whole discussion is about, right?  We need to have those millions in our account by the time we turn 60.  Being broke in your 60’s is what is the biggest concern. The purpose of peer-reviewed research is to help us all to build our retirement accounts as big as possible as quickly as possible. The fact that a good number of Buy-and-Holders are hotly opposed to the discussion of the last 44 years of peer-reviewed research is a very bad sign for Buy-and-Hold. It’s certainly not all Buy-and-Holders that feels that way, it’s about 10 percent who engage in abusive and in come cases criminal behavior. But the 90 percent of Normals have not spoken up strongly enough in opposition to the tactics that you Goons employ to suppress learning experiences. If Buy-and-Hold were a real thing, we never would have seen a single abusive post. I mean, come on. I don’t say that the Buy-and-Holders always knew that valuation-based market timing was of critical importance. But they certainly knew that Shiller had done something important and that we all should have been discussing the far-reaching implications of his Nobel-prize-winning research going back to the day it was published. I believe that we are fundamentally a good people. I believe that we will get there. I think it is just too weird to have one sets of laws that applies to everything outside of the investment advice field and an entirely different set of laws that applies in the investment advice field. We’ll see. Rob Related Posts“If Buy-and-Hold Were a Real Thing, We Never Would Have Seen a Single Abusive Post, Much Less Any of the Criminal Stuff.”“I Don’t Think That Buy-and-Hold Started out As a Scam. Prior to 1981, It Was Just a Mistake That Was Made Because All of the Research Needed to Know the Realities Had Not Yet Been Published, Today, Buy-and-Hold Is a Scam. The Much Bigger Problem Today Is That, Because the Buy-and-Holders Do Not Want People to Know About the 39-Year Cover-Up of Their Error, They Have Engaged in Criminal Behavior to Stop Anyone Else From Reporting Accurate Numbers.”“When Someone Like Jack Bogle Fails to Speak Out About Prison Sentences When That […]

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  • “You Went Broke. I Have Millions. End of Story.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: I learn by looking at results. You went broke. I have millions. End of story. Um…. Rob Related PostsBuy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “Nothing You Say Is accurate or Factually Based. It Is Just Your Opinion. End of Story.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “It’s Not What You Say About Yourself. It Is What Others Say. You Have to Learn How to Deal With That Reality.”“No One Fights This Hard to Block a Non-Story From Getting Out”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “We Are Still Waiting for You to Say Those Words. Until Then, Expect to See the Same Horrible Results.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: “Timing Has Never Worked for You or Anyone Else.”Buy-and-Hold Goon to Rob: Just Because You Were Able to Browbeat Wade Into Emailing the Trinity Guys Doesn’t Mean I’ll Do Your Bidding Too. Set Up Your Own Damn Forum.”

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  • “I Believe That Shiller’s Nobel-Prize-Winning Research Showing that Valuations Affect Long-Term Returns Was Something New.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Some of us know how stock investing works.  Unfortunately, broke market timers still haven’t figured it out.  Your assessment has a 20+ year track record of failure. And there’s zero chance that you could ever learn anything new? All of the peer-reviewed research that we would ever need was published prior to the day the Buy-and-Hold strategy was developed? I don’t buy it, Anonymous. I believe that Shiller’s Nobel-prize-winning research showing that valuations affect long-term returns was something new. I believe that we need to incorporate that research into our thinking. Take Buy-and-Hold and add the last 44 years of peer-reviewed research and you have Valuation-Informed Indexing. Rob Related Posts“Are You Willing to Say What You Believe Shiller Thinks About Safe Withdrawal Rates?”“The Reason Why People Cannot Stand to Learn What Shiller Showed Us Is That His Stuff Is Such a Huge Advance Over Buy-and-Hold That We Cannot Bear to Acknowledge the Mistake We Made As a Society When We Elected to Spend Hundreds of Millions of Dollars Promoting Buy-and-Hold Strategies. Shiller is the Steve Jobs of Personal Finance. But We Don’t Have IPhones in This Field Today! Because He Is Too Shy to Speak Out About His Huge Achievements!”“What I Am Doing In Demanding Recognition of Everyone’s Right to Post Honestly Is As Important As What Shiller Did in Publishing His Revolutionary Research. Shiller Got Us Where We Need to Go Intellectually. I Am Getting Us Where We Need to Go in the Practical Realm. Shiller Did Amazing Work. But Millions of Investors Are Today Completely in the Dark re the IMPLICATIONS of His Amazing Work.”“Lots of People Have a Hard Time Accepting That There Is an Ongoing Cover-up of Research That Was Awarded a Nobel Prize and Featured in a Best-Selling Book. I Say That There Has Been a Cover-Up of Shiller’s Work. But It Is a Cover-Up Taking Place in Broad Daylight. Exceedingly Strange Stuff.”Commentor on One of my Value Walk Columns: “You Are Only Mad Because Shiller Did Not Give You a Binary Response (Buy/Sell) to His View of the Market. Market Models Are Not Binary or Absolute Systems and They Are Closer to Probability Systems…. You Are Directionally Correct But Still Pretty Far Off From the Correct Solution Because You Are […]

