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A Rich Life

The Old Ideas on Saving & Investing Don't Work -- Here's What Does

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Is the Same Song We Sing. Glad You Belong to the Same Choir We Do."





    Carolyn McClanahan, Director of Financial Planning
    for Life Planning Partners, Inc.

  • "Retirees Now Frequently Base Their Retirement Decisions on the Portfolio Success Rates Found in Research Such as the Trinity Study.... This Is Not the Information They Need for Making Their Withdrawal Rate Decisions."




    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "The P/E10 Tool Could Drastically Change
    How the Entire Investment Industry
    Operates and Measures Risk."





    Larry, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "The Your Money or Your Life Book
    for a New Generation."





    Beatrix Fernandex, Book Reviewer
    for Dollar Stretcher Site

  • "A Newer School of Thought Believes That the Safe Withdrawal Rate Depends on How Stocks Are Priced at the Time You Begin Making Withdrawals."





    Scott Burns, Dallas Morning News Finance Columnist

  • "A Fascinating Retirement Calculator."







    Michael Kitces, Maryland Financial Planner

  • "The Evidence is Pretty Incontrovertible. Valuation-Informed Indexing...Is Everywhere Superior to Buy-and-Hold Over Ten-Year Periods."




    Norbert Schenkler,
    Co-Owner of Financial WebRing Forum

  • "Every Detail Shows Rob's Respect
    for His Information and His Reader."






    Audrey Owen, Owner of Writer's Helper Site

  • "You’ve Accomplished Something Radical
    With Your Idea of Passion Saving."





    Mark Michael Lewis,
    Money, Mission & Meaning Talk Show Host

  • "Big Moves Out of Stocks Should Not Be Done at All. But Strategic Asset Allocation Can Be Done At Very Rare Times, Maybe Six Times in an Investor’s Lifetime, Three Times When the Market Is Stupidly High and Three Times When Stupidly Low."



    John Bogle, Founder of Vanguard Funds

  • "Valuation-Informed Investing and Passive Investing
    Share More of a Common Ancestry
    Than It Might Appear at First."





    Jacob Irwin, Owner of Passive Investing Blog Carnival

  • "It Is Great to See a Finance Journalist Who Understands That Valuations Matter. Efficient Market Zealotry Is Rampant in the Journalism Community. I Just Love Your Valuation-Based Return Calculator."




    Rich Toscano, Pacific Capital Associates

  • "There Is Always An Unlimited Supply of Complainers Against Any Good Idea."






    Mr. Money Mustache Blogger

  • "Rob: This Has Been One of the Most Insightful and Helpful Comments I Think Anyone Has Ever Posted. Thank You for This Lesson and for Sharing Your Knowledge on This Subject!"




    My Money Design Blogger

  • "There Is An Extensive Literature About the Predictability of Long-Term Stock Returns. There Is an Extensive Literature About Short-Term Market Timing. My Question Is About Long-Term Market Timing. The Literature Seems Slim."



    Wade Pfau, Retirement Income Professor
    at The American College

  • "Your Ideas Are Sound."







    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "For Years, the Investment Industry Has
    Tried to Scare Clients Into Staying Fully Invested
    in the Stock Market at All Times, No Matter
    How High Stocks Go. It's Hooey.
    They're Leaving Out More Than Half the Story."



    Brett Arends, The Wall Street Journal

  • "There Are Time-Periods Where Stocks Are a Terrible Addition to That Portfolio. Yet Inexplicably, We As Planners STILL tend to Suggest That It Is 'Risky' to Not Own Stocks When in Reality the Only Risk Is to Our Business."




    Michael Kitces, Maryland Financial Planner

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Provides More Wealth for 102 of 110 of the Rolling 30-Year Time-Periods While Buy-and-Hold Did Better in Eight of the Periods."






    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "There Is a Growing Behavioral Economics Movement, But It So Far Has Had Limited Impact. Economists Are Not Fond of the Softness and Imprecision of Psychology. These Notions Are Considered Vaguely Unprofessional and Flaky."



    Robert Shiller, Yale University Economic Professor

  • "I Would Occasionally Get a Response Post
    Saying I Was 'the Best Since Rob Bennett
    Challenged Us to Think.'"




    A Popular Bogleheads Forum Poster Named "Retired at 48" Who Was Banned for Challenging Buy-and-Hold

  • "New Research by Rob Bennett Shows That
    Even a 4% Withdrawal Rate Could Cause Failure
    If You Start Retirement When
    Stock Market Valuations Are High.”




    Bernard Kelly, Consultant

  • "FuhGedDaBouDit!"




    William Bernstein, Author of
    The Four Pillars of Investing
    (When Asked Whether We Can Use the Old School Safe Withdrawal Rate Studies to Plan Our Retirements)

  • "This [The Stock-Return Predictor]
    Is a Very Handy Little Tool."






    Felix Salmon, Market Movers Blog

  • "A Much Simpler Way to Bring
    the Valuation Issue to Focus."
    (Referring to The Stock-Return Predictor)





    Karteek Narayanaswarmy, Blogger

  • "It's Informative, It's Based on Solid Data and It Provides Useful Results." (Referring to The Stock-Return Predictor)






    Political Calculations Blog

  • "Meet Three Couples Who Left the Corporate World to Do the Kinds of Work That Satisfied Them."






    Liz Pulliam Weston, MSN Money Columnist

  • "I Like Rob's Fresh Views and Tips
    on the Subject of Saving Money."






    The Digerati Life Blog

  • "A Very Solid Approach to Investing."







    Michael Harr, Founder of Walden Advisors

  • "Rob Bennett Has Been on a Tear With One Outstanding RobCast After Another."





    John Walter Russell, Owner of
    Early-Retirement-Planning-Insights.com Site

  • "It’s Time for a Different Way to Look at Investing, and Rob Is Onto Something Here."






    Kevin Mercadante, Owner of Out of Your Rut Blog

  • "My Afternoon Train Reading."
    (Referring to Rob's Article titled
    Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never Work)





    Barry Ritholtz, Owner of The Big Picture Blog

  • "What Is It With Guys Named Rob?
    Longtime Index Agitator Rob Arnott Has Now
    Been Joined on These Pages by a
    Vanguard Diehard Agitator Named Rob Bennett."




    Jim Wiandt, IndexUniverse.com Publisher

  • "He Offers a Fresh New Perspective
    that Will Motivate You to Get on Track
    With a Solid Savings Plan."





    Lynn Terry, Click Newz Blog

  • "While Browsing at www.PassionSaving.com the Other Day, I Discovered an Article Featuring Ten Unconventional Money-Saving Tips. Each of These Offers a New Way to See Money."




    J.D. Roth, Owner of Get Rich Slowly Site

  • "Rob Has Ideas About Investing That Many Bloggers Find 'Interesting.' His Posts Are Often Controversial and Always Thought Provoking."





    Miranda Marquit, Planting Money Seeds Blog

  • "Is There a Way to Turn Saving Into Something Fun? If There Was, I Bet a Lot More of Us Would Do a Lot More Saving. I Found a Website Where This Basic Premise Is Explored in Great Depth."




    The Great WeiszGuy Blog

  • "I Have Much More Confidence in My Ability to Understand What Is Happening....I Thank You for Your Public Service, and, In Another Dimension, for the Personal Courage It Took to Make It Happen."




    Elizabeth, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Was Hooked on the Idea of [Passive] Index Indexing, But Something Inside Made Me Wonder "Too Good to Be True?" and "What's the Downside?" I Happened on to Your Site and Valuation-Informed Indexing Seems to Make Sense."



    Coleen, PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Reads Like a Casual Conversation
    with a Likable Guy Who Wants Nothing More
    Than to Help Others Experience the Same Joy
    and Happiness He Has Found."




    Kara, Reader of Rob's Book

  • "Your 'Secrets' Are Exactly Like Magic Tricks: Once Revealed, They Look So Simple, Yet You Need Somebody to Show You How It Works."





    Kramerizio, Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Rob's Da Man! Never in the History of the Diehards Forum Has One Poster, Always Making Civil and Well Thought-Out Posts, Managed to Irritate So Many Without Anyone Being Able to Articulate a Good Reason As to Why."




    Mephistopheles, Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "I’ve Been Surprised at How Controversial This Idea Is, but If Most People Are Buying and Holding, They Are Emotionally Invested in This Strategy."





    Jennifer Barry, Live Richly Blogger

  • "The Findings for [Long-Term] Market Timing Are So Robust That It Hardly Matters How We Do It."






    Wade Pfau, Asociate Professor of Economics

  • "The Elegant Simplicity of His Ideas Throughout Warms the Heart and Startles the Brain."






