Set forth below is the text of a comment that I recently posted to the discussion thread for another blog entry at this site:
Your problem is that you don’t care about what other people think and/or believe. You want people to listen to you, but you don’t listen to anyone else. That part of your behavior issue on the boards that got you kicked off. You clearly didn’t even care about what your wife had to say and now you are divorced.
I care about what other people think and believe.
It doesn’t particularly concern me whether people listen to what I say or not. I believe that all investors should have the OPPORTINITY to hear about the last 42 years of peer-reviewed research in this field. I don’t see it as my busienss whether they buy into that message or not. It’s fine with me if they do and it’s fine with me if they don’t. It’s important to me that that message not be prohibited at even a single site. I believe that every investor should be able to hear it and decide for himself or herself how to respond to it. I strongly oppose efforts to suppress discussion of the last 42 years of peer-reviewed research. No one should be able to decide for someone else what he or she should be able to hear. Tune out the message of the research for yourself if you like but permit others to decide for themselves how to invest their retirement money after hearing both sides of the story.
The problem is the 42-year cover-up. If there had never been a Buy-and-Hold, we would all be Valuation-Informed Indexers today. We all want the same things, We all want to know how to invest effectively. Shiller’s Nobel-prize-winning research shows us how, So it’s all good. The only problem is that we did not always know how the market works and people came up with this idea that market timing might not always be required and promted it. Then, when we discovered that long-term market timing is absolutely essential, they felt that it made them look bad that they had gotten it wrong. So the cover-up began. Now that we are 42 years down the road, it sounds really, really bad to acknowledge the realities.
It’s not going to make things better for anyone to extend the cover-up even longer. So I am 100 percent in favor of permitting honest posting at every site. The problem for the Buy-and-Holders is that there has never been any reason to believe that market timing isn’t always required. That was based on the Efficient Market Theory, which was discredited by Shiller’s research. So the Buy-and-Holders have nothing of substance to offer in suutpport of their position. That’s why we see all this urgliness insteasd. If there were any research supporting the ideas that long-term market timing doesn’t work or isn’t always 100 percent required, the Buy-and-Holders would have advanced it many years ago. There’s just nothing there. So we get all this shouting and nastiness. I believe that we should all just move on to the strategy that would help us all to live better and fuller and richer and freer lives. Call me madcap.
That’s where I’m coming from re this one, Anonymous.
Rob


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