    (6 Comments)

  • “The Peer-Reviewed Research Is Never Going to Fizzle Out.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Looks like the land of Hocomania has just fizzled out. We’re all always going to need to know how stock investing works. The peer-reviewed research is never going to fizzle out. It’s amazing that Buy-and-Hold remains dominant today, I’ll give you that one. But the behavior we have seen from the Buy-and-Holders has been desperate behavior. That’s not a good sign for the long-term survival of the strategy, in my assessment. We’ll see. Rob Related Posts“The Bennett/Pfau Research Shows That Market Timing Is 70 Percent of What It Takes to Achieve Long-Term Stock Investing Success. So 70 Percent of What We Hear From Investment Experts Should Be Telling Us Ways to Avoid Getting Sucked in By the Get Rich Quick/Buy-and-Hold Garbage.”“This Is a Field Where People Don’t Admit Their Mistakes. The ‘Experts’ in This Field Feel That They Need to Persuade Their Clients That They Are Super-Human and Thus Incapable of Making Mistakes. It’s Not So. And We Are All Suffering in Serious Ways As a Result.”“People in the Investment Community Are Having Conversations With Themselves Every Day, We Have Seen Over and Over Again That the Experts in the Field Would Love to Be Able to Do Honest, Research-Based Work. ““Research-Based Investment Strategies Are Not Super Hot at a Time When the CAPE Value is 28. Who Would Have Thunk It?”“The Buy-and-Holders Feel Burned. They Want to Use the Fact That They Root Their Strategies in Peer-Reviewed Research to Shut Everybody Else Down. But, Since They Made a Mistake About What the Research Says, They Ended Up Shutting Themselves Down. This Is What Makes Them Angry.”“If Shiller’s Nobel-Prize-Winning Research Is Legitimate Research, the Dominant Investment Strategy Gets It Precisely Backwards. The Last 38 Years of Peer-Reviewed Research Shows That the Most Important Thing in Stock Investing Is to Always, Always, Always Practice Price Discipline (Long-Term Timing). The Buy-and-Holders Assure Us Relentlessly That There Is No Need to Practice Long-Term Timing, That It Might Even Be a Bad Idea to Do So. Huh? What the F?”

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  • “It Seems Like You Have Pretty Much Given Up on Most Everything.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: It seems like you have pretty much given up on most everything.  No work going on with the book.  No job.  Blog activity dropping off.  I guess you are not really worried about your perceived buy and hold crisis. I remain worried. I haven’t given up. There’s only so much that one person can do. I believe that I’ve done everything that one person could be expected to do. I’m at peace with that. I work on the book every day. Progress has been exceedingly slow. But I am seeing slow progress. I remain highly confident that I will get there. That’s my primary project today. When I talk to normal people about this matter, they have no difficulty accepting the basic realities. What’s lacking is a sense of urgency. People have never experienced the level of abusiveness that we have seen for 23 years from those posting in “defense” of Mel Lindauer and John Greaney. They often wish me luck. But they don’t feel confident of their abilities to say for sure how stock investing works. And they have zero desire to see that abusiveness turned on them. They don’t want to get involved. So they are okay with letting others solve the problem. They are complacent about it. I am not even a tiny bit complacent about it. But most people are (to the extent that they think about the matter at all). That’s where things stand. I believe that a huge price drop followed by an economic crisis (which is inevitable sooner or later if Shiller’s Nobel-prize-winning research is legitimate research) may change that. But we’ll have to wait and see to find out for sure. If/when we see another Buy-and-Hold Crisis, I’ll do what I can to help us get out of it and to insure that we never see another one. I can do no more and I can do no less. I am of course frustrated that we are not today seeing the benefits of such a wonderful advance in our understanding of how stock investing works. It’s painful to think about the lost opportunities. But the other way of looking at it is that we might have never achieved that advance in the first place and we did. So […]