    Tom Gardner, Co-Founder of the Motley Fool Site

  • "Mr. Bennett Evidences an Unusual Skill....
    You'll Have to Buy a Copy....Extraordinary....
    A Massive Heap of Crap."




    John Greaney,
    Owner of the Retire Early Home Page Site

  • "By Reading All the Information on Your Website I Was Able to Develop a Part of Me I Didn't Know I Would Be Able to Become."





    Javier, PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Innovative Financial Thinking."







    No Limits, Ladies Blog

  • "Knowledgeable."







    Hope to Prosper Blog

  • "Holy Toledo! This Is Great Stuff!"






    Bill Schultheis, Author of
    The New Coffeehouse Portfolio

  • ""He Offers Down-to-Earth But
    Nevertheless Eye-Opening Insights About
    the Why and the How of Early Retirement."





    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Challenges Unfounded Assumptions."







    Bill Sholar, Founder of the Early Retirement Forum

  • "Seminal."






    John Greaney, Owner of Retire Early Home Page Site
    (Pre-May 13, 2002 Version)

  • "It’s Always Good to Read Something New That Challenges Your Way of Thinking."






    Invest It Wisely Blog

  • "Rob, Thanks for All of Your Articulate, Well-Written and Well-Reasoned Commentary."






    Elle, a Poster at the Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "Although Rob and I Don’t See Eye to Eye
    on Every Detail, His Site Is a
    Valuable Resource for Research."





    Ken Faulkenberry, Portfolio Manager

  • "Thanks, Rob. I Love Seeing So Many
    Personal Finance Bloggers Who Offer Such
    High Quality Content on Their Own Sites Come Here
    to Weigh In [on Your Ideas]."




    Married With Debt Blogger

  • "A Ton of Tremendously Useful Content."







    Network Abundance Radio

  • "Your Enthusiasm Is Infectious."







    Ruth, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Woke Up at 4:00 am and Stared at the Wall for 20 Minutes....Thank You for Doing What You Do."






    Tasha, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "It Might Just Give You
    a New Way of Looking at Saving."






    Kevin Surbaugh, Owner of Debt Free 4Ever Blog

  • "'Staying Too Long in a Job Where You Don’t Feel Relevant Takes a Toll,' Said Rob Bennett, Who Worked for Years in a Well-Paying Corporate Communications Job Where He Didn’t Have Enough to Do."




    The New York Times

  • "You Have Started One of the Most Interesting
    and Stimulating Discussions This Board has Seen
    in a Long Time."





    Poster at Motley Fool Site

  • "A Respected Author and Commentator, Mr. Bennett has Dedicated Himself to Educating Average Investors to Avoid the Most Common Errors."





    Liberty Watch Site

  • "I've Gone from Shattered Dreams of Early Retirement to Glimpses of Hope to Reassurance from Quantitative Research."





    Patricia, A PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "Some of the Most Helpful and Insightful Market Discussions on the Web Take Place on These Pages."





    A Poster at the Safe WithDrawal Rate Research Group
    (Founded by Rob)

  • "Rob is the Only Person I Know (If Only via Message Board) Who has Completely Opted Out of Participation in the Stock Bubble. And You Know What? He Has Benefited Immensely from Doing So."




    Poster at Motley Fool

  • "Makes the Subject of Saving Edgy and Fresh."







    Maxine, A Reader of Rob's Book

  • "Rob Bennett, the Author of a Book Called Passion Saving, Thinks the Saving Problem Is Partly One of Packaging. So He Prefers to Couch it in the Language of Freedom."





    The Wall Street Journal

  • "This Tip Comes from Rob Bennett
    of the Finance Site PassionSaving.com."






    Lifehacker.com

  • "I LOVE This Article and
    Am Proud to be Publishing It!"




    Chuck Yanikoski, Executive Director of
    The Association of Integrative Financial
    and Life Planning

  • "Rob Bennett: Some People Disagree With Him, and He Rubs a Lot of People the Wrong Way. But He Has Interesting Ideas About Valuation-Informed Indexing, and He Delves Into a Lot of What Makes a Successful Investing Strategy."



    Miranda Marquit, Planting Money Seeds Blog

  • "Rob….Wow…..Your Response Sent Shivers
    Up the Ol’ Pilgrim Spine."






    Neal Frankie, Owner of the Wealth Pilgrim Blog

  • "I Have Counseled My Clients to Allocate a Percentage to Equities Based Upon Market Valuations....I Feel Like I've Found a Kindred Spirit. Fascinating Web Site."





    Tom Behlmer, Financial Planner

  • “A Simple Age-Based Asset Allocation Formula Is Not Appropriate, and Any Sensible Asset-Allocation Formula Should Combine Both Age/Investment Horizon and Market Valuation Levels.”




    RationalInvestor.biz

  • "Had a Guest Post This Week from Rob Bennett, Where He Discusses the Benefits of Value-Informed Indexing, Which I Find Very Intriguing."





    Sustainable Personal Finance Blog

  • "I Can Appreciate Rob's Comments.... Buy-and-Hold?
    For the Most Part, a Long Obsolete Theory."






    Neal Deutsch, Certified Financial Planner

  • "Utterly Brilliant!"







    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Your Website Is So Enjoyable That It Is Keeping Me From My Research As I Am So Excited That I Have Found Such a Valuable Resource."





    Stuart, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "What We're Talking About Here Really
    ...Is Empowerment."






    Motley Fool Poster

  • "The Return Predictor Is Based upon the Principle that Over the Long Term, Stock Market Prices Will Reflect the Ten-Years Earnings Growth of the Underlying Companies. Prices Return to a Common Growth Pattern."




    Links.com Review of The Stock-Return Predictor

  • "Rob’s Arguments in Favor of Value Investing Actually Make a Lot of Sense In a Way That Should Make Any Rational Buy-and-Holder Uncomfortable."





    Pop Economics Blog

  • "What I Don't Understand Is How Rob Can Correspond in Such a Sweet and Polite Way
    -- Yet He Irritates Me to No End!"





    Financial WebRing Forum Poster

  • "You Go About It in a Manner that is Catastrophically Unproductive by Adding Missionary Zeal that Inflates Your Importance and Demeans Others. The Whole Idea That There is a New School of Safe Withdrawal Rates Reeks of Personal Aggrandizement."



    Scott Burns, Dallas Morning News

  • "Inflammatory."







    Morningstar.com Site Administrator

  • “What Warren Buffett Did Was Essentially Quite Close to What Rob Bennett Has Written. Buffett Has in Fact Been Cleverly Incorporating Long-Term Market Timing Based on Valuation of the Market in His Allocation of Money to Stocks.”



    Investor Notes Blog

  • "This Report Offers A Fresh Perspective That Is Rarely Found In Other Financial Literature."






    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "Rob Bennett Says That Market Timing Based on Aggregate P/E Ratios Can Be a Far More Effective Strategy. This Claim Is Consistent With Shiller's Analysis and I Can See How It Might Be So."




    Rajiv Sethi, Economics Professor at Columbia Univeristy

  • "Retiring Early Was A Concept I Did Not Entertain. I Was Going to Retire at 65 After Putting in 40 Years. Now I Am Glad To Say That All That Has Changed."





    Secrets of Retiring Early Reader

  • "In a Couple of Days, I Had
    Devoured the Entire Book."






    Reader of Rob's Book

  • "FIRECalc May Not Be the Last Word
    on Safe Withdrawal Rates."






    Jonathan Clements, Wall Street Journal

  • "It Seems to Me That Some on This Board Feel Threatened by the Arrival of Rob and His Ideas. They Feel a Threat to Their Perceived Elite Status."





    Motley Fool Poster

  • "You've Got to Say One Thing for Rob. He Has NEVER Lowered Himself to Ad Hominen Attacks -- Subliminal or Otherwise -- on Any Other Person on This Board. Not Once. Ever. At Least Give Him Credit for That."




    Motley Fool Poster

  • "I Have Never Seen Rob Show Incivility. No Matter What. Truly Amazing. Either He Is Really the Output of an Artificial Intelligence Program, or the Man's on the Way to Becoming a Saint!"




    Early Retirement Forum Poster

  • "You're the Politest Guy on the Internet.
    Such a Soft Touch!"






    Jonathan Lewis

  • "Props for Keeping Your Cool in the Married with Debt Article. Best of Luck Combating Buy-and-Hold."






    Money Mamba Blogger

  • "I Caught Up [at the Financial Bloggers Conference] With a Fairly Controversial Financial Blogger
    Named Rob Bennett, Who Struck Me As the
    Nicest Guy Around. There -- I Said It!"




    Digerati Life Blogger

  • "In Rob Bennett's Case, He Was Banned for No Known Listed Forum Policy. Except His Viewpoint Was Different From Other Bogleheads and [He Was Perceived As] a Threat."




