Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site:
Every website should be open to discussions on dancing bears. Every website should be open to discussions on alien robots.
Gimmie my $500 million dollars. I earned it with my valuable work. You should be going to prison. My 41 years of Nobel Prize winning research is to rule everything and everyone. We need to get past the big black mountain of VII.
………………….sorry……….suffering from a breakout of hocomania………
There is indeed a sense in which I believe that Shiller’s Nobel-prize-winning research should “rule everything and everyone.: I certainly don’t think that everyone should be required to follow a Valuaton-Informed Indexing strategy. That’s a personal choice, But I think that everyone should be required to hear about what the last 41 years of peer-reviewed research says. If you elect to tune it out, that’s fine. But you can’t elect to tune it out for others. Once the research is published, it becomes part of the world that we all live in and anyone who cares to discuss it may do so. Each investor gets to make his own decision as to what strategy he will follow. But no one gets to decide for all others what research can be discussed. Not under U.S. law.
There was a time when women couldn’t be doctors. Thje field was closed to them. I see it as a big advance that that is no longer the case. People can still decide for themselves whether they will hire a male doctor or a female doctor. That’s a personal choice. But women are now able to enter the field and to demonstrate their abilities. So it is now more of a fair game. It was not appropriate for males to say “this is a high-paying field and we don’t want any cimpetition so we are going to keep the field closed to women.” That’s garbage, in my assessment. That’s what the Buy-and-Holders do when they say “the benefits of market timing cannot be discussed, we make money touting Buy-and-Hold strategies and we do not think we will be able to maintain our dominance in the field if discussion of the last 41 years of peer-reviewed research is permitted.” That’s garbage. If you cannot effectively defend your strategy within the limits of U.S. law, your strategy is not worth defending. It is discredited and out of date. Investors need to know that.
That’s my sincere take re these terribly important matters, in any event.
Rob


“ But I think that everyone should be required to hear about what the last 41 years of peer-reviewed research says. ”
Your opinion of what one guy said is not 41 years of peer-reviewed research.
People should be able to hear what everyone things. The soft Buy-and-Holders. The moderate Buy-and-Holders. The Hard Buy-and-Holders. The soft Valuation-Informed Indexers. The moderate Valuation-Informed Indexers. The hard Valuation-Informed Indexers. All of it. People need to be able to hear the entire spectrum of opinion to be able to form their own fully informed take.
I am a hard-core Valuation-Informed Indexer at this point. My point of view is certainly not a majority view today. But please remember that I was a Buy-and-Holder on the morning of May 13, 2002. I have moved more and more to the Valuation-Informed Indexing side over time. The was so with John Walter Russell too. And with Wade Pfau. It was even true to a much smaller extent with John Bogle. It was true with William Bernstein. It could be that everyone on the planet would become a Valuation-Informed Indexer if they all were exposed to both sides of the story. I personally doubt that we wll ever get to 100 percent. But I certainly believe that we will be able to get to 80 percent once we open every site to honest posting. Not immediately. I believe we will be able to get to 20 percent quickly. But it will take some time to get to 80 percent and we may well never go beyond that.
There’s only one way to find out.
My best wishes to you.
Rob
We have heard it all. You have repeated it thousands of times. Everyone has moved on.
You haven’t really moved on so long as you continue posting here, Anonymous.
Rob