    (4 Comments)

  • “There’s One Major Flaw. The Price of Stocks Is Set By the People Who Own Them. There Is Nothing to Stop Those People From Setting the Price of Stocks at Artificial Levels, From Creating Irrational Exuberance That Will Fool Them for a Time Into Thinking That Their Holdings Are Worth More Than They Really Are Worth.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Shocker!  Silly me thinking that you should have a book done since it has been over 10 years. I believe that Greaney should have corrected the error in his retirement study (it lacks a valuation adjustment) within 24 hours of the moment it was brought to his attention (the morning of May 13, 2002). There’s obviously some strange forces at play here that are causing things to play out in ways in which they ordinarily do not play out. Shiller discovered the secret of stock investing. Stocks are an amazing asset class that offers an average annual return of 6.5 percent real. What could be better? There’s one major flaw. The price of stocks is set by the people who own them. There is nothing to stop those people from setting the price of stocks at artificial levels, from creating irrational exuberance that will fool them for a time into thinking that their holdings are worth more than they really are worth. Shiller showed us how to overcome irrational exuberance, to engage in valuation-based market timing and thereby to avoid the crazy bull markets that you experience when you follow Buy-and-Hold strategies and the crazy bear markets that follow whenever you have crazy bull markets and the horrible economic collapses that follow whenever you lose the trillions of dollars of consumer buying power that you always lose in a crazy bear market. On the surface, there doesn’t seem to be any downside to this amazing advance in understanding. But there is one. Since irrational exuberance is the cancer of the personal finance realm, adopting a strategy that makes it impossible for irrational exuberance to grow adds rationality to the investment advice field. If we were starting fresh, everyone would agree that that is super. But we are not starting fresh. Buy-and-Holders have been arguing against rationality, saying that there is no real need for market timing, for as long as there has been a Buy-and-Hold strategy. That “idea” is of course absurd. We have thousands of markets and price discipline is critical in every one. So it is a pretty out there idea to believe that the stock market is the sole exception. But the Buy-and-Holders did not have Shiller’s research available to them when they […]

    (2 Comments)

  • “Anything Good That Seems to Come About Because of Buy-and-Hold Comes Not From the Strategy But From the Productivity of the U.S. Economy.”

    Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site: Half of Americans have no retirement savings, just like. Yet here you are, telling a bunch of successful millionaires that you are right and they are all wrong. Who is dishing out the empty calories??? Anything good that seems to come about because of Buy-and-Hold comes not from the strategy but from the productivity of the U.S. economy. Buy-and-Hold encourages people to invest in stocks and stocks are an amazing asset class because of the productivity of the U.S. economy. The thing that is distinctive about Buy-and-Hold is that it encourages the creation of irrational exuberance to the max and that only subtracts and never adds. Irrational exuberance makes it impossible for people to know how much genuine wealth they have accumulated and that makes effective financial planning impossible. It would be better to let people know what the research says. Then they could practice price discipline re their purchases of stocks as they do with the purchases of everything else they buy. In a world in which most investors acted in their self-interest and practiced price discipline, stock prices would be self-regulating. That would mean no more bull markets and no more bear markets and no more economic collapses. All of the good associated with stocks and none of the bad. Investor heaven. Rob Related Posts“The Losses That We Need to Cover as a Result of the Continued Promotion of Buy-and-Hold ‘Strategies’ are $24 Trillion, $6 Trillion More Than the Entire Federal Debt of $18 Trillion, Constituting All the Annual Budget Deficits Going Back to the Days of George Washington Added Together. Buy-and-Hold Is Truly Bad Stuff.”“Valuation-Informed Indedxing (Market Timing!) Just Permits the Economic Realities to Assert Themselves More Quickly.”“There’s a Drop in the 1960s and 1970s, When We Were Recovering from the High Stock Prices of the Early 1960s. Look at the Years After the Early 1980s, When the Bull Market That We Are Currently in Was Beginning. Consumer Spending Is a Rocket Ship. When Stock Prices Drop 70 Percent (We Usually Drop to a CAPE of 8 When a Bull Market Comes to an End), You Are Going to See That Rocket Ship Reverse Course. How Could It Be Otherwise?”“If Irrational Exuberance Is a Real Thing (I Believe That It Is), Then There’s […]