    Investor Junkie Blog

  • "Mr. Bennett, You Are Spot on About Integrating Some Type of Valuation Filter to One's Stock Allocation. Astute Investors Have Incorporated Some Type of 'Valuation Timing' Into Their Investment Decisions Since the Beginning of Time."



    Poster at the Psy Fi Blog

  • "His Insights Into What Is Really Going On In The Stock Market Are Quite Compelling."






    Future Storm Blog

  • "It Was an Epiphany...Valuation-Informed Indexing Beats Buy-and-Hold Over Most Long-Term Holding Periods at Much Lower Volatility."





    Sam, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "I Am Intrigued By Your Ideas."







    Adam Butler, Portfolio Manager

  • "I Read the Book and I Loved It.
    The Philosophy Resonated with Me.
    I Am a Believer in Your Concept."





    Dr. Peter Weiss, Author of More Health, Less Care

  • "If Your Investment Ideas Can Do for Investing
    What Weston Price’s Ideas Did for Food,
    You’ve Got Our Attention."





    End Times Hoax Blog

  • "I Have Looked at His Website and Reviewed His Research and Find It Both Compelling and Completely Logical and Common-Sense-Based."





    Poster at Free Money Finance Blog

  • "If Investors Paid More Attention to Valuations, We Would Have Fewer Boom-and-Bust Cycles. The Investing Institutions Are Definitely Going to Avoid It Because It Affects Their Income."




    Hope to Prosper Blog

  • "The Calculators on Your Site Are Great Resources. It Amazes Me How So Many People Can Say 'Valuations Matter' Yet, in the Next Breath, They'll Say That We Should Ignore Valuations."




    John Marlowe, Logistics Analyst at Hess Corporation

  • "Must Read As Per My Viewpoint
    For All Value Seekers."






    Ajit Vakil, Value Investing Congress

  • "His Approach Is Both Mathematically Rigorous
    and Easy to Understand."






    Online Investing AI Blog

  • "There Is Nothing More Doubtful of Success Than a New System. The Initiator Has the Enmity of All Who Profit By Preservation of the Old Institution and Merely Lukewarm Defenders in Those Who Gain By the New One."




    Machiavelli

  • "Difficult Subjects Can Be Explained to the Most Slow-Witted Man If He Has Not Formed Any Idea of Them. But the Simplest Thing Cannot Be Made Clear to the Most Intelligent Man If He Believes He Knows Already What Is Laid Before Him."



    Tolstoy

  • "I Am Not Afraid. I Was Born to Do This."







    Joan of Arc

  • "I Certainly Have Seen the Academic Profession Squelching Unfashionable ideas and Have Often Been on the Wrong Side of It. Kuhn Shows How Most Pathbreaking Scientific Ideas Are Rejected at First, Usually for Decades.”




    Carol Osler, Brandeis International Business School

  • "First They Ignore You, Then They Ridicule You, Then They Fight You, Then You Win."






    Ghandi

  • "We Cannot Assume the Existence of Predictability Just Because There Are No Studies That Fully Reject It."






    Valeriy Zakamulin, Economics Professor

  • "I Am Also Extremely Grateful to Rob Bennett for Motivating This Topic and Contributing His Experience and Encouragement."





    Wade Pfau, Academic Researcher

  • "Rob Bennett Was an Early Pioneer in 3rd Generation Modeling by Advocating (Through Various Online Forums) that Withdrawal Rates Must Be Adjusted for Market Valuations Consistent with Research by Campbell and Shiller."



    Todd Tresidder, Financial Mentor Blog

  • "I Am Fascinated by the Growing Body of Research that Revolves Around the P/E10 Ratio by Robert Shiller, Doug Short, Wade Pfau, Michael Kitces, John Hussman, Crestmont Research, Jim Otar, Mike Philbrick, Adam Butler & Rob Bennett."



    Kay Conheady in Advisor Perspectives

  • "Rob Is an Enigma in the Personal Finance World. He Has Interesting Theories on Investing Based on Market Valuations. But He Weaves a Tale Which Makes the Stories of Alexander Litvinenko & Gareth Williams Seem Tame by Comparison."



    Don't Quit Your Day Job Blog

  • "In Recent Years, the 4 Percent Rule
    Has Been Thrown Into Doubt."






    The Wall Street Journal

  • "A Safe Withdrawal Rate Is Very Dependent
    on the Valuation of the Stockmarket
    at the Retirement Date."





    Economist Magazine

  • "I Have Read Everything I Can About Valuation-Informed Indexing. Buy-and-Hold Is Extremely Problematic. I Respect the Passion, Hard Work and Research That You Have Put Into This Very Important Issue. Your Work Has Huge Value."



    Carl Richards, Owner of Clearwater Asset Management

  • "The World of Personal Finance Blogging Needs More Rob Bennetts. He’s Passionate. He’s Intelligent. He’s Writing Things That Go Against the Grain."





    Financial Uproar Blog

  • "Beyond Awesome."







    Larry, a PassionSaving.com Site Visitor

  • "The Wealth Management Industry Seems Intent on Containing This Discussion for Fear Clients Might Discover that the Emperor Has No Clothes."





    Adam Butler, Portfolio Manager

  • "Recommended Reading."







    Jesse's Cafe Americain Blog

  • “All Who Are Still Holding Equities at Present Levels Because Their Financial Adviser Insists that Timing Market Cycles Is Impossible to Do -- Read This!"





    Juggling Dynamite Blog

  • "The Fact that Aggressive and Short-Term Market Timing Was Unproductive Did Not Mean That There Were Never Times When It Would Be Wealth-Maximizing to Get Out of the Market."



    Scott Burris,Director of the Center for
    Health Law, Policy and Practice

  • "The Amount of Return You Can Expect From a Diversified Equity Portfolio Is Inversely Correlated to the Market Valuation at the Start of the Holding Period. It Is One of the Most Robust Statistical Relationships in Modern Finance."




    Todd Tresidder, Financial Mentor Blog

  • "Why Would Your Job Be Jeopardized
    By Such a Sensible Claim?"





    Marcelle Chauvet, Econmics Professor
    at University of California

  • "Received Worrisome E-Mail from Rob Bennett. Warns of Risk with Buy-and-Hold Investing
    -- I Have No Clue."





    Vivek Wadhaw, Business Week Columnist

  • "As Attorney, Tax Expert and Financial Writer Rob Bennett Told Us, the Problem Is That, By the Time Shiller Published His Research, Many Big Names Had Already Endorsed Buy-and-Hold."




    ZeroHedge.com

  • "This Seems to Me to Be a Fundamental Challenge to Some of the Most Basic Tenets of the Boglehead Paradigm."






    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "You Want to be Very, Very Wary of Anything Connected with Rob Bennett, the Most Infamous Troll in the History of Investing Forums on the Internet."





    Alex Fract, Owner of Bogleheads Forum

  • “I’ve Had My Fill of Those Long-Winded Posts that Include Distortions, Unsubstantiated Claims, Misquotes and Comments Taken Out of Context.”




    Mel Lindauer, Co-Author of
    The Bogleheads Guide to Investing

  • "Haven't You Noticed Yet That NO ONE Discusses Your Ideas, NO ONE Mentions Your Name, NO ONE Goes To Your Web Site."





    One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I've Had Similar Experiences. I Know of Two Young Professors Who Wanted to Do Research on Fundamental Index and Reported to Me That Their Colleagues Advised Them That This Line of Research Could Derail Their Career Prospects."



    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "As with Drug Studies Funded by Drug Companies, It Would Be Churlish to Suppose that the Chicago School of Business Was in the Bag. But It Would Also Be Idealistic to Assume That There Was No Funding Bias at All."




    Bogleheads Poster

  • "This Sort of Intimidation Is Not Acceptable. The Cigarette and Pharmaceutical Industries Found Research Supporting Their Products By Funding It. But That Was Big Money Supporting Outcomes, Not Dissuading Others."




    Lyn Graham, 25-Year CPA

  • "Financial Economists Gave Little Warning to the Public About the Fragility of Their Models. There Is No Ethical Code for Professional Economic Scientists. There Should Be One."



    Paper Titled The Financial Crisis and
    the Systemic Failure of Academic Economics

  • "The Situation [Referring to the Intimidation Tactics Used to Silence Academic Researcher Wade Pfau's Reporting of the Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies] Seems Well Below Any Professional and Academic Acceptable Standards."



    Albert Sanchez Graells, Law Lecturer

  • Many Academics Can Become Quite Strident When Their Views Are Challenged. Academia Is Often Subject to Self-Serving Bias That Obliterates Ethical Bounds."





    Ted Sichelman, Law Professor

  • "I Don't Like Too Much the Conspiracy Idea. I Am Not Pressured By Anyone in My Research."






