Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site:
Buy, hold and rebalance has had a track record of successful outcomes. VII has not. There is no contest, nor is there a debate. Having trouble understanding? It is like comparing a drug that has been used in patients for years showing successful patients versus a drug that hasn’t even reached experimental status.
I don”t agree, Anonymous.
Wade Pfau and I co-authored research that we had published in a peer-reviewed journal that shows that Valuation-Informed Indexing has been far superior to Buy-and-Hold for as far back as we have good records of stock prices. Investors who are open to practicing price discipline when they purchase stocks thereby reduce the risk of stock investing by 70 percent. That ain’t nothing.
And you Goons realize how important the Bennett/Pfau research is. That’s why you threatened to get Wade fired from his job if he continued doing honest work in this field. If you thought that you could prevail in a reasoned debate, you never would have crossed the felony line. You did it because you believe that you are boxed in by the last 38 years of peer-reviewed research in this field. I mean, come on.
I don’t agree that the Buy-and-Hold drug has been successful given that it has brought on an economic crisis on each of the four times in U.S. history when it became popular. Success would be NOT causing an economic crisis. Call me madcap but that’s my sincere take.
And I don’t agree that Valuation-Informed Indexing has not reached experimental status. It might have been reasonable to have said that in 1980. But once Shiller’s “revolutionary” (his word) research showing that valuations affect long-term returns was published in a peer-reviewed journal, Valuation-Informed Indexing became one of the two models for understanding how stock investing works that are respected by the academic community. And any doubts re that point were removed when Shiller was awarded a Nobel prize for his work in 2013.
The only thing holding us back today is the criminal behavior of you Goons. And I believe that we are going to see you sent to prison cells in the days following the next price crash. That one is going to go viral and change the world. After your prison sentence is announced, every investing site on the internet is going to be opened to honest posting re the last 38 years of peer-reviewed research in this field and we will all live better lives from that point forward. Good for all of us, you know?
I naturally wish you all the best that this life has to offer a person, my dear Goon friend.
Non-Proven-Drug-Pushing Rob


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