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What’s Here

  • Bennett/Pfau Research (62)
  • Beyond Buy-and-Hold (117)
  • Bill Bengen & VII (8)
  • Bill Bernstein & VII (4)
  • Bill Schultheis & VII (2)
  • Brett Arends and VII (1)
  • Carl Richards & VII (8)
  • Daily Caller Articles (10)
  • Economics — New and Improved! (103)
  • Financial Highway Column (11)
  • From Buy/Hold to VII (394)
  • Guest Blog Entries (96)
  • Index Universe & VII (11)
  • Intimidation of VII Advocates (66)
  • Investing Basics (535)
  • Investing Experts (97)
  • Investing Strategy (56)
  • investing theory (23)
  • Investing: The New Rules (120)
  • Investor Psychology (95)
  • J.D. Roth & VII (17)
  • Joe Taxpayer & VII (14)
  • John Bogle & VII (97)
  • Larry Evans and VII (12)
  • Lindauer/Greaney Goons (475)
  • Michael Kitces & VII (43)
  • Mike Piper & VII (31)
  • Podcasts (200)
  • Reactions to Pfau Silencing (71)
  • Reality Checker (4)
  • Return Predictor (12)
  • Risk Evaluator (11)
  • Rob Arnott & VII (4)
  • Rob Bennett (306)
  • Rob E-Mails Seeking Help (67)
  • Rob's E-Mails to Researchers (1)
  • Robert Shiller & VII (105)
  • Roger Wohlner and VII (5)
  • Saving Strategies (23)
  • Scenario Surfer (3)
  • Scott Burns & VII (8)
  • Silencing of Wade Pfau (97)
  • Strategy Tester (5)
  • SWRs (89)
  • Todd Tresidder & VII (3)
  • Uncategorized (24)
  • Various Experts & VII (33)
  • VII Column (720)
  • Wall Street Corruption (363)
  • Warren Buffett & VII (5)

Rob on the Internet

  • Rob's Weekly Valuation-Informed Indexing Column at the Value Walk Site.

  • Rob's Weekly Beyond Buy-and-Hold Column at the Out of Your Rut Site

  • Rob's Articles at the Financial Highway Site

  • Rob's Articles at the Balance Junkie Site

  • Rob's Daily Caller Articles: (1) Can We Handle the Truth About Stock Investing?; (2) How We Invest Is a Political Question; (3) The Economic Crisis Is Trying to Tell Us Something (and We're Not Listening); (4) Facts Don't Matter; (5) Going Google Stupid; (6) How Much Transparency Can We Handle?; (7) Confessions of an Internet Troll; (8) Conservatives Fall Into a Trap by Blaming Obama for the Bad Economy; (9) Meet the New Media, Same as the Old Media; and (10) How Restoring Honor Will End the Economic Crisis

  • Humble Money Experts Are the Best Money Experts, (Rob's Article in the Integrative Advisor, the Journal of the Association for Integrative Financial and Life Planning)

  • Articles on the Return Predictor, the RIsk Evaluator, the Scenario Surfer and the Strategy Tester