    Roberto Reno, Economics Professor

  • "This Is What Investing Should Be -- Calculated, Deliberate, Confident, Informed and Simple."






    Aaron Friday, Owner of Aaron's Blob Blog

  • "It Is Obvious that Rob, in Attempting to Identify New Safe Withdrawal Rate Strategies...Is Goring Your Ox. If Rob Improves on [the] Safe Withdrawal Rate Methodology, the Implication Is Clear: You Are All, Metaphorically, Out of Business."



    Bogleheads Poster

  • "I Applaud His Effort to Inject Another Piece of Objectivity Into a Very Complex, Highly Subjective Topic -- Making Money in the Market."





    Bogleheads Poster

  • "Naturally, I Am Finding That Valuation-Informed Indexing Can Allow You to Reach a Wealth Target With a Lower Saving Rate and to Use a Higher Withdrawal Rate in Retirement Than You Could With a Fixed Allocation."



    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "A Careful Examination of Past Returns Can Establish Some Probabilities About the Prospective Parameters of Return, Offering Intelligent Investors a Basis for Rational Expectations About Future Returns."




    Jack Bogle, Founder of Vanguard Funds

  • "The Ability to Estimate the Long-Term Future Returns of the Major Asset Classes Is Perhaps the Most Important Investment Skill That An Indivisual Can Possess."




    William Bernstein, Author of The Four Pillars of Investing

  • "The Stock Market Resembles Roulette. In Both Cases, the Accuracy of Sensible Forecasts Rises Over Time."






    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "Returns Are for the Most Part a Matter of Simple Arithmetic...Much of Our Industry Seems Fearful of Basic Arithmetic of This Sort."





    Rob Arnott, Financial Analysts Journal Editor

  • "How Can It Be That One-Year Returns Are So Apparantly Random and Yet Ten-Year Returns Are Mostly Forecastable? In Looking at One-Year Returns, One Sees a Lot of Noise. But Over Longer Time Intervals the Noise Effectively Averages Out and Is Less Important."




    Yale Economics Professor Robert Shiller

  • "The Notion That Rich Valuations Will Not Be Followed By Sub-Par Long-Term Returns Is a Speculative Idea That Runs Counter to All Historical Evidence. It Is an Iron Law of Finance That Valuations Drive Long-Term Returns."




    John Hussman

  • "It's January and the Temperature Is Below Freezing. If You Asked Me Whether It Will be Warmer or Cooler Next Tuesday, I Would Be Unable to Say. However, If You Asked Me What Temperature to Expect on April 9, I Could Predict "Warmer Than Today" and Almost Surely Be Right."



    Michael Alexanfer, Author of Stock Cycles

  • "If the Response Is "Who Knew?", It Won't Be Much Comfort for Retirees in the Employment Line at Wal-Mart. This is Especially True Since a Rational Understanding of History and the Drivers of Longer-Term Stock Returns Can Help Retirees To Avoid That Surprise."




    Ed Easterling, Author of Unexpected Returns

  • "New of the Demise of the Random Walk Has Only Very Slowly Spread, In Part Because Its Overthrow Came as a Shock. If the Random Walk Hypothesis Were Correct, the Most Likely Return Would Be the Historic Average Return. The Evidence, However, Is Strongly Against This."



    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "I Don't Think We Can Debate the Merits of This Type of Forecasting [Referring to the Numbers Generated by The Stock-Return Predictor] Unless We Believe 'This Time It's Different.'"



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    (Before the Ban on Honest Posting Was Adopted There)

  • "I've Seen Absolutely Nothing From You That I Can Use in a Tangible Fashion to Formulate an Investment Plan. Your Ideas Are So Mushy That It's a Complete Waste of Time to Even Consider Them."




    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "Do You Really Think Your Tool
    [The Stock-Return Predictor]
    Is 'Wiser' Than the Market?
    If It Was That Easy,
    Everybody Would Be Doing It."



    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "The Expected Return of Stocks [As Reported By The Stock-Return Predictor] Needs To Be At Least the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) Rate for Stock Investing To Make Sense."




    Bogleheads Forum Poster

  • "I Have Used Valuations to Adjust My Asset Allocation For Many Years With Very Favorable Results."





    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "I Don't Care If You Do or Don't Believe That the Market Will Behave Similarly in the Future As It Has in the Past. Either Way, This [The Stock-Return Predictor] Is an Excellent Way to Understand What the Market Has Done In the Past."


    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "My Role Is To Give People Who Don't Like What the Historical Stock-Return Data Says About the Effect of Valuations on Long-Term Returns Somebody To Yell At On Internet Discussion Boards."



    Rob Bennett at Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "It Really Is a Shame and Indefensible That So Many Feel the Need to Jump Into It With No Interest of Posting on the Topic But Just to Disrupt. Are You That Insecure? Some on the Forum Have an Interest in This Topic. If You Don't, Stay Out!"



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "Irrational Behavior Does Follow Patterns. But How Many Experts in Behavioral Finance Believe That Such Knowledge Can Be Used to Predict Markets? Basically, None. Your Model Cannot Attain the Level of Predictive Value You Claim."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "The Safe Withdrawal Rate Studies Are Based on History. This [The Retirement Risk Evaluator] Shows, Based on the Same History, What the Probabilities Are for the Future at Various Starting Points. If the First Has Value, Then Surely This Does Too."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum

  • "There Are Hundreds of People Who Contributed to This. This Calculator [The Stock-Return Predictor] Demonstrates in a Compelling Way the Power of This New Internet Discussion-Board Communications Medium."




    Rob Bennett at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "A P/E10 of'26' Is Bad. Now Look at the 30-Year Return Predicted by the Calculator -- 5.4 Percent Real. That's Not Bad. There Are All Sorts of Strategic Implications That Follow From Understanding That Stocks Provide Different Sorts of Returns Over Different Sorts of Time-Periods."




    Rob Bennett

  • "I Would Never Invest in Anything Without Having Any Idea What the Expected Return Is. For Instance, I Would Not Walk Into a Bank And Say "I'll Take One Certificate of Deposit, Please" WIthout Asking What Rate They Are Offering."



    Poster at Bogleheads Forum
    [Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting]

  • "I've Seen Things Said on Investing Boards That I Have Never Heard Said in Discussions of Any Non-Investing Topic. The Question of Whether Valuations Affect Long-Term Returns Is a Topic That Causes People More Emotional Angst Than Does Abortion or Impeachment Proceedings or the War in Iraq."



    Rob Bennett at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "It's Not Possible For Those Who Have Come to Believe That Stocks Are Always Best to Accept that Valuations Matter. The Two Beliefs Are Mutually Exclusive. If Valuations Matter, There Is Obviously Some Valuation Level At Which Stocks Are Not Best. The Two Paradigms Cannot Be Reconciled."


    Rob Bennett

  • "The Great Safe Withdrawal Rate Is Over. Rob Bennett Has Won.The Technical Evidence Supporting This Assertion Is Rock Solid."




    John Walter Russell,
    Owner of the Early Retirement Planning Insights Site
    [This Statement Was Put Forward on August 3, 2003.]

  • "I Am Afraid that the Emperor SWR [for "Safe Withdrawal Rate"] Has No Clothes."





    A Poster at the Early Retirement Forum
    [This Statement Was Put Forward on October 8, 2003.]

  • "I Cite You and John Walter Russell in My Paper as the Earliest and Strongest Advocates of This Approach [New School Safe Withdrawal Rate Research]."




    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "Dear Rob -- I Just Became Aware of Your Past Research in September. Since Then, I've Read Archives From Many Discussion Boards and Websites, and I Always Find Your Writing to Be Very Interesting and Intriguing."



    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "I Think Rob Bennett Did Provide An Important Contribution in Terms of Describing a Way for P/E10 to Guide Asset Allocation for Long-Term Conservative Investors. I Also Think He Was Right on the Issue of Safe Withdrawal Rates."


    Wade Pfau, Professor of Retirement Income
    at The American College

  • "What Studies Show This [That Long-Term Timing Doesn't Work]? In Particular, Are There Some Academic Studies That I Haven't Found Yet? That's All I Want to Know."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum After His Own Search of the Literature Turned Up Not a Single Such Study

  • "Because the Precise Timing of This Mean Reversion Is Not Known in Advance, Expecting the Result to Happen in the Short-Term Will Not Be Possible. But Long-Term Investors Who Can Be Patient Can Wait for This Mean Reversion and Will Eventually Come Out Ahead."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Your Work Is at Odds with the Ethos of the Board -- Here the Theme is John Bogle's Philosophy, Which Eschews Market Timing. This Board Came Into Existence to ESCAPE One Individual, the Very Individual With Whom You Have Openly Aligned Yourself."




    A Lindaurhead (to Researcher Wade Pfau)

  • "The Problem With Long-Term Market Timing Is That It Takes Too Long to Find Out If You Are Right or Wrong."






    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "Why Is It Such an Odious Violation of the Tenets of Bogleheadism to Explore Whether Someone Who Has Enough Patience Might Be Able to Benefit from the Transitory Nature of Speculative Returns (the Idea That the P/E Ratio Eventually Ends Up Where It Started)?"




    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "Let Me Explain Why I Posted About This Here. Valuation-Informed Indexing Has Had Critics for Years. But Until Norbert Did It In 2008, Nobody Seemed to Have Provided a Serious Investigation of It. I Couldn't Understand Why. That Bothered Me."



    Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "If You Really Don't Like Market Timing in Any and All Forms, You May Not See Any Point in an Empirical Investigation. You View Me as One of a Long Line of Hucksters Trying to Sell You Some Snake Oil. I Don't Want to Be Such a Person."



    Researcher Wade Pfau at the Bogleheads Forum
    (Prior to the Ban on Honest Posting)

  • "Having a Completely Ineleastic Demand for Equities Is a Bit Bonkers. No One Acts That Way with Life's Other Important Commodities. Campbell Advocates a Linear Valuations-Based Strategy so That You Wouldn't Be Making Big Changes. This Would Be Like Rebalancing But More Flexible."



    A Poster at the Bogleheads Forum

  • "The Whole Idea of Valuation-Informed Indexing Belongs to You. Do You Mind if I call the Paper 'Valuation-Informed Indexing'? I Would Give You Credit. I Have Been Toying With the Idea of Sending the Paper to the Journal of Finance, Which Is the Most Prestigious Journal in Academic Finance."


    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau, in an E-Mail to Rob

  • "I Definitely Need to Cite You as the Founder of Valuation-Informed Indexing, As I Have Not Found Anyone Else Who Can Lay Claim to That. Shiller Pointed Out the Predictive Power of P/E10 But Never Discussed How to Incorporate It Into Asset Allocation, As Far As I Know."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "I Tested a Wide Variety of Assumptions About Asset Allocation, Valuation-Based Decision Rules, Whether the Period Is 10, 20, 30 or 40 Years, and Lump-Sum vs. Dollar-Cost Averaging To Show That the Results Are Quite Robust to Changes In Any of These Assumptions."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Yes, Virginia, Valuation-Informed Indexing Works!"




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau
    (Wade Holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton.)
    (The Buy-and-Hold Mafia Threatened to Get Wade Fired From His Job When He Reported His Findings.)

  • "I Wrote Up the Programs to Test Your Valuation-Informed Indexing Strategies Against Buy-and-Hold and I Am Quite Excited. You Say in the RobCast That VII Should Beat Buy-and-Hold About 90 Percent of the Time. I Am Getting Results That Support This."




    Academic Researcher Wade Pfau

  • "Never Underestimate the Power of a Dominant Academic Idea to Choke Off Competing Ideas, and Never Underestimate the Unwillingness of Academics to Change Their Views in the Face of Evidence. They Have Decades of Their Research and Academic Standing to Defend."




    Jeremy Grantham

  • "There's So Much That's False and Nutty
    in Modern Investing Practice."






    Warren Buffett

  • "Following Conventional Wisdom Has Led a Generation of Investors Down the Road to Ruin."






    Steve Hanke

  • "It Is Sad That the Idea That Price Doesn't Matter...Should Ever Have Been Seriously Considered".






    Andrew Smithers, Co-Author of Valuing Wall Street

  • "The Conventional Wisdom of Modern Investing Is Largely Myth and Urban Legend."





    Rob Arnott, Former Editor of
    Fianncial Analysts Journal

  • "Economics Is a Dog's Breakfast of Theoretical Ideas and Alleged Causal Relationships That Are At All Times Unproven and In Dispute."





    Terence Corcoran, Editor of National Post

  • "Since They Did Not Diagnose the Disease, There Is Little Popular Confidence That They Know the Cure. What If Economics Is, Actually, At the Same Level as Medicine Was When Doctors Still Believed in the Application of Leeches?"




    Gideon Rachman, Financial Times

  • "One of the Most Remarkable Errors
    in the History of Economics."



    Yale Economics Professor Robert Shiller
    (Referring to the Logical Leap from the Finding That Short-Term Price Changes Are Unpredictable to the Conclusion That the Market Sets Prices Properly)

  • "Everything Has Fallen Apart."






    Peter Bernstein, Author of Against the Gods
    (Referring to Old Views About How Markets Work)

  • "We Wonder Why Funds and Banks, Full of the Best and Brightest, Have Made Such a Mess of Things. Part of the Reason Is That We Have Taught Economic Nonsense to Two Generations of Students."




    John Mauldin, Thoughts From the Frontline

  • "Perhaps Most Scandalously, the Theory [Behind Buy-and-Hold] Remained Received Wisdom Long After Empirical and Theoretical Arguments Had Demolished It Within the Academic Community."




    John Authers, Financial Times

  • "I Love the Humans Dearly (the Title of the Book I Am Writing Is Investing for Humans: How to Get What Works on Paper to Work in Real Life) But They Can Be a Trial at Times. Hey! Helping the Humans Learn What It Takes to Invest Effectively Is Not All That Different From Being Married!



    Rob Bennett

  • "We Are Going to See Hearts Melt Following the Next Crash. I Will Be Working Side-By-Side With All of My Many Buy-and-Hold Friends to Rebuild Our Broken Economy."





    Rob Bennett

  • "Wow, I Did Not Realize You Had Achieved This Much Success and Had Many Devoted Believers/Followers. That’s Great, Then Ignore the Opposition. It Is Great to Have Opposition: That Means You Are Doing Something Right."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I Do NOT Believe I Know It All. I Believe That Shiller Discovered Something Very Important and It Appalls Me That More People Are Not Exploring the Implications of His Findings. My Aim Is To Launch a National Debate."




    Rob Bennett

  • "I Can See How Many Readers Would Be Put Off by the Somewhat Sensational/Scandalist Tone and Would Not Persevere to Read, Thinking You Are Losing Your Mind."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I LOVE Everything About Buy-and-Hold Other Than the Failure to Encourage Investors to Take Price Into Consideration When Setting Their Stock Allocations. That's a Mistake That Was Made Because Shiller’s Research Was Not Available at the Time The Strategy Was Being Developed."



    Rob Bennett

  • "Valuation-Informed Indexing Sounds Like a Real Thing. If It Is and I Can Thoroughly Understand It, Then It Will End Up In My Classrooms and in My Students' Minds (Of Course, With References to You and Wade)."




    Robert Savickas, Associate Finance Professor
    at George Washington University

  • "I Can Confirm Wade Pfau's Experience. Whenever I Send My Papers to the Financial Analysts Journal or Similar Traditional Journals, I Get Rejected."





    Joachim Klement, CIO at Wellershoff & Partners

  • "As a Fan of Thomas Kuhn's The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, I Know That Progress Can Be Frustratingly Slow and What Is Typically Needed Is Either a Crisis or the Ascent of a New Generation of Scientists Who Did Not Build Their Careers on the Old Models and Theories."




    Joachim Klement, CIO at Wellershoff & Partners

  • "We Trace the Deeper Roots [of the Financial Crisis] to the Economics' Profession's Insistence on Constructing Models That, By Design, Disregard the Key Elements Driving Outcomes in Real World Markets."




    Knowledge@Wharton

  • "Rob Gets Himself So Worked Up Over What Someone Else Is Doing With Their Own Money and Not Bothering Rob in the Least. As Long As They Aren't Knocking on Your Basement Door, What Do You Care? They Are Happy and Content. Leave Well Enough Alone and Focus on Your Own Account."


    Dab, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I've Been on Forum Since the BBS Days and I Think Rob is Special. He Could Be an Internet Meme If He Put Some Effort Into It. Someday, He Will Realize That the Only Thing He's Good At Is Being an Epic Loser. He Just Needs to Embrace That Idea and Run With It. Watch Out, LOLCats, Here Comes Pathetic Guy!"


    Wabmaster, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "Your Lies Are Not Even in the Realm of the Possible, Much Less Actually Credible, Much Less Actually True."






    Drip Guy, One of the Greaney Goons

  • "I'm Your Friend. I Am Not a Boil on Your Ass."






    Rob Bennett, In a Response Comment
    to One of the Greaney Goons

  • "You Guys [the Greaney Goons] Are the Same Jokers Who Have Done This Before, Sparring with Rob Over Nonsensical Issues On This Site and Others, Leveling Personal Attacks, and You Don't Even Use Real Names! Rob Is Entitled to His Opinion, But the Fact That You Challenge Every Jot and Tittle of What He Says Makes It Clear You Have An Unholy Agenda. Please Take It Elsehwere."