  • The Myth of Buy-and-Hold and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • The Good Side of Stocks' Lost Decade and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • A Better and Safer Way to Invest in Stocks and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • The Economic Crisis Is the Best Thing That Ever Happened to Us and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • The Bankers Did Not Do This to Us! and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • Stock Volatility Kills! and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • The Risks of Buy-and-Hold and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • The Future of Investing and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • What the Stock Investing Experts Don't Want You to Know and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • What's the Best Age at Which to Experience a Stock Crash? and Seven Other Guest Blog Entries

  • Guest Blog Entry Compares Our Effort to Open the Internet to Honest Posting on Stock Investing with the Civil Rights Struggle of the Early 1960s

  • Our Monster Thread (153 Comments!) on Whether Bill Bengen Should Correct His Retirement Study Now That He Acknowledges the Errors He Made In It

  • Google Search Results for the Term "Valuation-Informed Indexing"
  • Favorite RobCasts

    • Bogle and Valuations

    • When Stock Losses Are True Losses and When They Are Not

    • There Is No Free Lunch! Or Is There?

    • Risk Tolerance in the Real World

    • Cash Is a Strategic Asset Class

    • Nine Valuation-Informed-Indexing Portfolio Allocation Strategies

    • Why the Stock Market Does Not Set Prices Properly (Even Though Other Markets Do)

    • Only Valuations Matter -- Everything Else Is Priced In

    • Low Stock Prices Are Better Than High Stock Prices

    • 30 Investment Myths in 60 Minutes

    Links That Matter

    • Ten Bogus Investing Truths

    • Study by Associate Professor Wade Pfau Showing That Long-Term Timing Provides Higher Returns at Reduced Risk

    • Study by Associate Professor Wade Pfau Showing That Valuation-Informed Indexing Beat Buy-and-Hold in 102 of 110 Rolling 30-Year Time-Periods in the Historical Record

    • Wall Street Journal Article Pointing Out That the Idea That Long-Term Market Timing Does Not Work Is a "Myth" of Stock Investing "That Will Not Die" Because "This Hoary Old Chestnut Keeps Clients Fully Invested" Even When It Is Contrary to Their Best Interests

    • Wall Street Journal Article Pointing Out That" "This Ratio (P/E10) Has Been a Powerful Predictor of Long-Term Returns" and That "Valuation Is By Far the Most Important Issue for Investors"

    • The Internet Blowhard's Favorite Phrase: Why Do People Love to Say That Correlation Does Not Imply Causation?

    • Michael Kitces (One of the Bravest of the Good Guys in This Field) Asks: "Who's Really at Risk When Avoiding Overvalued Stocks?"

    • Financial Mentor Article Reporting on How Our Knowledge of How to Calculate Safe Withdrawal Rates Has Grown During the First Nine Years of The Great Safe Withdrawal Rate Debate

    • Does the Trend Matter?

    • Improving RIsk-Adjusted Returns Using Market-Valuation-Based Tactical Asset Allocation Strategies

    • A Value Restoration Project Blog Post That Sums Up in Three Paragraphs All You Need to Know to Become a Highly Effective Investor

    • Year 20 Annualized, Real, Total Return v. P/E10

    • Year 10 Annualized, Real, Total Return v. P/E10

    • Valuation-Informed Indexing Always Superior to Buy-and-Hold Over 10-Year Periods

    • The Valuation-Informed Indexing Advantage

    • What P/E10 Predicted vs. What Actually Happened

    • Normal and Valuation-Adjusted Wealth Accumulation

    • Valuation-Informed Indexers Can Retire Five Years Sooner

    • Following Valuation-Informed Indexing Strategies Reduces Stock Investing Risk by 80 Percent

    • S&P 500 Tracked by P/E10 Level

    • Treasury Inflation-Protected Income Securities (TIPS) Table

    • Best, Average and Worst Returns Since 1871

    • Compound Annual Growth Rate Calculator

    • Investing Through Time

    • Mapping S&P 500 Performance

    • S&P 500 at Your Fingertips

    • S&P 500 Return Calculator

    • Russell's Research

    • Shiller's Data

    • Safe Withdrawal Rate Research Group