    Kevin Mercadante,
    Owner of the Out of Your Rut Site

  • "Rob, Take This As Friendly Advice. You're a Smart and Articulate Guy and You Could Be Making Valuable Contributions to This Discussion. I've Dealt with the Mentally Ill Before and I've Found That They Sometimes Can Be Reasonable If Gently Redirected."



    Goon Poster

  • "Always Remember Others May Hate You, But Those Who Hate You Don't Win Unless You Hate Them, and Then You Destroy Yourself."





    Richard Nixon

  • "I’m a Numbers Guy. And I Believe I Understand Rob’s Thesis, that Future Returns, Over the Next Decade, Have a Tight Inverse Correlation to the PE10 for the Starting Point. Remember, Correlation Doesn’t Need to be 100%, Only That There’s a Bell Curve of Potential Outcomes that Shift Meaningfully Based on the Input."


    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "What a Difference a Threat to Get the Father of Two Small Children Fired From His Job Has on an Investing Discussion, Eh? Long Live Buy-and-Hold! It’s Science! With a Marketing Twist!"




    Rob, Referring to the Wade Pfau Matter

  • "I Respect Rob and His Analysis. He's Bright, Energetic and Passionate. [The Goon Stuff] Is Really Nonsense. I Enjoy a Thought-Provoking Conversation With People I Respect."





    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "The Fact that Shiller is a Proponent of the Approach Takes it from a Fringe View to Mainstream, in my Opinion."






    Owner of Joe Taxpayer Blog

  • "I Have had Academic Researchers Tell Me That They Dream of the Day When They Will be Able to do Honest Research Once Again. I Have had Investment Advisors Tell me That They Dream of the Day When They Will be Able to Give Honest Investing Advice Again."



    Rob Bennett

  • "Let’s Call a Spade a Spade, Shall We? Wade Pfau Stole Your Research and Put His Name on it, Throwing You Just a Tiny Crumb of Acknowledgement to Ward Off a Lawsuit. He’s Profiting Handsomely By His Theft, Leading a Charmed Life, Widely Published, Widely Respected. While Rob Bennett Continues to Toil in Total Obscurity. It’s So Incredibly Unfair, I Think If It Happened to Me, It Could Actually Drive Me Insane."

    One of the Greaney Goons

  • About Us
    • Rob’s Bio
    • Rob’s Bio
    • Contact Rob
    • Rob’s Book
    • Don’t Sue Me!
  • Blog
  • Passion Saving
    • 20 Dangerous Money Myths — They Think We’re Stupid!
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    • Why Your Money or Your Life Rocked the World
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  • Valuation-Informed Indexing
    • Why Buy-and-Hold Investing Can Never Work
    • About Valuation-Informed Indexing
    • The Stock-Return Predictor
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    • The Investor’s Scenario Surfer
    • The Investment Strategy Tester
    • The Returns Sequence Reality Checker
    • Nine Valuation-Informed-Indexing Portfolio Allocation Strategies
  • The Buy-and-Hold Crisis
    • Academic Researcher Silenced by Threats to Get Him Fired From His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies
    • Academic Researcher Silenced By Threats to Get Him Fired From His Job After Showing Dangers of Buy-and-Hold Investing Strategies — Teaser Version
    • Corruption in the Investing Advice Field — The Wade Pfau Story
    • The Bennett/Pfau Research Showing Middle-Class Investors How to Reduce the Risk of Stock Investing by 70 Percent
    • Buy-and-Hold Caused the Economic Crisis
    • The True Cause of the Current Financial Crisis — Questions and Answers
    • Investing Discussion Boards Ban Honest Posting on Valuations
    • Wall Street Journal Calls Buy-and-Hold a “Myth,” Endorses Valuation-Informed Indexing

“Jack Bogle Obviously Knows That It Was a Criminal Act of Financial Fraud for the Goons to Threaten to Get Wade Pfau Fired from His Job As His ‘Punishment’ for Publishing Honest Research. We Will Learn All the Details When Jack Is Called to Testify Before Congressional Hearings and in Civil & Criminal Trials.”

June 19, 2013 by Rob

Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently put to the discussion of a blog entry at this site:

I doubt the man has even heard of Rob

My friend Jack obviously knows all about me.

He has told us that he visits the Bogleheads board on a weekly basis. He was there for the two years during which half of the threads put to the board concerned my investing ideas.

The Vanguard Diehards board was shut down and the community moved to the Bogleheads board so that the Goons could escape my posting re the peer-reviewed academic research of the past 32 years. There wouldn’t even BE a Bogleheads board if it were not for me. Bogle was there to see that take place.

I have sent Jack four e-mails letting him know about the Lindauer matter and asking for his help.

Rob Arnott is a personal friend of Jack’s. He copied several of his e-mails to me dealing with these issues to Jack. So Jack obviously knows.

Jack obviously knows that it was a criminal act of financial fraud for the Lindauerheads and Greaney Goons to threaten to get Wade Pfau fired from his job as his “punishment” for publishing honest research. The idea that Jack would have gotten himself involved in this criminal enterprise without thinking it through carefully is of course 100 percent absurd. We will learn all the details when Jack is called to testify before congressional hearings and in civil and criminal trials. But he obviously knows about my contributions and he is obviously aware that by failing to speak out about the Lindauer matter in the strongest possible terms he has encouraged the Goons to continue their criminal enterprise.

I have on numerous occasions encouraged Jack to have nothing whatsoever to do with the sorts of individuals who have put up posts in “defense” of Mel Lindauer and John Greaney. There are hundreds of posts in the Post Archives to that effect.

I look forward to working with Jack to rebuild our broken economy after he gives his “I Was Wrong” speech, thereby opening the entire internet to honest posting on safe withdrawal rates and hundreds of other critically important investment-related topics.

Rob

Filed Under: John Bogle & VII Tagged With: economic crisis, financial fraud, jack bogle, Wall Street corruption

Comments

  1. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 10:45 am

    Rob,

    Why even bother posting these lies? A long line of people have already haved addressed these lies, including Wade himself. Haven’t you done enough damage to Wade already? The comments on Jack are just as silly.

    Get the mental help you so desperately need.

  2. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:11 am

    http://arichlife.passionsaving.com/the-buy-and-hold-crisis/academic-researcher-silenced-by-threats-to-get-him-fired-from-his-job-after-showing-dangers-of-buy-and-hold-investing-strategies/

    Rob the Linking Fool

  3. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:18 am

    Rob,

    Repeating your own comments is not proof of anything. We can all claim anything we want, but it doesn’t make it true when there is no 3rd party confirmation. Further, we have Wade’s own comments about you causing him harm.

  4. Superman says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:18 am

    Greskrendtregk of the planet Ktaris is Superman’s good friend. I’ve never met him. He’s never even acknowledged my existence. But I think he’s heard of me. Or at least, he should have. So he is my good friend.

  5. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:28 am

    We can all claim anything we want, but it doesn’t make it true when there is no 3rd party confirmation.

    Good point.

    Rob the Fair

  6. Big Foot says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:29 am

    Hi, I am Big Foot. I am the one that is responsible for blocking the honest posting. I will stop being a goon so that Rob can become rich and famous. Don’t bother looking for me because no one has been able to find me yet, but you all know that I exist and am telling the truth. Instead, focus your time and attention on Rob. He is the only financial expert that knows everything. I know you all feel guilty and the only way to get over that guilt is to send Rob a check. You might as well, since you would only lose it all in the stock market or in a court case.

    Hey, Rob, let me know when you are free for lunch and I will have you swing by the big foot hide out and give some of your advice to my friends the Yeti and the Loch Ness Monster.

  7. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:31 am

    Further, we have Wade’s own comments about you causing him harm.

    Any third party confirmation of that, Pink?

    Rob the Skeptical

  8. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:33 am

    I think he’s heard of me.

    Jack Bogle has never heard of me.

    That explains why he has done nothing about the Lindauer Matter for several years now.

    Makes sense!

    Rob the Agreeable

  9. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 11:37 am

    let me know when you are free for lunch and I will have you swing by the big foot hide out and give some of your advice to my friends the Yeti and the Loch Ness Monster.

    When you stop by, I’d be grateful if you could bring me a copy of that famous study showing that this might be the first time that a Buy-and-Hold strategy will end up working for one or two long-term investors. I need to share the URL with Wade Pfau, who has a Ph.D. in Economics from Princeton and couldn’t understand why he had been hearing for years about this study but couldn’t find it anywhere in the literature once he took the time to check it out for himself.

    No rush, though. Whenever you get around to it. It’s no biggie.

    Rob the Checker of Far=Fetched Wall Street Claims That Just Happen to Bring in Hundreds of Billions to the Wall Street Con Men

  10. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 12:47 pm

    Rob said: “Any third party confirmation of that, Pink?”

    Why yes, Rob, I do have confirmation. In fact, Let’s say that this confirmation tells us that Wade says YOU are the problem and he wants you to stop talking about him. Would you honor his wishes? I have got the confirmation. Just give me the word that you would accept Wade’s request upon confirmation.

    The Pink Unicorn
    Unofficial detector of Rob Bennett Crapolla

  11. bannwd plop contributor says

    June 19, 2013 at 12:53 pm

    If this ‘blog’ were a Monty Python sketch, we have long since passed the point where the ‘extremely silly’ police would have come in and shut it all down.

    Just saying….

  12. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 12:59 pm

    Would you honor his wishes?

    It depends on which of Wade’s wishes you are talking about, Pink.

    Are you talking about the wishes that Wade expressed over and over and over again during his 16 months of e-mail correspondence with me, a time-period in which he did not realize that The Stock-Selling Industry is 100 percent corrupt today and that there is zero chance that the Wall Street Con Men will permit any academic researcher to publish honest research?

    Or are you talking about the wishes that Wade expressed after you Goons threatened to send defamatory e-mails to his employer in an effort to get him fired as his “punishment” for having published honest research and after he saw that Jack Bogle and Bill Bernstein and Larry Swedroe and Scott Burns and Rick Ferri all intended to do precisely zero to help him out?

    There is an honest Wade Pfau and there is a dishonest Wade Pfau. Just as there is an honest Jack Bogle and a dishonest Jack Bogle. And an honest Bill Bernstein and a dishonest Bill Bernstein.

    I am a good friend to the honest versions of all these people, Pink.

    Which means that I must do all I can every day to persuade each of them to disassociate from the dishonest versions of themselves. No?

    Which means that I must continue posting honestly about the efforts of The Buy-and-Hold Mafia to silence Wade’s honest side.

    Which constitute financial fraud.

    Which is a felony.

    Which will get you and the others who have posted in “defense” of Mel Lindauer and John Greaney sent off to long prison terms in days to come.

    When it comes to that sort of thing, please leave my name off the invitation list, Pink.

    It’s not my particular cup of tea.

    I can’t go for that.

    No can do.

    Rob the Particular Tea Drinker

  13. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:11 pm

    So now you are saying that Wade is a liar? The only Fraud is you, Rob.

    The Pink Unicorn
    Unofficial detector of Rob Bennett Crapolla

  14. Big Foot says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:19 pm

    Rob,

    I am shocked that you can’t find the data on buy and hold. After all, you have made so many claims about outperforming buy and hold and now you can’t find the data? I guess we will have to rely on your financial data from you personal investing experience. Can you send us your financials in advance of the meeting at my hide out? Just post it here for all of us to see and then we can all stare in amazement.

  15. Big Foot says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:23 pm

    Hey all of you people out there. I have been reading all your comments about Rob and his research. I can vouch for Rob. In fact, his research and financial results are as real as I am. I am so tired of all you doubters out there. Despite all those pictures of me taken by hunters, hikers, etc., some of you still doubt that I am real. Same goes for Rob and his expertise. Like I said, I can vouch for Rob. His data is just as real as I am.

    Signed,

    Big Foot

  16. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:24 pm

    If this ‘blog’ were a Monty Python sketch, we have long since passed the point where the ‘extremely silly’ police would have come in and shut it all down.

    I’m with you re this one, Banned.

    However, I think it would be fair to say that some of the millions of middle-class investors whose lives have been destroyed by the reckless and relentless and ruthless promotion of all the smelly Buy-and-Hold garbage might not find the “joke” all so terribly funny.

    Those will be the people sitting on your jury, my old friend.

    Yikes!

    Rob the Concerned Friend

  17. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:26 pm

    So now you are saying that Wade is a liar?

    Everything he said in the 16 months before you Goons threatened to get him fired from his job was 100 percent the opposite of what he has said since, Pink.

    You do the math.

    Rob the Numbers Guy

  18. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:33 pm

    The only Fraud is you, Rob.

    And yet I began calling for correction of the Old School safe withdrawal rate studies on the morning of May 13, 2002.

    How odd.

    Rob the Puzzled

  19. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:35 pm

    I can vouch for Rob. His data is just as real as I am.

    And the Old School safe withdrawal rate research is real too!

    And Buy-and-Hold is real!

    Why have people become so cynical nowadays?

    Rob the Gullible

  20. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:38 pm

    we can all stare in amazement.

    I’ve seen photos of Bernie Madoff sitting in his prison cell, Big Foot.

    I have stared in amazement at those, knowing how he was the toast of the town in the days when people were still falling for his GRQ garbage.

    I’ll take a pass.

    I’d be grateful if you would try to find someone else.

    Rob the Madoff Non-Follower

  21. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:44 pm

    Typical rob. He throws out his jail time comments every time the conversation makes him look bad.

    The Pink Unicorn
    Unofficial detector of Rob Bennett Crapolla

  22. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:51 pm

    It’s the only issue that matters at this point, Pink.

    All of you Goons obviously would be happy to go back to May 13, 2002, and have a do-over and this time to permit honest posting.

    Unfortunately, I do not have a magic wand that I can wave in the air to make that happen.

    So we are stuck with you Goons serving long prison sentences. And people who have long prison sentences ahead of them as soon as the cover-up is exposed are for obvious reasons not anxious to help expose it.

    I get it. There’s nothing I can do about it.

    I have offered to help you get the prison sentences reduced a bit. If that sounds good, I am 100 percent happy to do what I can.

    It’s more than a little hard to imagine how someone in my circumstances could do any more than that for you.

    I wish you all good things, if that counts.

    Rob the Good-Faith Effort Maker

  23. Evidence Based Investing says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:54 pm

    So we are stuck with you Goons serving long prison sentences.

    Making fun of an internet troll is not a crime.

  24. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 1:56 pm

    It sounds like you are in good shape, Evidence.

    Rob the Encouraging Voice

  25. Evidence Based Investing says

    June 19, 2013 at 2:23 pm

    I noticed that your email count update happened at just after 4am this morning.

    http://www.s152957355.onlinehome.us/cgi-bin/yabb2/YaBB.pl?num=1349633607/3582#3582

    “Today at 04:05:29
    20,550.

    Rob the Chump”

    The count you reported yesterday was 20,500. Were the 50 emails sent this morning before your update or is that a count of yesterday’s activity?

  26. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 2:27 pm

    The latter.

    Rob the Updating Fool

  27. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 2:39 pm

    What a surprise. Another mindless prison threat from Rob in a desperate attempt to try and scare people off with his silly fantasies.

  28. Evidence Based Investing says

    June 19, 2013 at 2:42 pm

    It is now over a month since you shared any of the responses that you received.

    Have you received any replies recently that are worth sharing with the community that gathers here to discuss safe withdrawal rates, valuation informed indexing and other investing topics?

  29. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 2:56 pm

    Another mindless prison threat from Rob

    I’m such a meanie for wanting to see the length of your prison sentence reduced, Pink.

    How could anyone BE so mean?

    Rob the Very Mean Meanie

  30. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:03 pm

    Have you received any replies recently that are worth sharing

    The response rate has remained in the neighborhood of 0.5 percent, Evidence. In the days when I was sending 200 e-mails per day I was averaging one response per day. Now that I am sending 50 e-mails per day, I get close to two responses per week.

    I’ll return to posting responses when I am caught up with the Goon Negotiation items that I have been focusing on in recent days. I fell very far behind on those in the days when I was posting e-mail responses every day for a long time.

    The next e-mail response is slated for July 11. At that point, I will be caught up re the Goon Negotiation stuff and will be able to focus on the e-mail responses for a time. At some point, it will cycle back.

    Rob the Balanced Blogger

  31. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:14 pm

    I haven’t been “caught up” re the e-mail responses since the very early days of the campaign.

    I don’t know that I will ever be fully “caught up.”

    I do what is put in front of me each day. And then I leave it to the rest of the world to decide what to do with it all.

    When the rest of the world elects to bring the economic crisis to an end and move on to the greatest period of economic growth in our history, we will do that.

    If the rest of the world elects instead to let us continue our slide into the Second Great Depression, we’ll travel that dark path instead.

    It’s not my call.

    I have a strong preference for bringing the economic crisis to an end. But I get one vote, like everyone else. And, full truth be told, I think that’s as it should be.

    I don’t like the choice was have made for the first 11 years of our discussions. But I don’t think that I should be getting more than one vote. So I reluctantly accept the choice made by others (while planning the lawsuits that I will be bringing at a later date to recover financial damages suffered and doing what I can to reduce the length of the prison sentences of those of my friends who have elected to put up posts in “defense” of Mel Linduaer and John Greaney).

    Rob the Planner

  32. Big Foot says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:35 pm

    “When the rest of the world elects to bring the economic crisis to an end and move on to the greatest period of economic growth in our history, we will do that.

    If the rest of the world elects instead to let us continue our slide into the Second Great Depression, we’ll travel that dark path instead.”

    Wow, Rob is our hero. He will save us all. The billions of people that represent all of humanity will sing of Rob’s praises, while the lowly goons will be off to prison. I will be in the lead car next to Rob as we drive through Times Square in the midst of a ticker tape parade and then we will all know that Rob is right and everyone else is wrong.

    Can someone hand me my lithium. I am late in taking my meds today.

  33. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:41 pm

    Rob is our hero. He will save us all.

    The peer-reviewed research that I did with Wade Pfau shows you how to reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent while earning far higher returns, returns far enough higher to permit you to retire 10 years sooner than you could following Buy-and-Hold strategies, Big Foot.

    Whether that saves you or not is up to you.

    But I certainly think that it would be fair to say that it would go a long ways to saving the millions of middle-class investors who were taken in by the Buy-and-Hold con pushed so heavily by the Wall Street Con Men in recent years.

    Do you think that I did a good thing by pointing out the errors in the Old School safe withdrawal rate studies, Big? Or do you think it would be better if people were still being taken in by the those errors to this day?

    I think I did a very, very, very good thing.

    If you think that retirement studies that get the numbers wildly wrong are a plus, all that I feel that I can say is that we are working at cross purposes.

    I wish you all good things, in any event.

    Rob the Doer of Good Deeds

  34. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:44 pm

    The billions of people that represent all of humanity will sing of Rob’s praises, while the lowly goons will be off to prison.

    That’s fair to say, Big. I am of course honored and humbled to have been able to play such a big role in bringing about the biggest advance in our understanding of how stock investing works in history. If you had told me when I was a boy growing up in Northeast Philadelphia that this is where I would end up, I would have said you were loco. But here we are.

    And I would add that there are a lot of people who have turned their lives around in prison. Prison does not need to be the last chapter for you.

    I naturally wish you all the best that this life has to offer a person, my old Goon friend.

    Rob the Believer in Big Foot’s Capacity to Turn His Life Around

  35. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 3:48 pm

    Rob said:” while planning the lawsuits that I will be bringing at a later date to recover financial damages suffered ”

    Rob, the other day you said you would file the lawsuits because people would just hand you the money out of guilt. You are starting to slip up, Rob and can’t keep your fantasies straight.

  36. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 4:02 pm

    I think it may well be that I will not need to file the lawsuits, Pink.

    I don’t believe that you Goons will offer to pay your share without the litigation proceeding. But I believe that some of my Buy-and-Hold expert friends will take a different view. I think Jack Bogle is going to offer to pay his share and your share both in an effort to get the ugly stuff behind us and to move on to all the wonderful stuff.

    Nothing like this has ever happened before. So I obviously do not know precisely how things will proceed.

    But $500 million is a trivial amount to the Wall Street Con Men. They do not deep in their hearts want to cause a Second Great Depression. I believe that they will do what they can to help us all make the shift to better days.

    Jack Bogle did not intend to bring on the Second Great Depression. Neither did any of the other Con Men. There is a mountain of evidence that this is so. For example, I learned about the errors in the Old School SWR studies by reading Jack’s book. If he had been planning a con all along, why the heck would he put information in his book that would help someone like me discover the con? It makes no sense.

    There are no two sides to this, Pink. You Goons try to make it appear that way. But that’s just Goon garbage. We are all on the same side, the learning side. We always have been.

    The trouble is that the Con Men have painted themselves into a corner by “defending” you Goons or by failing to speak up against you. I am doing all that I can to help them out. And, following the next crash, I will have enough people helping out here to achieve my aim of helping them out.

    The story has a happy ending. I have been saying that since the first day. You must not have been paying attention!

    Rob the Fan of Happy Endings

  37. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 4:03 pm

    For a Goon hate is always the answer.

    And for a Normal love is always the answer.

    Guess which one always prevails in the final chapter?

    Rob the Lover

  38. Evidence Based Investing says

    June 19, 2013 at 4:10 pm

    Is the $500 million all for you Rob?

  39. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 4:24 pm

    My damages are obviously a lot bigger than $500 million, Evidence.

    I have floated the lowball number as part of an effort to send a signal to the Wall Street Con Men that I am more interested in getting our economy back on track than I am in receiving personal financial awards and that I am thus open to compromises that let us bring all the ugly stuff to a quick and complete stop.

    The lawyers aren’t going to like it that I have floated that number. But the full reality here is that $500 million is a LOT of money. I think it’s a reasonable compromise for me to settle for $500 million so long as that amount is received prior to the next price crash.

    If things don’t happen until after the next crash, my intent is to listen to what the lawyers have to say. My personal inclination will still be to settle for $500 million. But if things get to that point, I think I owe it to the lawyers to hear what they have to say. They will be getting paid a percentage of the settlement amount. So I think I owe them that.

    Payment of the $500 million obviously would not prevent the millions of middle-class investors who have suffered losses from filing actions of their own. That’s of course not my affair. My guess is that we are going to need congressional action to help on that side of things because there is not enough money available to cover all the claims that will be filed.

    And none of these civil settlements affect the criminal side of things. I have no involvement on that side except to assure everyone that I intend to testify honestly and that I intend to put forward some articles arguing for not letting any thoughts of seeking revenge on the Goons to influence things. People need to feel that justice was done. But we all need to put the ugly stuff behind us and move on to all the wonderful life-affirming stuff as quickly as possible. This is not a time to be small-minded. If we become too small-minded, we can be said to be guilty of a bit of goonishness ourselves, in my assessment.

    Rob

  40. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 5:00 pm

    Wow, this crazy talk by Rob is really out there. I am surprised that Rob’s family members haven’t tried to get him committed to a mental institution by now. Someone needs to send over the nice men in the white coats to get Rob the help he so desperately needs.

  41. Evidence Based Investing says

    June 19, 2013 at 5:02 pm

    To get $500 million damages you would have to demonstrate large losses.

    How will you persuade anyone that you personally have suffered hundreds of millions of dollars worth of damages?

  42. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 5:13 pm

    How will you persuade anyone that you personally have suffered hundreds of millions of dollars worth of damages?

    THere are numerous ways to show a number far higher than $500 million, Evidence.

    Valuation-Informed Indexing shows us how to avoid economic crises. We know today that market prices are self-correcting so long as investors are able to obtain the information they need to become able to invest effectively. So my work of the past 11 years saves us as a nation the entire cost of an economic crises. We know that the cost of this recent economic crisis was far in excess of $500 million because Congress approved trillions to cope with it.

    Or you could look at the peer-reviewed research that I did with Wade showing millions of middle-class investors how to retire five to ten years earlier than has ever before been possible. Say that there were only 100 million people electing to use VII to retire only 5 years sooner. That would mean that those people would only need to be willing to pay $1 dollar for a year of retirement for me to have earned $500 million with my work.

    The $500 million figure is an extreme lowball number any way you look at it.

    That said, it’s enough money for me not to have to worry about money ever again for the remaining years of my life.

    I see a settlement for the amount of $500 million as a win/win/win/win/win. So long as it is obtained prior to the next crash.

    Rob the Fair-Minded Negotiator

  43. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 5:18 pm

    Someone needs to send over the nice men in the white coats to get Rob the help he so desperately needs.

    I think it might be fair to say that I could use some help carrying all that money when it is turned over to me, Pink!

    I’ll give you that one, my old friend!

    Rob the Practical-Minded Fellow

  44. what says

    June 19, 2013 at 6:01 pm

    “So my work of the past 11 years saves us as a nation the entire cost of an economic crises. We know that the cost of this recent economic crisis was far in excess of $500 million because Congress approved trillions to cope with it.”

    Even if that were true, none of the capital was yours. You have no damages as you have no money.

  45. The Pink Unicorn says

    June 19, 2013 at 6:06 pm

    Rob,

    The only way you will be seeing any money like that is if you are playing a game of monopoly.

    The Pink Unicorn
    Unofficial detector of Rob Bennett Crapolla

  46. Rob says

    June 19, 2013 at 6:27 pm

    Makes sense!

    Rob the Agreeable

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    • Wall Street Journal Article Pointing Out That" "This Ratio (P/E10) Has Been a Powerful Predictor of Long-Term Returns" and That "Valuation Is By Far the Most Important Issue for Investors"

    • The Internet Blowhard's Favorite Phrase: Why Do People Love to Say That Correlation Does Not Imply Causation?

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